Zevan Hunt vs Mayton Perea Prediction Market Odds, September 15, 2026
| Spread | Total | ML | Best ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Hunt | — | O 0.5 — | 100% | 100% Polymarket |
Perea | — | U 0.5 — | — | — |
| Spread | Total | Moneyline | Best ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Zevan Hunt | — | O 0.5 — | 100% | 100% Polymarket |
Mayton Perea | — | U 0.5 — | — | — |
Zevan Hunt vs Mayton Perea closes Dana White's Contender Series Season 10, Week 6 as the welterweight main event, and the board treats it as the coin flip the records suggest. Perea (8-3) is priced at 53% and Hunt (7-0) at 48% as of the September 15, 2026 captures, a gap inside the width of the book. The live board above carries the current numbers. Roughly $2.0K in lifetime volume has traded across the fight, nearly all of it on the two moneyline legs, and the bout goes three rounds at the UFC APEX in Las Vegas at 7 p.m. ET on Paramount+.
Two fighters who almost never hear the judges meet in the Week 6 main event, and the market cannot separate them. Mayton Perea sits at 53% and Zevan Hunt at 48% on the September 15, 2026 board, a spread narrow enough that the favorite label is close to arbitrary. Hunt is 7-0 with six finishes. Perea is 8-3 and has never once reached a decision in eleven professional fights, winning eight times inside the distance and losing all three the same way. A Contender Series contract sits on the other side of it.
Hunt vs Perea Market Context
The moneyline has barely moved. Across nine captures per leg spanning 8:36 p.m. to 10:11 p.m. ET on September 14, 2026, Perea slipped from 54% to 53% and Hunt ticked from 47% to 48%, a single percentage point of drift in Hunt's direction over roughly 95 minutes. That is the window of snapshot history the board actually holds for this fight, 43 ticks in total, so it describes the final evening before the card rather than an open-to-now move. Lifetime volume across the whole board runs about $2.0K, with essentially all of it concentrated in the two moneyline legs.
The method and round markets are a different story and deserve a warning rather than a read. The KO/TKO, submission and decision legs are posted with no price and zero lifetime volume behind them. The round totals at 1.5 and 2.5 are unpriced as well. The one method leg carrying a number, fight to go the distance at 77%, sits on about $6 of lifetime volume and is a single last-trade print rather than a two-sided book. Against two records that produced fourteen finishes in eighteen combined pro fights, that number is not a market opinion worth trading on, and it is quoted here only so nobody mistakes it for one.
Hunt vs Perea Styles and Finish Records
Hunt, 27, fights out of American Elite in Edmond, Oklahoma, and built the 7-0 record almost entirely at Rage in the Cage OKC. The finishing pattern is front-loaded: five of his seven wins ended in round one. His methods split evenly, three by KO or TKO and three by submission, with the lone decision a split verdict over Donovan Beard in June 2024. His most recent work is the most relevant to Tuesday, a second-round kneebar over Devin Smyth at Peak Fighting 51 on March 21, 2026. Beard and Smyth are both Contender Series veterans, which is the strongest line on his resume. It also means Hunt enters on roughly a six-month layoff. Combat Press previewed him as a grappler who wants the fight on the mat.
Perea, 26, represents DC Team Ecuador in Machala and arrives with the more decorated athletic background. The UFC's own preview describes a wrestler with multiple national titles and an Inka FC belt, pitching him as the first Ecuadorian fighter chasing a contract on the show, and frames his game as wrestling defense paired with power striking. Combat Press reads him as a tall, long striker who wants distance. His last three wins came by knockout or TKO: a first-round finish of Cristian Minda Minda on November 22, 2025, a third-round stoppage of Bruno Rodriguez on February 25, 2026, and a first-round knockout of Wellington Madeira on May 27, 2026.
The honest counterweight sits in his losses. Perea has been finished in all three defeats, twice by submission, including a first-round rear-naked choke against Abner Cueva in May 2022 and an armbar against Cristian Andrade in March 2021. His third loss, to Alexey Lyapunov in June 2024, came by KO/TKO in round two. Hunt's three submission wins point directly at that history, and it is the single clearest reason a 48% price on the undefeated fighter is defensible. The counter-read is just as clean: if Perea keeps the fight standing at range, he is the harder puncher and has stopped three straight.
Both men made weight, Hunt at 170 pounds and Perea at 171, with Perea needing a second trip to the scale. All ten fighters on the card weighed in successfully.
When the Hunt vs Perea Market Resolves
The market resolves to the fighter who wins the bout on September 15, 2026 at the UFC APEX in Las Vegas. It is scheduled for three rounds as the Week 6 main event, streaming on Paramount+ from 7 p.m. ET. Settlement follows the official result, so a stoppage, a submission or a unanimous, split or majority decision all resolve the moneyline to the winner. A draw or a no contest is handled under platform-specific rules rather than paying a side. The contract decision that follows is a separate matter from settlement: winning the fight settles the market, while Dana White's contract offer is discretionary and does not bear on how the board pays.
Key Hunt vs Perea Catalysts
- Perea's finish-or-be-finished history: eleven pro fights, zero decisions, with all eight wins and all three losses ending inside the distance.
- The submission lane: Hunt owns three submission wins, and Perea has been submitted twice, including a first-round rear-naked choke.
- Perea's power run: three consecutive KO or TKO wins, the most recent a first-round finish of Wellington Madeira on May 27, 2026.
- Hunt's layoff and level: roughly six months since the kneebar over Devin Smyth, against the two Contender Series veterans on his record.
- A flat moneyline: one percentage point of drift across the 95 minutes of captures ending 10:11 p.m. ET on September 14, 2026.
Related Hunt vs Perea Markets
Contender Series prospects are the feeder pool for the divisional boards, and the UFC welterweight champion market is where a winner here would eventually need to register. Earlier Season 10 fights price the same way this one does, with thin books and near coin-flip lines: see the Loud vs Natividad flyweight board and the Pasley vs Berisha light heavyweight board, both from the September 8 card. For the longer-dated view, the pound-for-pound year-end market tracks the names these prospects are chasing, and the full sports prediction market board carries every live fight and game.
Resolution Criteria
Resolves to the fighter who wins the Zevan Hunt vs Mayton Perea welterweight bout at the UFC APEX in Las Vegas on September 15, 2026, the main event of Dana White's Contender Series Season 10, Week 6, scheduled for three rounds and streaming on Paramount+ from 7 p.m. ET. Settlement follows the official result announced in the cage, covering a knockout, technical knockout, submission, or a unanimous, split or majority decision. Each winning contract pays $1 per share and the losing side resolves to $0. A draw, a no contest, or a bout that is cancelled or postponed past the scheduled date is handled under platform-specific rules rather than paying either fighter. The Contender Series contract decision that follows the fight is discretionary and has no bearing on how this market settles.
Key Factors
- Perea has never reached a decision in eleven pro fights, with all eight wins and all three losses ending inside the distance
- Hunt's three submission wins against a Perea record that carries two submission losses, including a first-round rear-naked choke
- Perea's three-fight KO/TKO streak, most recently a first-round stoppage of Wellington Madeira on May 27, 2026
- Hunt's roughly six-month layoff since the second-round kneebar over Devin Smyth on March 21, 2026
- A flat moneyline, one percentage point of drift across the 95 minutes of captures ending 10:11 p.m. ET on September 14, 2026
- Method and round props are posted but effectively untraded, so they carry no usable market signal
What are the current Zevan Hunt vs Mayton Perea odds?
As of the September 15, 2026 board, Mayton Perea is priced at 53% and Zevan Hunt at 48%, which is close to a coin flip. The live board above the article carries the current numbers as they move.
Who is favored in Hunt vs Perea and by how much?
Perea is the nominal favorite at a 53% implied probability against 48% for Hunt, a gap of about five points. Perea is 8-3 with eight finishes and Hunt is 7-0 with six, so the records support a line this tight.
When does the Hunt vs Perea market resolve?
It resolves on September 15, 2026, once the official result of the three-round welterweight main event at the UFC APEX is announced. The card streams on Paramount+ beginning at 7 p.m. ET.
Do the method of victory and round props tell you anything?
Not on this board. The KO/TKO, submission and decision legs carry no price and zero lifetime volume, and the only method leg with a number, fight to go the distance at 77%, sits on about $6 of lifetime volume as a single last-trade print rather than a real book.
What should I watch before Hunt vs Perea resolves?
Watch whether the fight starts at range or on the mat. Perea has stopped three straight opponents by knockout or TKO, while Hunt has three submission wins and Perea has been submitted twice, so the first successful takedown attempt is the swing point for a market sitting within five points of even.