Politics3 ThresholdsFutures

Will Bernie Sanders run for President in 2028?

Current Leader

Yes25%

$102K volume3 thresholdsKalshi849d until resolution

Market ForecastChance by threshold

Chance of reaching each threshold · the curve crosses 50% at the market's central line

Threshold Board3 thresholds

ThresholdChanceYesNo

by Jan 1, 2028Kalshi

17%17%83%

by November 4, 2028Kalshi

14%14%86%

by Nov 7, 2028lineKalshi

24%24%76%

Analysis

Analysis content will be generated by the pipeline.

Timeline

Market Created

Jul 10

We Are Here

Jul 10

Resolution

Nov 4

⚠Informational content only. Not financial or betting advice. Prediction markets involve risk of loss.

Market Overview

Total Volume$102K

Candidates1

PlatformsKalshi

Days Left849

LeaderYes

ResolutionNovember 4, 2028

Resolves In

848

DAYS

HRS

MIN

November 4, 2028

Top Movers7D

Will Trump run for a third term?: Will Donald Trump announce a run for President of the United States before Nov 7, 2028?: Before Election Day

22% → 24%

↑ +2%

Will Trump run for a third term?: Will Donald Trump announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2028?: Before 2028

17% → 17%

· 0%

Will Bernie Sanders run for President in 2028?: Will Bernie Sanders run for President of The United States?: Before November 4, 2028

14% → 14%

· 0%

Will Joe Manchin run for president in 2028?: Will Joe Manchin announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?: Yes

25% → 25%

· 0%

Will Bernie Sanders run for President in 2028?

Current Leader

Yes25%

$102K volume3 thresholdsKalshi849d until resolution

Market ForecastChance by threshold

Chance of reaching each threshold · the curve crosses 50% at the market's central line

Threshold Board3 thresholds

ThresholdChanceYesNo

by Jan 1, 2028Kalshi

17%17%83%

by November 4, 2028Kalshi

14%14%86%

by Nov 7, 2028lineKalshi

24%24%76%

Analysis

Analysis content will be generated by the pipeline.

Timeline

Market Created

Jul 10

We Are Here

Jul 10

Resolution

Nov 4

⚠Informational content only. Not financial or betting advice. Prediction markets involve risk of loss.

Market Overview

Total Volume$102K

Candidates1

PlatformsKalshi

Days Left849

LeaderYes

ResolutionNovember 4, 2028

Resolves In

848

DAYS

HRS

MIN

November 4, 2028

Top Movers7D

Will Trump run for a third term?: Will Donald Trump announce a run for President of the United States before Nov 7, 2028?: Before Election Day

22% → 24%

↑ +2%

Will Trump run for a third term?: Will Donald Trump announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2028?: Before 2028

17% → 17%

· 0%

Will Bernie Sanders run for President in 2028?: Will Bernie Sanders run for President of The United States?: Before November 4, 2028

14% → 14%

· 0%

Will Joe Manchin run for president in 2028?: Will Joe Manchin announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?: Yes

25% → 25%

· 0%