The 2028 Democratic presidential candidate field market trades across roughly $641K in cumulative volume on Kalshi, pricing the probability that each named Democrat actually enters the 2028 presidential race rather than who wins the nomination. A field of more than 35 names splits the board, with the highest-priced entry questions sitting on Andy Beshear, Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, Rahm Emanuel, and Josh Shapiro. The live board above ranks the current price on every name; the market resolves as candidacies become official ahead of the 2028 primaries.
The 2028 Democratic presidential candidate field market answers a different question than the nomination board: not who wins, but who runs. Each contract is a per-candidate probability that a named Democrat formally enters the 2028 presidential race, so a high price reflects expectation of a campaign launch, not strength in the primary. That distinction is what makes the board read the way it does, with several names carrying entry probabilities in the 80s while the actual nomination remains wide open. The live board above ranks every contender by current price; this page covers who the field is, what structurally moves an entry probability, and exactly how each contract resolves.
Andy Beshear and Gavin Newsom sit at the front of the field as the two most heavily backed entry questions, both governors whose national profiles and visible 2028 positioning have markets treating a campaign as close to a base case. For names at this tier, the probability reflects accumulated signals: travel to early-primary states, fundraising infrastructure, and public posture rather than any single announcement. The risk to a high entry price is always the same, a decision to sit the cycle out, which is difficult for the board to price until it happens.
Pete Buttigieg anchors the next layer, a former cabinet member and 2020 candidate whose prior run gives the market a clear template for a 2028 campaign and keeps his entry probability among the highest on the board. Rahm Emanuel and Josh Shapiro round out the top tier of entry questions, with Shapiro's standing as a high-profile governor and Emanuel's long political resume both feeding the expectation of a run. J.B. Pritzker, Kamala Harris, and Ro Khanna follow closely, each carrying an entry probability that reflects an established national platform and visible interest in the race.
Below the leaders the field flattens into a deep tier of credible names, from Cory Booker, Chris Murphy, Wes Moore, and Mark Kelly through Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez near the midpoint of the board, and on into a long tail of lower-priced entry questions. The spread across this group is what makes the market a field rather than a two-name race, and the live board above is the only honest read on which entry probabilities are climbing and which are dormant.
The 2028 Democratic presidential candidate field market resolves per-candidate as each named Democrat's status becomes official ahead of the 2028 primaries. A contract resolves Yes when that candidate formally enters the Democratic presidential race, typically marked by an official campaign announcement or filing, and No if the candidate does not run by the market's settlement date. The listed resolution date carries to January 1, 2028 as a settlement reference, but each individual entry question is fixed the moment that candidate's decision becomes official. This is distinct from the nomination market, which resolves to the single candidate who wins the Democratic nomination.
The entry-field market is the companion to the 2028 Democratic nominee market, which prices who wins the nomination rather than who runs, and the 2028 Republican presidential field market on the other side of the aisle. For the top-line outcome, the 2028 presidential party market tracks which party wins the White House, and the full politics markets hub collects every election, nomination, and field question across both platforms. Page maintained by Genius Staff, refreshed on a review cycle as the field and the prices move.
Resolves per-candidate as each named Democrat's status in the 2028 presidential race becomes official ahead of the primaries. An individual candidate's contract resolves Yes when that person formally enters the Democratic presidential race, typically marked by an official campaign announcement or filing, and No if the candidate does not run by the market's settlement date. The winning side of each contract pays $1 per share; the other side resolves to $0. The listed market settlement date carries to January 1, 2028 as a reference, but each entry question is fixed at the moment that candidate's decision becomes official. This market is distinct from the nomination market, which resolves to the single candidate who wins the Democratic nomination. Tie or void scenarios resolve per platform-specific rules.
The live board above ranks current prices on every candidate's entry question on Kalshi. The highest entry probabilities sit on Andy Beshear, Gavin Newsom, and Pete Buttigieg, followed by Rahm Emanuel and Josh Shapiro across a field of more than 35 named Democrats.
Each candidate's entry question resolves as that person's decision becomes official ahead of the 2028 primaries. The market carries a settlement reference of January 1, 2028, but each contract is fixed the moment a candidate formally enters or declines the race.
This market trades on Kalshi, which lists a per-candidate entry question for each named Democrat. The board above ranks all 35-plus contenders by current price so you can compare every name side by side.
The field market prices whether each Democrat runs for president in 2028, so multiple candidates can carry high entry probabilities at once. The nomination market resolves to the single candidate who wins the Democratic nomination, which is a different question.
Watch for official campaign announcements above all, since a filing resolves a candidate's entry question outright. Then track early-primary-state activity, fundraising infrastructure, and any public decisions to sit the cycle out, which move entry prices fastest.