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Will Trump recognize Somaliland? — Live Odds | Prediction Genius
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Will Trump recognize Somaliland?
Politics
3 Thresholds
Futures
Will Trump recognize Somaliland?
Current Leader
Yes
4%
$213K volume
3 thresholds
Polymarket
832d until resolution
Chart
Leaderboard
Analysis
Timeline
%
US
DEC
¢
Market Forecast
Chance by threshold
Chance of reaching each threshold · the curve crosses 50% at the market's central line
Threshold Board
3 thresholds
Threshold
Chance
Yes
No
by Jan 1, 2027
Kalshi
8%
8%
92%
by Jan 1, 2028
Kalshi
30%
30%
70%
by Jan 20, 2029
line
Kalshi
51%
51%
49%
Analysis
Analysis content will be generated by the pipeline.
Timeline
Market Created
Oct 12
We Are Here
Oct 12
Resolution
Jan 20
⚠
Informational content only. Not financial or betting advice. Prediction markets involve risk of loss.
Market Overview
Total Volume
$213K
Candidates
1
Platforms
Polymarket
Days Left
832
Leader
Yes
Resolution
January 20, 2029
Resolves In
831
DAYS
11
HRS
52
MIN
January 20, 2029
Top Movers
7D
Will Trump recognize Somaliland?: Before Jan 1, 2028
50% → 30%
↓ -20%
Will Trump recognize Somaliland?: Before 2027
12% → 8%
↓ -4%
Will Trump recognize Somaliland?: Before Jan 20, 2029
53% → 51%
↓ -2%
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
4% → 4%
· 0%
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