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US
Dec
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Extreme Events
Dec 31
How many confirmed VEI 4+ volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026
1
E0
exactly 0
67%
2
E1
exactly 1
24%
3
E2
exactly 2
3%
+3 more candidates
across 1 platform
P 67%
$1.2M · 6 mkts
View Market →
Extreme Events
Dec 31
Magnitude 7.0+ Earthquakes Worldwide in 2026
1
B1
between 14 and 16
44%
2
B1
between 11 and 13
21%
3
B1
between 17 and 19
20%
+3 more candidates
across 1 platform
P 44%
$1.1M · 6 mkts
View Market →
Extreme Events
Dec 31
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
2%
Yes →
98%
No →
across 1 platform
P 2%
$722K · 1 mkts
View Market →
Climate
Jan 1
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
26%
Yes →
74%
No →
K 23%
across 2 platforms
P 26%
$661K · 1 mkts
View Market →
Extreme Events
Dec 31
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
27%
Yes →
73%
No →
across 1 platform
P 27%
$334K · 1 mkts
View Market →
Weather
Dec 31
Natural Disaster in 2026?
18%
Yes →
83%
No →
across 1 platform
P 18%
$226K · 1 mkts
View Market →
Most Popular
Extreme Events
How many confirmed VEI 4+ volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026
$1.2M
Extreme Events
Magnitude 7.0+ Earthquakes Worldwide in 2026
$1.1M
Extreme Events
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$722K
Climate
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
$661K
Extreme Events
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
$334K
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