| Spread | Total | ML | Main ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
▶Celtics | -8.5 58%57% | O 208.5 50%50% | 77%3% | 77% Kalshi |
▶Hornets | +8.5 42%43% | U 208.5 50%50% | 20%2% | 20% Kalshi |
| Spread | Total | Moneyline | Main ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
▶Boston Celtics | -8.5 | O 208.5 | 77% Kalshi | |
▶Charlotte Hornets | +8.5 | U 208.5 | 20% Kalshi |
Boston is a heavy road favorite in Celtics vs Hornets, at 77c on Kalshi and 76.5c on Polymarket as of Friday afternoon, November 6, and the spread market prices the Celtics by roughly 9 to 10 points. The venues agree within 1c on the winner. Boston (6-2) has won four of five, Charlotte (3-6) has lost five straight, and ESPN lists Kon Knueppel, Dennis Schroder, Grant Williams and Moussa Diabate out for the Hornets. Tip-off is 7:00 PM ET at Spectrum Center.
Celtics vs Hornets pairs the second-best record in the Atlantic Division with a Charlotte team on a five-game losing streak and missing four rotation players, and the market prices it that way. Boston (6-2) sits 1.5 games behind Philadelphia in the Atlantic, Charlotte (3-6) is 2 games back of Atlanta in the Southeast, per ESPN standings, and roughly $173K has traded across this game's contracts so far.
As of about 2:00 PM ET on November 6, the moneyline has Boston at 77c on Kalshi and 76.5c on Polymarket (midpoint, per Polymarket's own market data), with Charlotte at 24c and 23.5c. A gap that small on both sides means there is no venue edge on the winner.
The spread market centers on Boston by about 9.5 points. Celtics -8.5 trades at 55c on both venues, Celtics -9.5 at 51c on Kalshi, and Celtics -10.5 at 47c on both. The total centers near 208: Over 206.5 is 55c on Kalshi and 54c on Polymarket, and Over 208.5 is 49c and 48c. Those numbers line up with the BOS -9.5 and 207.5 DraftKings line that ESPN lists. That is about 21 points under tonight's Wizards vs Hawks total near 229, and it fits a Charlotte lineup missing Knueppel and Schroder.
In the Kalshi captures we hold, Boston has firmed from 74c around 7:05 PM ET Thursday to 77c by about 12:55 PM ET Friday, a 3c move toward the road favorite, with Charlotte easing from a 28c peak to 24c. Celtics -8.5 moved the same way, from 52c at about 11:15 PM ET Thursday to 55c by 1:50 PM ET Friday. On Polymarket, Over 209.5 has slipped from 51c to 46c since about 7:40 AM ET, a small lean toward the under.
Boston is 4-1 over its last five, including a 109-102 home win over Milwaukee on Wednesday, with the one loss a 109-93 defeat at Houston, per ESPN. The Celtics are 5-0 at home but only 1-2 on the road, which is the one split in the data that argues against a 77c road price. Charlotte has lost five in a row, including a 124-91 home loss to Detroit and a 114-104 loss at Brooklyn on Wednesday, and is 2-3 at Spectrum Center.
Jayson Tatum leads Boston at 27.0 points and 7.9 assists per game, per ESPN. Brandon Miller leads Charlotte at 22.0 points, and Naz Reid averages 8.3 rebounds.
ESPN's injury report as of November 6 lists four Hornets out: Kon Knueppel (hamstring strain), Dennis Schroder (thigh), Grant Williams (hamstring) and Moussa Diabate (quadriceps). Schroder and Diabate were added Friday. Boston lists only Devin Carter (illness) as out. That availability gap is the core of the price: Charlotte is down four players while Boston has one listed absence.
The player props back the read. Tatum over 24.5 points trades at 63c on Kalshi and 59c on Polymarket, so the over is 4c cheaper on Polymarket, and over 29.5 sits at 39c on both. Miller over 19.5 points is 61c on Kalshi and 56c on Polymarket, a 5c split that makes Polymarket the better venue for a Miller over.
The moneyline settles on the official winner of the Boston Celtics at Charlotte Hornets game scheduled for 7:00 PM ET on Friday, November 6, 2026, at Spectrum Center, with overtime included. Spread and total contracts settle on the final score. Each winning share pays $1 on Kalshi and Polymarket once the game goes final.
Boston's last game has its own page, the Bucks vs Celtics game at TD Garden, and so does Charlotte's, the Hornets vs Nets game at Barclays Center. For the season-long view, track the Celtics to make the playoffs market, the Hornets to make the playoffs market and the Eastern Conference champion odds. The Boston Celtics hub and Charlotte Hornets hub collect every live market for each team, and the NBA hub lists the rest of Friday's slate.
The moneyline resolves to the team that wins the Boston Celtics at Charlotte Hornets game scheduled for 7:00 PM ET on Friday, November 6, 2026, at Spectrum Center in Charlotte, including overtime. Spread contracts settle on the final margin and total contracts on the combined final score. Kalshi and Polymarket settle once the game is official; each winning share pays $1 and losing shares pay $0. If the game is postponed or canceled, each platform's own rules for rescheduled or voided games apply.
As of about 2:00 PM ET on November 6, Boston is 77c on Kalshi and 76.5c on Polymarket to win, and Charlotte is 24c and 23.5c. Boston has firmed 3c on Kalshi since Thursday evening.
Boston is favored at roughly a 77% implied probability on both venues. The spread market prices the Celtics by about 9.5 points, with Celtics -9.5 at 51c on Kalshi.
The game total centers near 208 points. Over 208.5 trades at 49c on Kalshi and 48c on Polymarket as of November 6, close to the 207.5 DraftKings total ESPN lists.
The moneyline, spread, total and player props trade on Kalshi and Polymarket. Roughly $173K has traded across this game's contracts on the two venues so far.
It resolves when the game goes final. Tip-off is 7:00 PM ET on Friday, November 6, 2026, at Spectrum Center, and overtime counts toward the moneyline, spread and total.