Today
Markets
Sports
Baseball
MLB
Basketball
NBA
WNBA
College
Football
NFL
College
CFL
Hockey
NHL
Soccer
World Cup
MLS
La Liga
Tennis
ATP
Golf
Live
News
Browse
Sports
Politics
Crypto
Economics
Finance
Tech
Entertainment
Weather
Gaming
Culture
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? — Live Odds | Prediction Genius
Home
/
Markets
/
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany bef...
Politics
2 Candidates
Futures
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Current Leader
Friedrich Merz
9%
Friedrich Merz at 7%
(+2pt lead)
$2.4M volume
2 candidates
Kalshi, Polymarket
80d until resolution
Chart
Leaderboard
Analysis
Timeline
%
US
DEC
¢
Price History
Top candidates over time
Leaderboard
2 candidates · 2 platforms
#
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket
Best
1
Friedrich Merz
9%
—
9%
▸
2
Friedrich Merz
—
7%
7%
▸
Analysis
Analysis content will be generated by the pipeline.
Timeline
Market Created
Oct 12
We Are Here
Oct 12
Resolution
Dec 31
⚠
Informational content only. Not financial or betting advice. Prediction markets involve risk of loss.
Market Overview
Total Volume
$2.4M
Candidates
2
Platforms
Kalshi, Polymarket
Days Left
80
Leader
Friedrich Merz
Leader Spread
2pt
Resolution
December 31, 2026
Resolves In
79
DAYS
20
HRS
48
MIN
December 31, 2026
Top Movers
7D
Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?: Will Friedrich Merz leave Chancellor of Germany before Jan 1, 2027?
14% → 9%
↓ -5%
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
8% → 7%
↓ -1%
Related News
Ballon d'Or 2026: The Market Is Paying for Goals in a Trophy Vote
sports · 27d ago
French Presidential Election 2027: The Market Is Underpricing Le Pen
politics · 27d ago
Super Bowl LXI: A Full Week of Football Barely Moved a 32-Team Board
sports · 27d ago