The Chicago Sky 2026 WNBA playoff question is settled. Chicago was eliminated on August 23, 2026, when a 113-90 loss to Indiana dropped the Sky to 15-23 and tenth in a fifteen-team league. Eight teams have already banked more wins than Chicago can finish with, so the no side is a fact rather than a forecast. The contract has traded roughly $6.8K on Kalshi and settles on the final regular-season standings after Chicago's last game on September 24, 2026. The live board above carries the current price.
The Chicago Sky are out. A 113-90 home loss to Indiana on August 23, 2026 dropped Chicago to 15-23, and with Washington and New York clinching berths the same day, the last path closed. It is the third straight season the Sky miss the postseason, and it arrived with six games still on the schedule. This page is no longer a read on a race. It is a read on a question that has already been answered and is waiting on the calendar.
Eight of the WNBA's fifteen teams reach the playoffs on overall regular-season record, with no conference split. Chicago sits 15-23 with six games left, so the ceiling is 21 wins. Minnesota at 31-7, Las Vegas at 26-13, Indiana at 25-14, Golden State at 25-11, Atlanta at 24-13, New York at 23-15, Washington at 22-15 and Dallas at 22-16 have all already banked at least 22. That is eight teams sitting above Chicago's best case, which is why the Sky are listed as eliminated rather than as a long shot.
The board has followed the math. Kalshi is the only book carrying this contract, and the yes side has been pushed to the 1c floor with the no side at the other end of the range. Roughly $6.8K has changed hands over the life of the market. The live board above shows the current number, and there is no result left on the schedule that moves it.
Chicago traded Angel Reese to Atlanta in the offseason for first-round picks in 2027 and 2028 plus 2028 second-round swap rights, and the two halves of that trade landed on the same night. Reese scored a career-high 31 on August 23 as the Dream clinched a playoff berth. Chicago lost by 23 at home and was eliminated hours later.
The rebuild is not a failure on its own terms. The Sky went 10-34 in 2025 and sit at 15-23 now, five more wins with six still to play, on a -95 point differential that works out to -2.5 a night. Kamilla Cardoso is the anchor at 14.7 points and 8.8 rebounds on 54.7% shooting across 37 games. Natasha Cloud runs the offense at 11.5 points and 5.0 assists. Sydney Taylor has been the efficient scorer at 14.2 points in 20.4 minutes on 34.8% from three. Skylar Diggins and Rickea Jackson are both listed out.
The number that explains the miss is location. Chicago is 10-10 at home and 5-13 on the road. A team that wins one road game in four does not climb from tenth to eighth.
Six games, split by a two-and-a-half week league break. Chicago visits Connecticut on August 25 and New York on August 29, then the WNBA shuts down from August 31 to September 17 for the FIBA Women's World Cup in Berlin, which runs September 4 to 13. The Sky return home against Washington on September 18, play at Atlanta on September 19, host Toronto on September 23 and close at Washington on September 24.
None of it changes Chicago's own status, but four of those six games are against teams that have already clinched, so the Sky spend September as a seeding variable for other people. The live eighth-seed question belongs to Dallas at 22-16 and Portland at 15-22, and those two prices sit on the Dallas Wings playoff market and the Portland Fire playoff market. Chicago plays neither team again.
The contract settles on the final 2026 regular-season standings, and the outcome is already determinate. Chicago's last game is at Washington on September 24, 2026, and the league's regular season closes September 25, 2026, so settlement follows once the standings are certified. Each share pays $1 on the winning side and $0 on the other. Tiebreaker procedures that decide a playoff seed count toward qualification, and nothing that happens in the postseason itself affects this market.
The live Chicago question is now how many of the last six the Sky win, which trades on the Chicago Sky win total. For the races that are still open, the 2026 WNBA championship odds cover the eight-team bracket and the No. 1 seed market prices the team that finishes first overall, where Minnesota has built the largest cushion in the league. Individual honors run through the 2026 WNBA MVP market. Every WNBA contract we carry sits on the WNBA hub.
Resolves yes if the Chicago Sky qualify for the 2026 WNBA postseason and no if they do not. Eight of the league's fifteen teams reach the playoffs on overall regular-season record, with no conference split. Chicago was eliminated on August 23, 2026 at 15-23, leaving a maximum of 21 wins against eight teams that had already reached 22, so the outcome is determinate and the contract settles no on the final standings after the regular season ends September 25, 2026. Each share pays $1 on the winning side and $0 on the other. Tiebreaker procedures that decide a playoff seed count toward qualification, and the contract is unaffected by anything that happens once the postseason begins.
No. Chicago was eliminated on August 23, 2026 after a 113-90 home loss to Indiana dropped the Sky to 15-23. Eight teams had already reached 22 wins, one more than Chicago's maximum of 21.
It settles on the final 2026 regular-season standings. Chicago's last game is at Washington on September 24, 2026, and the league's regular season ends September 25, 2026.
Kalshi is the only book carrying it, as a single yes/no on whether the Sky qualify. Roughly $6.8K has traded over the life of the contract.
The yes side has sat at the 1c floor since the August 23, 2026 elimination, with the no side at the top of the range. The live board above shows the current price.
Six games, four against teams that have already clinched, so Chicago plays September as a spoiler. The Sky close at Washington on September 24, 2026, and Kamilla Cardoso's 8.8 rebounds a game plus the 5-13 road record are the two markers for the 2027 build.