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Timeline
Market Created
Jul 10
We Are Here
Jul 10
Resolution
Oct 4
âš Informational content only. Not financial or betting advice. Prediction markets involve risk of loss.
Market Overview
Total Volume$65K
Candidates13
PlatformsKalshi, Polymarket
Days Left86
LeaderLula da Silva, 5-10%
Leader Spread3pt
ResolutionOctober 4, 2026
Resolves In
85
DAYS
17
HRS
25
MIN
October 4, 2026
Top Movers7D
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory: Will the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be between 0% and 5%?: Lula da Silva, 0-5%
26% → 20%
↓ -6%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?
23% → 18%
↓ -5%
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory: Will the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be between 10% and 15%?: Lula da Silva, 10-15%
20% → 25%
↑ +5%
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory: Will the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be above 15%?: Lula da Silva, ≥15%
4% → 8%
↑ +4%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?
22% → 19%
↓ -3%
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory: Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be between 0% and 5%?: Flávio Bolsonaro, 0-5%