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Extreme Events
Dec 31
How many confirmed VEI 4+ volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026
1
E0
exactly 0
62%
2
E1
exactly 1
26%
3
E2
exactly 2
4%
+3 more candidates
across 1 platform
P 62%
$1.2M · 6 mkts
View Market →
Extreme Events
Dec 31
Magnitude 7.0+ Earthquakes Worldwide in 2026
1
B1
between 14 and 16
44%
2
B1
between 17 and 19
36%
3
2O
20 or more
11%
+2 more candidates
across 1 platform
P 44%
$1.0M · 5 mkts
View Market →
Climate
Jan 1
2026
1
2
2026
73%
2
2
2026
73%
K 73%
across 2 platforms
$898K · 2 mkts
View Market →
Extreme Events
Dec 31
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
1%
Yes →
99%
No →
across 1 platform
P 1%
$811K · 1 mkts
View Market →
Extreme Events
Dec 31
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
14%
Yes →
86%
No →
across 1 platform
P 14%
$341K · 1 mkts
View Market →
Weather
Dec 31
Natural Disaster in 2026?
25%
Yes →
75%
No →
across 1 platform
P 25%
$242K · 1 mkts
View Market →
Most Popular
Extreme Events
How many confirmed VEI 4+ volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026
$1.2M
Extreme Events
Magnitude 7.0+ Earthquakes Worldwide in 2026
$1.0M
Climate
2026
$898K
Extreme Events
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$811K
Extreme Events
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
$341K
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20% → 71%
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