Politics4 ThresholdsFutures

Who Will Trump Pardon Before 2027?

Current Leader

Donald Brodie28%

Stefan Brodie at 17%(+11pt lead)

$1.8M volume4 thresholdsPolymarket388d until resolution

Market ForecastChance by threshold

Chance of reaching each threshold · the curve crosses 50% at the market's central line

Threshold Board4 thresholds

ThresholdChanceYesNo

by Jan 1, 2027Kalshi

34%34%66%

by Jan 10, 2027lineKalshi

65%65%35%

by Mar 1, 2027Kalshi

74%74%26%

by March 31, 2027Polymarket

89%89%11%

Analysis

Analysis content will be generated by the pipeline.

Timeline

Market Created

Oct 12

We Are Here

Oct 12

Resolution

Nov 3

⚠Informational content only. Not financial or betting advice. Prediction markets involve risk of loss.

Market Overview

Total Volume$1.8M

Candidates29

PlatformsPolymarket

Days Left388

LeaderDonald Brodie

Leader Spread11pt

ResolutionNovember 3, 2027

Resolves In

387

DAYS

HRS

MIN

November 3, 2027

Top Movers7D

Jair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?

50% → 89%

↑ +39%

Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned?: Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned before Mar 1, 2027?

51% → 74%

↑ +23%

Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned?: Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned before Jan 10, 2027?

50% → 65%

↑ +15%

Who will Trump pardon in 2026?: Will Julian Assange receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?

13% → 5%

↓ -8%

Who will Trump pardon in 2026?: Will Edward Snowden receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?

12% → 5%

↓ -7%

Who will Trump pardon in 2026?: Will Keonne Rodriguez receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?

18% → 11%

↓ -7%

Who Will Trump Pardon Before 2027?

Current Leader

Donald Brodie28%

Stefan Brodie at 17%(+11pt lead)

$1.8M volume4 thresholdsPolymarket388d until resolution

Market ForecastChance by threshold

Chance of reaching each threshold · the curve crosses 50% at the market's central line

Threshold Board4 thresholds

ThresholdChanceYesNo

by Jan 1, 2027Kalshi

34%34%66%

by Jan 10, 2027lineKalshi

65%65%35%

by Mar 1, 2027Kalshi

74%74%26%

by March 31, 2027Polymarket

89%89%11%

Analysis

Analysis content will be generated by the pipeline.

Timeline

Market Created

Oct 12

We Are Here

Oct 12

Resolution

Nov 3

⚠Informational content only. Not financial or betting advice. Prediction markets involve risk of loss.

Market Overview

Total Volume$1.8M

Candidates29

PlatformsPolymarket

Days Left388

LeaderDonald Brodie

Leader Spread11pt

ResolutionNovember 3, 2027

Resolves In

387

DAYS

HRS

MIN

November 3, 2027

Top Movers7D

Jair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?

50% → 89%

↑ +39%

Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned?: Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned before Mar 1, 2027?

51% → 74%

↑ +23%

Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned?: Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned before Jan 10, 2027?

50% → 65%

↑ +15%

Who will Trump pardon in 2026?: Will Julian Assange receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?

13% → 5%

↓ -8%

Who will Trump pardon in 2026?: Will Edward Snowden receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?

12% → 5%

↓ -7%

Who will Trump pardon in 2026?: Will Keonne Rodriguez receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?

18% → 11%

↓ -7%