Politics3 ThresholdsFutures

Who will run for President in 2028?

Current Leader

Yes27%

$132K volume3 thresholdsKalshi755d until resolution

Market ForecastChance by threshold

Chance of reaching each threshold · the curve crosses 50% at the market's central line

Threshold Board3 thresholds

ThresholdChanceYesNo

by Jan 1, 2028Kalshi

11%11%89%

by November 4, 2028Kalshi

13%13%87%

by Nov 7, 2028lineKalshi

17%17%83%

Analysis

Analysis content will be generated by the pipeline.

Timeline

Market Created

Oct 12

We Are Here

Oct 12

Resolution

Nov 4

⚠Informational content only. Not financial or betting advice. Prediction markets involve risk of loss.

Market Overview

Total Volume$132K

Candidates1

PlatformsKalshi

Days Left755

LeaderYes

ResolutionNovember 4, 2028

Resolves In

754

DAYS

HRS

MIN

November 4, 2028

Top Movers7D

Will Bernie Sanders run for President in 2028?: Will Bernie Sanders run for President of The United States?: Before November 4, 2028

15% → 13%

↓ -2%

Will Trump run for a third term?: Will Donald Trump announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2028?: Before 2028

12% → 11%

↓ -1%

Will Trump run for a third term?: Will Donald Trump announce a run for President of the United States before Nov 7, 2028?: Before Election Day

18% → 17%

↓ -1%

Will Joe Manchin run for president in 2028?: Will Joe Manchin announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?: Yes

26% → 27%

↑ +1%

Who will run for President in 2028?

Current Leader

Yes27%

$132K volume3 thresholdsKalshi755d until resolution

Market ForecastChance by threshold

Chance of reaching each threshold · the curve crosses 50% at the market's central line

Threshold Board3 thresholds

ThresholdChanceYesNo

by Jan 1, 2028Kalshi

11%11%89%

by November 4, 2028Kalshi

13%13%87%

by Nov 7, 2028lineKalshi

17%17%83%

Analysis

Analysis content will be generated by the pipeline.

Timeline

Market Created

Oct 12

We Are Here

Oct 12

Resolution

Nov 4

⚠Informational content only. Not financial or betting advice. Prediction markets involve risk of loss.

Market Overview

Total Volume$132K

Candidates1

PlatformsKalshi

Days Left755

LeaderYes

ResolutionNovember 4, 2028

Resolves In

754

DAYS

HRS

MIN

November 4, 2028

Top Movers7D

Will Bernie Sanders run for President in 2028?: Will Bernie Sanders run for President of The United States?: Before November 4, 2028

15% → 13%

↓ -2%

Will Trump run for a third term?: Will Donald Trump announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2028?: Before 2028

12% → 11%

↓ -1%

Will Trump run for a third term?: Will Donald Trump announce a run for President of the United States before Nov 7, 2028?: Before Election Day

18% → 17%

↓ -1%

Will Joe Manchin run for president in 2028?: Will Joe Manchin announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?: Yes

26% → 27%

↑ +1%