| Spread | Total | ML | Best ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Fire | +3.5 — | O 186.5 — | 0%0% | — |
Tempo | -3.5 — | U 186.5 — | 100%100% | 100% Kalshi |
| Spread | Total | Moneyline | Best ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Fire | +3.5 — | O 186.5 — | 0%0% | — |
Tempo | -3.5 — | U 186.5 — | 100%100% | 100% Kalshi |
Portland is the 56.5c favorite for the Portland Fire vs Toronto Tempo game in Vancouver on Friday, August 21, 2026, priced at 57c on Kalshi and 56c on Polymarket after opening the session at 53c and 51c. The Fire arrive 15-20 and 4-1 in their last five, the Tempo 10-25 on a 12-game losing streak whose last win came July 12. Portland has taken both 2026 meetings by 19 and 14 points, and the board carries $33.1K in lifetime volume across the two platforms.
Toronto is 10-25 and has not won a game since July 12. Portland is 15-20 and has won four of its last five. The market still prices this within a possession, with the Fire at 56.5c across Kalshi and Polymarket, because the two teams are separated by only 2.2 points of season scoring differential and the Tempo hold the nominal home floor. Tip is 7:00 PM PT (10:00 PM ET) on Friday, August 21, 2026 at Rogers Arena in Vancouver, on ION, TSN and WNBA League Pass.
The Portland Fire vs Toronto Tempo moneyline is the most traded leg on the board, carrying $18.4K of lifetime volume on the Portland side and $6.5K on Toronto out of $33.1K across both platforms. Portland opened Thursday at 53c on Kalshi and 51c on Polymarket and has traded up to 57c and 56c, a four to five cent move in a single session inside a 51c to 57c range. The sportsbook market moved the same way, from Portland -1.5 at open to Portland -2.5. Kalshi and Polymarket now sit 1c apart on the favorite, so there is no cross-platform pricing gap worth chasing on the winner.
Portland (15-20, 7-10 on the road) scores 86.7 points per game and allows 91.1, a differential of -4.4. Carla Leite leads the Fire at 15.7 points and 6.2 assists per game, with Emily Engstler at 5.3 rebounds. The Fire shoot 45.3% from the field and have attempted 1,024 threes, third most in the league, converting 34.9%. The caveat on the four-of-five run is margin: the two most recent wins were 84-82 at Seattle on August 15 and 88-85 at Phoenix on August 16, back-to-back road results decided by a combined five points.
Toronto (10-25, 6-12 at home) scores 87.7 and allows 94.3, a differential of -6.6, and has lost 12 straight since beating New York 93-91 on July 12. The efficiency profile is better than the record suggests: 44.6% from the field, 35.5% from three (fourth in the league), 81.1% from the free throw line and 20.0 assists per game. Brittney Sykes is the Tempo rating leader at 19.8 points, 3.7 rebounds and 3.6 assists, and Julie Allemand runs the offense at 5.7 assists. The 94.3 points allowed is what turns those shooting numbers into a 10-25 record.
Head to head, Portland is 2-0 in 2026 and neither result was close: 99-80 in Toronto on May 23 and 97-83 in Portland on August 7. Toronto is the designated home team Friday, but the game is staged at Rogers Arena in Vancouver, more than 2,000 miles from Toronto, and the Tempo arrive off a 93-82 road loss at Washington on August 19. Two games in three days plus a cross-continent flight is a reasonable explanation for why the market is not extending Toronto full home-court credit.
The spread ladder prices Portland -1.5 at 53c on Kalshi and 51c on Polymarket, Portland -3.5 at 44c, Portland -6.5 at 36c and Portland -9.5 at 23c. That shape is consistent with a favorite of about two and a half points, and it puts a repeat of the two double-digit head-to-head margins at roughly a one-in-four proposition. The Toronto side of the same ladder is thin by comparison: Toronto -1.5 trades at 43c on $125 of lifetime volume against $4.5K on the Portland -1.5 leg, so the depth sits entirely on the favorite.
The Kalshi total ladder runs Over 172.5 at 74c, Over 181.5 at 54c, Over 184.5 at 48c and Over 190.5 at 35c, which implies a number just above 182. Polymarket agrees from the other direction, with O/U 185.5 at 46c and O/U 186.5 at 43c. That sits roughly eight points above the two teams' combined scoring averages of 174.4, and the reason is defense on both ends: blend each side's points scored with the other side's points allowed and the neutral projection lands near 180. The total has been falling all session, with Kalshi's Over 181.5 dropping from 66c Thursday morning to 54c, matching the sportsbook move from 185.5 down to 182.5.
Player props are listed on Polymarket for Carla Leite, Brittney Sykes, Bridget Carleton, Emily Engstler, Kiki Rice and Megan DiLeo, but nearly every leg carries no price yet. Emily Engstler assists over 2.5 at 42c is the only prop with a live quote, and it has traded under $10, so the prop board reads as a listing rather than a priced market. Anyone trading this game seriously is doing it on the moneyline, the spread ladder or the total.
The Portland Fire vs Toronto Tempo market resolves on the final score of the game at Rogers Arena on Friday, August 21, 2026, scheduled for 7:00 PM PT (10:00 PM ET). Moneyline contracts pay $1 per share on the winning team and $0 on the loser, overtime included. Spread contracts settle on the final margin, so Portland -2.5 pays only if Portland wins by three or more, and total contracts settle on combined final points with overtime counted. Both Kalshi and Polymarket settle from the official WNBA box score once the game goes final.
Neither team is playing for position. Portland's playoff market trades at 4c on Kalshi and Toronto's playoff market at 1c, so both boards have effectively priced these seasons as finished. The Portland Fire season win total is the remaining futures lane with anything left to settle for the Fire. The 2026 WNBA champion market carries $791K in lifetime volume and is where the league's real money sits, with Minnesota at 46c on Polymarket. Every live WNBA board, game and futures, is indexed on the WNBA hub.
Resolves to the team that wins the WNBA game between the Portland Fire and the Toronto Tempo at Rogers Arena in Vancouver on Friday, August 21, 2026, with a scheduled tip of 7:00 PM PT (10:00 PM ET). Moneyline contracts pay $1 per share on the winning team and $0 on the losing team, with overtime counting toward the final result. Spread contracts settle on the final margin, so a Portland -2.5 contract pays only if Portland wins by three points or more, and total contracts settle on combined final points including overtime. Kalshi and Polymarket both settle from the official WNBA box score once the game is final. If the game is postponed, the contract rolls to the rescheduled date; if it is canceled and not replayed, contracts void and settle under each platform cancellation rule.
As of the evening of August 20, 2026, Portland is 57c on Kalshi and 56c on Polymarket for an average of 56.5c, and Toronto is 44c on Kalshi and 45c on Polymarket. Portland opened the session at 53c on Kalshi.
Portland is favored at an implied probability of about 56.5% on the moneyline and roughly 2.5 points on the spread ladder, where Portland -1.5 trades at 53c on Kalshi. Portland is 15-20 against Toronto at 10-25.
It resolves on the final score of the game at Rogers Arena in Vancouver on Friday, August 21, 2026, scheduled for 7:00 PM PT (10:00 PM ET). Kalshi and Polymarket settle from the official WNBA box score, with overtime included.
Both Kalshi and Polymarket list this game, and the board carries $33.1K in lifetime volume across the two. Kalshi offers the deeper spread and total ladders, while Polymarket carries the player prop listings.
Watch whether Portland holds above 57c after a four cent one-session move, and whether the total keeps sliding after Kalshi Over 181.5 fell from 66c to 54c. Toronto is on one day of rest after losing 93-82 at Washington on August 19.