Mammoth vs Maple Leafs Prediction Market Odds, November 3, 2026
| Spread | Total | ML | Main ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
â–¶Mammoth | -1.5 35%35% | O 5.5 66%66% | 56%56% | 56% Polymarket |
â–¶Leafs | +1.5 65%65% | U 5.5 34%34% | 45%45% | 45% Polymarket |
| Spread | Total | Moneyline | Main ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
â–¶Utah Mammoth | -1.5 | O 5.5 | 56% Polymarket | |
â–¶Toronto Maple Leafs | +1.5 | U 5.5 | 45% Polymarket |
Utah is the road favorite in Toronto: the Mammoth trade at 56c on both Kalshi and Polymarket as of Tuesday morning, about a 56% implied win probability, with the Maple Leafs at 45c on both. The venues agree exactly. Both teams have 18 points, but Utah (9-6-0) won the first meeting 5-4 on October 13, and the market expects goals, with the over 5.5 at 66c.
The market makes Utah a modest road favorite in a game it expects to be high-scoring. Puck drop is 7:00 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena, per the ESPN scoreboard and the NHL schedule. Utah (9-6-0, 18 points) is third in the Central and Toronto (8-6-2, 18 points) is sixth in the Atlantic.
Mammoth vs Maple Leafs Odds and Market Read
As of Tuesday morning the Utah Mammoth are 56c on both Kalshi and Polymarket, and the Toronto Maple Leafs are 45c on both. With identical prices on both venues there is no cross-platform edge. The live board above carries the current numbers.
The moneyline has barely moved. Kalshi printed Utah at 56c in all 15 captured snapshots from Monday evening through mid-morning Tuesday, and Toronto at 45c in all 12. Polymarket moved Utah from 55c to 56c and Toronto from 46c to 45c.
Utah -1.5 is 35c on both books, up from 34c Monday night, and Utah -2.5 is 23c. Toronto -1.5 is 26c on Kalshi and 25c on Polymarket. The total is where this game stands out: the over 5.5 is 66c on both venues, the over 6.5 is 55c to 56c and the over 7.5 is 34c to 35c. The market prices more than six goals as likelier than not, in line with two offenses that rank in the top six in scoring.
Mammoth vs Maple Leafs Matchup: Form, Goaltending and Injuries
Utah scores 3.6 goals per game (sixth) and owns the NHL's best power play at 34.6%, per NHL team stats. It also allows 3.47 goals per game (26th) and kills only 68.8% of penalties (28th). Clayton Keller leads the team with 18 points (4 goals, 14 assists), and Mikhail Sergachev and Logan Cooley have 17 each. Cooley has 7 goals in his last five games. Utah lost 6-3 at Philadelphia on Sunday and is 5-4-0 on the road.
Toronto matches the scoring and is better on the kill. The Maple Leafs score 3.75 goals per game (fourth), convert 30% on the power play (sixth) and kill 91.1% (second). Auston Matthews has 11 goals and 24 points, and William Nylander has 10 goals and 21 points. Toronto won 4-2 at Vancouver on October 31 and is 4-3-1 at home. Utah's top-ranked power play against Toronto's second-ranked penalty kill is the special-teams matchup to watch.
In goal, Utah's Karel Vejmelka is 6-5-0 with a 3.31 GAA and .872 save percentage in 12 appearances, and Sebastian Cossa is 3-1-0 with a 3.20 GAA. Toronto's Sergei Bobrovsky is 3-5-2 with a 3.29 GAA and .885, while Anthony Stolarz is 5-1-0 with a 2.66 GAA and .910 in six appearances, per the NHL. Neither starter is confirmed in the sources checked, and both teams' save percentages explain the high total.
Toronto is missing depth. ESPN's November 3 report lists John Tavares (lower body), Kirill Marchenko (lower body), Miles Wood, Nick Blankenburg and Marshall Rifai on injured reserve. Utah lists John Marino (upper body) and Maveric Lamoureux on injured reserve and Kailer Yamamoto day-to-day (upper body).
Matthews to score is the top anytime-goal price at 42c on Kalshi, followed by Utah's Dylan Guenther at 37c, Nylander at 36c and Cooley at 35c. This is the second and final meeting listed on the NHL schedule; Utah won the first 5-4 in Utah.
When the Mammoth vs Maple Leafs Market Resolves
The moneyline settles on the winner of Tuesday's game, overtime and shootout included, and the puck line and total settle on the official final score. The board carries $42.4K in total volume across Kalshi and Polymarket ahead of the 7:00 PM ET start.
Key Mammoth vs Maple Leafs Factors
- Special teams: Utah's first-ranked 34.6% power play meets Toronto's second-ranked 91.1% penalty kill.
- High total: the over 5.5 at 66c is the market's strongest lean, backed by two top-six offenses.
- Toronto injuries: Tavares and Marchenko are on injured reserve per ESPN on November 3.
- Goaltending: no confirmed starters; Stolarz (.910) has outplayed Bobrovsky (.885) for Toronto.
- Stable moneyline: Utah held 56c on Kalshi in every captured snapshot since Monday evening.
Related Mammoth vs Maple Leafs Markets
Toronto trades in the Eastern Conference winner market and both teams appear in the 2026-27 Stanley Cup market. Team odds and schedules live on the Toronto Maple Leafs hub and the Utah team hub, and the full slate is on the NHL hub.
Resolution Criteria
The Utah Mammoth vs Toronto Maple Leafs moneyline resolves to whichever team wins the NHL game scheduled for 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, November 3, 2026 at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, with overtime and shootout results counting toward the winner. Puck line contracts (for example, Utah or Toronto winning by more than 1.5 goals) settle on the official final margin, so a one-goal win, including any overtime or shootout decision, does not cover. Total contracts settle on combined goals in regulation and overtime; on Kalshi a shootout is recorded as one goal for the winning team. Under Kalshi's rules, a game postponed but started within 48 hours of the original start keeps markets open to settle on the official result, and a game cancelled or not started within 48 hours resolves to a fair price. Kalshi and Polymarket each settle under their own rules once the game is official.
Key Factors
- Utah first-ranked 34.6% power play vs Toronto second-ranked 91.1% penalty kill
- Over 5.5 goals at 66c, backed by two top-six NHL offenses
- Tavares and Marchenko on injured reserve for Toronto per ESPN
- Utah won the first meeting 5-4 on October 13
- Utah held 56c on Kalshi in every captured snapshot since Monday evening
What are the Mammoth vs Maple Leafs odds?
As of the morning of November 3, 2026, the Utah Mammoth are 56c and the Toronto Maple Leafs are 45c on both Kalshi and Polymarket. That implies about a 56% win probability for Utah.
What time is Mammoth vs Maple Leafs on November 3?
Puck drop is 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, November 3, 2026 at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, per the ESPN scoreboard and the NHL schedule.
Where can I trade Mammoth vs Maple Leafs?
The game trades on Kalshi and Polymarket with a moneyline, puck lines, totals from 1.5 to 9.5 goals and player anytime-goal props. The board carries about $42.4K in total volume.
What is the Mammoth vs Maple Leafs puck line and total?
Utah -1.5 is 35c on both venues and Toronto -1.5 is 25c to 26c. The over 5.5 goals is 66c and the over 6.5 is 55c to 56c as of the morning of November 3.
When does the Mammoth vs Maple Leafs market resolve?
It settles after the game goes final on November 3, 2026. The moneyline counts overtime and shootouts, and the puck line and total settle on the official final score.
What should I watch before Mammoth vs Maple Leafs?
Watch the Toronto goalie choice, since Anthony Stolarz (.910 save percentage) has outplayed Sergei Bobrovsky (.885), and Utah power-play chances against Toronto's 91.1% penalty kill.