Live Tampa Bay Buccaneers Super Bowl odds, NFC South race, and roster markets tracked across the prediction markets aggregated by Prediction Genius.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are one of the more actively traded NFC teams in NFL prediction markets, a function of a franchise that has been the structural favorite in its division. As of June 4, 2026, the team trades across seven active contracts in the NFL offseason, the 2026-27 Super Bowl futures carry by far the most volume, while the NFC South market consistently slots the Buccaneers at the top of their grouping. With no weekly game lines in the offseason, the board prices the team almost entirely on roster construction and the durable weakness of the rest of the NFC South. The live odds for every contract sit on the board above; the analysis below covers what those numbers mean.
The Super Bowl Champion futures market is where the Buccaneers draw the most volume, with a pool that dwarfs every other Tampa Bay contract on the board. Structurally the market does not treat the Buccaneers as a top-tier title threat. The board slots them well behind the cluster of NFC favorites led by the Los Angeles Rams, who anchor both the Super Bowl and NFC Championship markets as the conference chalk. That gap is the durable read: traders price the Buccaneers as a credible division winner and playoff team rather than a championship favorite. What moves this number is roster construction at quarterback and along both lines, not any single offseason headline. The live board above carries the current cents.
The NFC South is the clearest case of the Buccaneers being priced on structural strength rather than recent results. The board has them as the division favorite, ahead of the Atlanta Falcons, Carolina Panthers, and New Orleans Saints, the three franchises that make up the rest of the grouping. The durable reason is simple: the NFC South has been the weakest division in the conference for several seasons, and the Buccaneers have been its most consistent organization. This is a market that rewards being the best of a soft group, which is why Tampa Bay can sit atop the division market while pricing as a longshot for the title. Head-to-head series against the Falcons and Saints will drive the number once the season opens.
The Buccaneers trade heavily for two durable reasons: their status as the standing NFC South favorite, which makes the division market a near-default chalk position, and the franchise's national relevance from its recent Super Bowl run. The biggest swing factor on the price is offseason roster movement, which is why the board also carries several player contracts tied to free agency and trade speculation. Forward catalysts are calendar-driven in the offseason: the market reprices around training camp in late July, roster cutdowns in late August, and the Week 1 kickoff in September. Until then the board moves on roster news, not results. Reference the live board above for where each contract sits today.
Beyond the team futures, the Buccaneers anchor a cluster of binary roster markets that ask whether specific players will suit up for Tampa Bay. The board currently carries contracts on edge rushers Maxx Crosby and Joey Bosa and tight end David Njoku, each resolving on whether the player lands with the Buccaneers for the 2026-27 season. These markets trade because Tampa Bay is an active name in offseason trade and free-agency speculation, and because front-seven and pass-catching upgrades are the clearest path to lifting the team's Super Bowl number. The live board above shows the current price on each player contract.
The Buccaneers have won two Super Bowls, most recently Super Bowl LV following the 2020 season, when the franchise became the first team to win a title in its home stadium. Their first championship came in Super Bowl XXXVII after the 2002 season. Founded in 1976, the franchise spent its early decades as one of the league's least successful teams before its defense-led 2002 title and its 2020 run reset its national stature. That 2020 championship is why a team the market treats as a division-tier contender still draws Super Bowl futures volume well above what its title odds alone would suggest. The history shapes how the board weights every Tampa Bay roster move.
As of June 4, 2026, the Buccaneers trade around 1.5c to win Super Bowl LXI (2c on Kalshi, 1c on Polymarket), well behind the Los Angeles Rams near 16.5c as the NFC favorite. They are a much stronger play in the NFC South market, where they price as the division favorite near 32.5c.
Buccaneers futures trade on both Kalshi and Polymarket, with the deepest book on the Super Bowl contract. Prices track closely across platforms, with small gaps on the NFC South market where Kalshi has shown slightly higher Tampa Bay pricing than Polymarket. Compare the live board above for current spreads.
Prediction Genius aggregates seven active Buccaneers markets: 2026-27 Super Bowl champion, NFC Championship, NFC South division, NFL playoff participation, and binary roster contracts on whether Maxx Crosby, Joey Bosa, and David Njoku will play for Tampa Bay. The team and division futures carry the most volume.
The Buccaneers last won the Super Bowl in February 2021, taking Super Bowl LV after the 2020 season as the first team to win the title in its home stadium. It was the franchise's second championship, following its Super Bowl XXXVII win after the 2002 season.
The biggest durable driver is the structural weakness of the NFC South, which keeps the Buccaneers priced as the division favorite even when their Super Bowl number sits in longshot territory. Offseason roster construction, especially along the front seven, is the main swing factor on the price.
