Maxx Crosby's Next Team is a market about whether the Raiders edge rusher gets moved at all, not just where he lands. Across 32 outcomes and roughly $3.4M in Kalshi volume, the board leans hard toward Crosby staying in Las Vegas, with a handful of edge-needy contenders filling the longshot trade tier. The market resolves December 1, 2026, just after the NFL trade deadline. The live board above ranks the current prices.
Maxx Crosby's Next Team is less a question of where the Raiders edge rusher lands and more a question of whether he moves at all. The Kalshi board spanning 32 outcomes leans hard toward Crosby staying put, and the trade destinations sit in longshot territory. The market carries roughly $3.4M in volume and resolves December 1, 2026, days after the NFL trade deadline closes the only realistic window for an in-season move. The live board above ranks the current prices.
Crosby signed a three-year, $106.5M extension in March 2025, the richest deal for a non-quarterback in the league at the time, at roughly $35.5M per season. That contract is the anchor of this market. He also said publicly that he wants to remain in Las Vegas after trade chatter swirled through the 2026 offseason, telling listeners on his own podcast that he is meant to be a Raider. The "Stays with Las Vegas or Retires" outcome is the board's clear favorite, and the live prices above reflect a market that treats a trade as the exception, not the base case.
The one crack in that read is the structure of the deal itself. Crosby's contract carries a low dead-money figure, which keeps a trade financially clean for both sides. That is why a rusher who is signed long term still draws a real trade tier at all.
If Crosby does move, the market's shortlist is short. San Francisco and Philadelphia sit at the top of the trade tier on the board above, the two edge-needy contenders most often tied to him. Both are win-now rosters that would pay a premium for a five-time Pro Bowler with 59.5 career sacks, fifth-most in the league over his run. Crosby was drafted in the fourth round out of Eastern Michigan in 2019 and has been one of the most durable pass rushers in football since.
Neither destination is priced anywhere near the "stays" outcome. They are the conviction longshots for traders who think the Raiders eventually pivot to a rebuild and cash in their most valuable asset.
Below the top two, the board thins out fast. Chicago, Dallas, Seattle, Detroit, and New England round out the named contenders, each a distant longshot on the live board. The remaining NFL teams fill out the 32-outcome field at token prices, the kind of lottery-ticket quotes that exist because the market has to list every team, not because any of them is a live threat.
The shape of the board tells the whole story. This is a does-he-get-moved market wearing the costume of a where-does-he-land market. The real trade is the binary between the "stays" outcome and the entire field of destinations combined.
The market resolves December 1, 2026, based on which team holds Crosby's contract, per Kalshi's rules. The "Stays with Las Vegas or Retires" contract pays out if he remains a Raider or retires by that date. Because the NFL trade deadline falls in early November, the resolution date sits just past the last realistic window for an in-season move, which is why the market effectively settles once the deadline passes without a trade.
Crosby's market is one piece of the broader NFL futures picture. Browse the Super Bowl LXI champion odds to see how the contenders chasing him are priced, scan the full prediction market board for more player and team contracts, or head to the sports prediction markets hub for the rest of the NFL slate. The Maxx Crosby's Next Team market trades on Kalshi and refreshes on the live board above.
Resolves December 1, 2026, based on which NFL team holds Maxx Crosby's contract, per Kalshi's rules (ticker KXNEXTTEAMNFL). Each team contract pays $1 per share if Crosby is on that team's roster at resolution, and the "Stays with Las Vegas or Retires" contract pays out if he remains a Raider or has retired by that date. All other outcomes resolve to $0. Because the NFL trade deadline falls in early November, a move must clear before then, so the market effectively settles once the deadline passes. This is a single-platform Kalshi market with no Polymarket contract.
As of July 6, 2026, the "Stays with Las Vegas or Retires" outcome leads at 73c on Kalshi, with San Francisco and Philadelphia the top trade destinations at 13c each and every other NFL team priced as a longshot. Check the live board above for the latest prices.
It resolves December 1, 2026, based on which team holds Crosby's contract. Because the NFL trade deadline falls in early November, the market effectively settles once that window closes.
It trades on Kalshi under ticker KXNEXTTEAMNFL. This is a single-platform market with no Polymarket contract, so there is no cross-platform spread to compare.
The market's favored outcome is that he stays or retires, which makes this more a does-he-get-moved question than a where-does-he-land one. Crosby signed a three-year, $106.5M extension in March 2025 and has publicly said he wants to remain in Las Vegas.
Watch the Raiders' front-office direction, Crosby's health after his 2025 knee injury, and any trade movement ahead of the early-November NFL deadline. If the deadline passes without a deal, the "stays" outcome is nearly locked.