The Chicago Sky win total has narrowed to two live rungs with nine games left: Chicago sits 13-22 through 35 games of the 44-game schedule, so clearing the 15-win threshold takes three more wins and clearing the 20-win threshold takes eight of nine. The board carries roughly $16.7K in cumulative volume and settles on Chicago's final regular-season win count after the schedule ends September 24, 2026. The live board above carries the current price on each rung.
Chicago has won 13 of 35 games and has nine left. That one line reframes the whole Chicago Sky win total board, because the roster the preseason projection was built on no longer exists. Angel Reese was traded to Atlanta in April, the forward acquired to replace her production tore an ACL in May, and the ladder has narrowed to the two thresholds that still have something to decide.
A season win total is not a contender field. It is a set of over/under thresholds on one number: how many regular-season games the Sky win across the 44-game schedule. Two rungs carry a live price, at 15 wins and at 20 wins, and each is its own binary contract on Kalshi rather than a share of one pool. The exact cents on both sit on the live board above.
The two rungs ask completely different questions. At 13-22 with nine games left, the 15-win rung needs three more Chicago wins. A straight win-rate model on the Sky's .371 season pace puts that around 71%. The 20-win rung needs 21 total wins, which is an 8-1 close, and the same model puts that near 0.2%. Chicago's longest winning streak in 35 games this season is two. The board carries the top rung well above that baseline, which is the normal shape of a thin single-book long shot rather than a read on the schedule.
There is no Polymarket line on this ladder. Every price here is a single-platform Kalshi quote, so there is no cross-platform spread to read on this board and roughly $16.7K in cumulative volume sits behind the whole ladder.
The front office rebuilt this roster in April. Chicago traded Angel Reese to Atlanta on April 6, 2026 for two future first-round picks, then sent Ariel Atkins to Los Angeles on April 12 for Rickea Jackson. Jackson averaged 22 points across her first four games in Chicago before tearing her left ACL against Minnesota on May 17, which ended her season. The Atlanta win total has spent the year pricing the other side of that trade.
What is left is a veteran group anchored by Kamilla Cardoso, who leads the team at 14.8 points and 8.7 rebounds per game across 34 appearances, with Sydney Taylor at 14.7 points and Natasha Cloud running the offense at 5.0 assists. The team numbers explain 13-22 cleanly: Chicago scores 87.5 points per game and allows 89.9, a -2.4 differential and -82 points on the season. The three-point line is the specific hole at 32.3% on 23.0 attempts per game. That mix produces close losses and very few runs, which is why the win column climbs in ones instead of in streaks.
Schedule shape decides the rest of it. Five of the final nine are at home, where the Sky are 8-9, against a 5-13 road record. The closing slate runs New York, Golden State, Indiana, Connecticut, New York, Washington, Atlanta, Toronto, and Washington, and it splits around a three-week gap between August 29 and September 18 into a five-game block and a four-game block. Chicago also sits 10th in the 15-team league, 6.5 games back of the eighth and final playoff spot, which is why the Sky playoff market and this win-total ladder have decoupled: the win total still has a live threshold, the postseason question effectively does not.
Every rung settles on Chicago's official 2026 WNBA regular-season win count once the 44-game schedule is complete. The Sky's last scheduled game is at Washington on September 24, 2026, so the number locks that night absent a postponement or a makeup game. An over rung pays $1 per share if the Sky finish with more wins than the threshold and $0 otherwise, with no partial settlement at the number itself. Postseason results do not count toward the total. Official makeup and tiebreaker games that appear in the league standings do.
The rest of the WNBA futures board frames what Chicago's number means. The WNBA championship market prices the contenders the Sky are measured against, the Indiana win total is the highest-volume team ladder on the board, and the Connecticut win total covers the one team below Chicago in the standings on the same threshold structure. The WNBA MVP market tracks the individual race, and the full slate of team ladders, playoff contracts, and nightly games lives on the WNBA hub.
Resolves on the Chicago Sky's final win total across the 2026 WNBA regular season, settling once the 44-game schedule is complete. The Sky's last scheduled game is at Washington on September 24, 2026. Each over rung on the ladder pays $1 per share if Chicago finishes with more regular-season wins than that threshold and resolves to $0 otherwise, with no partial settlement at the number itself. Official makeup and tiebreaker games that count in the league standings count toward the total; postseason games do not. If the season is shortened, the threshold settles against the official adjusted standings per each platform's rules.
Two thresholds carry a live price, 15 wins and 20 wins, across the 44-game WNBA regular season. Chicago is 13-22 through 35 games, so the 15-win rung needs three more wins and the 20-win rung needs eight of the final nine. The live board above shows the current price on each.
It settles on the Sky's final regular-season win count once the 44-game schedule is complete. Chicago's last scheduled game is at Washington on September 24, 2026. Postseason results do not count toward the total.
The ladder trades on Kalshi only. There is no matching Polymarket line, so each rung is a single-platform quote rather than a cross-platform comparison, with roughly $16.7K in cumulative volume across the board.
As of August 18, 2026, the 15-win rung trades at 80c on Kalshi and the 20-win rung at 8c. The 15-win rung is the only one with a genuine two-way question left, since 20 wins would require an 8-1 finish.
Watch the five-game home block from August 19 through August 25 first, since five of the final nine are at home where Chicago is 8-9 against a 5-13 road record. Kamilla Cardoso availability and the three-point rate, currently 32.3%, are the two swing inputs on the closing stretch.