| Spread | Total | ML | Best ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
â–¶Fever | +4.5 45% | O 181.5 54% | 33%34% | 34% Polymarket |
â–¶Aces | -4.5 55% | U 181.5 46% | 67%67% | 67% Kalshi |
| Spread | Total | Moneyline | Best ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
â–¶Indiana Fever | +4.5 | O 181.5 | 34% Polymarket | |
â–¶Las Vegas Aces | -4.5 | U 181.5 | 67% Kalshi |
No player props available for this game.
The Las Vegas Aces are the 67c home favorite over the Indiana Fever on the July 12, 2026 Fever vs Aces board, priced identically at 67c on Kalshi and Polymarket for an implied 67% edge. Las Vegas enters 17-6 and 10-2 at home behind A'ja Wilson (26.0 PPG), while Indiana arrives 13-9 and 5-5 on the road with Caitlin Clark (20.5 PPG, 7.9 APG). The moneyline has moved one-way toward the Aces, from 59c to 67c on Kalshi. The live board above tracks current cross-platform prices.
The Las Vegas Aces are the 67c home favorite over the Indiana Fever on the July 12, 2026 board, priced identically at 67c on Kalshi and Polymarket. Las Vegas enters 17-6 overall and 10-2 at Michelob ULTRA Arena, while Indiana arrives 13-9 and a middling 5-5 on the road. The moneyline has moved toward the Aces all session, climbing from 59c to 67c on Kalshi while the Fever slid from 45c to 33c.
The moneyline prices the Aces at 67c (67c Kalshi, 67c Polymarket) and the Fever at 33.5c (33c Kalshi, 34c Polymarket), an implied 67% to 33% split. The two books are in lockstep on the favorite, with a 1c gap on Indiana and no gap on Las Vegas, so there is no cross-platform value to capture on this game. That agreement is itself the signal: when Kalshi and Polymarket converge to the cent, the market is confident in the number.
Line movement backs the Aces. Las Vegas opened the tracked window at 59c on Kalshi and steamed to 67c, an 8c move, while Indiana dropped from 45c to 33c on Kalshi and from 43c to 34c on Polymarket. The direction is one-way toward Las Vegas, with the Fever's price fading on both books.
The spread and total fill in the shape. Polymarket lists the Aces at -6.5 priced at 49c, essentially a coin flip on that number, and Kalshi's ladder brackets it: Las Vegas by more than 4.5 points trades at 55c and by more than 7.5 at 45c, so the implied winning margin is roughly 6 to 7 points. The total sits near 182.5, with over 181.5 at 54c and over 184.5 at 46c, an efficient over-under for two offenses that both score in bunches.
The star matchup is A'ja Wilson against the Fever's guard-driven attack. Wilson is averaging 26.0 points, 9.4 rebounds, and 2.0 blocks per game and anchors a 10-2 home team. Indiana counters with Kelsey Mitchell at 22.5 points per game and Caitlin Clark at 20.5 points and a team-high 7.9 assists, with Aliyah Boston controlling the glass at 8.6 rebounds. Chelsea Gray (7.3 assists) sets the table for Las Vegas. The gap in interior scoring is what the 67c line reflects.
The Fever vs Aces market resolves on the final score of the game in Las Vegas on July 12, 2026. The moneyline pays the team that wins outright, the spread settles on the winning margin against each listed number, and the total settles on combined points scored. Kalshi and Polymarket mark the contracts final once the game is official, typically within hours of the buzzer. A postponement moves resolution to the completion date of the rescheduled game.
These teams met earlier on the July 5 Fever vs Aces board, and the season-long picture trades on the Aces season wins and Fever season wins markets. Both franchises factor into the WNBA championship and WNBA MVP races, where A'ja Wilson and Caitlin Clark carry the odds. For the rest of the night see the WNBA hub or the other July 12 game between the Storm and Mystics.
Resolves to the final score of the Indiana Fever at Las Vegas Aces game in Las Vegas on July 12, 2026. The moneyline contract pays the team that wins the game outright, with each side settling at $1 per share for the winner and $0 for the loser. Spread contracts settle on the winning margin against each listed line, and total contracts settle on the combined points scored by both teams. Kalshi and Polymarket mark the market final once the game is official, usually within hours of the final buzzer. If the game is postponed, resolution moves to the completion date of the rescheduled game.
As of July 12, 2026, the Las Vegas Aces are the 67c favorite (67c on Kalshi and 67c on Polymarket) over the Indiana Fever at 33.5c (33c Kalshi, 34c Polymarket), an implied 67% chance for Las Vegas.
The Las Vegas Aces are favored at 67c, an implied 67% win probability. They enter 17-6 overall and 10-2 at home, while the Fever are 13-9 and 5-5 on the road.
Both Kalshi and Polymarket list the game. The moneyline is priced at 67c for the Aces on both platforms, and Kalshi carries the deeper spread and total ladders.
The market implies the Aces by about 6 to 7 points, with Polymarket pricing Las Vegas -6.5 at 49c. The total sits near 182.5, with over 181.5 points at 54c on Kalshi.
Watch A'ja Wilson's status and the line direction: the Aces have climbed from 59c to 67c on Kalshi this session. Any late news on Caitlin Clark's availability would swing the Fever's 33c price.