Wellington Turman vs Seokhyeon Ko Prediction Market Odds, November 7, 2026
| Spread | Total | ML | Main ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
▶Turman | — | O 1.5 64% | 16%16% | 16% Kalshi |
▶Ko | — | U 1.5 36% | 85%85% | 85% Polymarket |
| Spread | Total | Moneyline | Main ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
▶Wellington Turman | — | O 1.5 | 16% Kalshi | |
▶Seokhyeon Ko | — | U 1.5 | 85% Polymarket |
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Seokhyeon Ko is the favorite at 85% on Polymarket and 86% on Kalshi against Wellington Turman (16% on both) as of November 6, a price built on Ko's three UFC fights since Turman last competed in December 2023. The welterweight bout is on the prelims of UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs Walker (UFC Vegas 124) on Saturday, November 7 at Meta APEX in Las Vegas, with the prelim card starting at 5:00 PM ET. Ko (13-3) is 2-1 in the UFC; Turman (18-8) is 3-6 and on a three-fight losing streak. The board trades on both Kalshi and Polymarket.
Wellington Turman vs Seokhyeon Ko is a welterweight bout on the preliminary card of UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs Walker (UFC Vegas 124) on Saturday, November 7, 2026 at Meta APEX in Las Vegas. Ufc.com runs it second of eight on the prelims, which start at 5:00 PM ET on Paramount+, with the main card at 8:00 PM ET. It is Turman's first fight since December 2, 2023, after a planned July 2026 return against Islam Dulatov was cancelled hours before the event when Dulatov fell ill, per the bout's Wikipedia entries.
Wellington Turman vs Seokhyeon Ko Odds and Fight Context
Ko is the favorite on both books as of November 6: 86% on Kalshi and 85% on Polymarket, with Turman at 16% on each. The live board above carries the current numbers. The two venues agree within a point, so there is no cross-platform edge on either side. In our captured window, Ko moved from 84% to 85% on Polymarket (2:53 PM ET November 5 to 2:20 PM ET November 6) and from 85% to 86% on Kalshi over the same stretch. The board has traded about $43K across both venues, and about $21K of Kalshi's money is on Turman against roughly $5K on Ko, so the underdog is drawing the larger share of the Kalshi volume without moving the price.
Ko is 13-3 per ufc.com and ESPN. He is 33, a judo black belt and former amateur sambo world champion out of Busan, South Korea, who trains at HAVAS MMA, stands 5 feet 10 inches, and has a 71-inch reach. He earned his contract on Dana White's Contender Series in September 2024 with a decision over Igor Cavalcanti and is 2-1 in the UFC: unanimous decision wins over Oban Elliott (June 21, 2025) and Phil Rowe (November 1, 2025), then a unanimous decision loss to Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani on July 18, 2026 that snapped a six-fight win streak, per ufc.com. Six of his wins are knockouts, three of them in under a minute, but all three of his UFC fights went the full 15 minutes. Ufc.com credits him with 3.15 significant strikes landed per minute against 1.93 absorbed.
Turman is 18-8 per ufc.com and ESPN. He is 30, a Brazilian jiu-jitsu fighter from Curitiba who trains at Teixeira MMA in Bethel, Connecticut, stands 6 feet, and has a 72-inch reach. He has eight submission wins and four knockouts, with eight first-round finishes. His UFC record is 3-6 and he enters on a three-fight losing streak: unanimous decision losses to Andre Petroski (November 12, 2022) and Randy Brown (June 24, 2023), then a rear-naked choke loss to Jared Gooden at 1:11 of the second round on December 2, 2023. His last UFC win was an armbar of Misha Cirkunov in February 2022 that earned Performance of the Night.
The read: 85% is the market pricing activity against inactivity. Ko has fought three times in the UFC since Turman last competed, and his judo and sambo base gives him the tools to keep a jiu-jitsu fighter from dictating where the fight goes. Turman's path is the submission, since eight of his 18 wins came that way. Polymarket's round and method lines for this fight are quoted but have not traded as of November 6, so they are not cited here as prices.
When the Wellington Turman vs Seokhyeon Ko Market Resolves
Both venues settle on the official UFC result of the bout on November 7, 2026. On Kalshi, a draw or no contest pays both sides $0.50, a fight that starts within 48 hours of its scheduled time settles on the official result, and a cancellation or longer delay resolves both contracts to a fair price. On Polymarket, a draw, no contest, unscored bout, cancellation, or postponement beyond November 21, 2026 resolves the market 50-50.
Key Wellington Turman vs Seokhyeon Ko Catalysts
- Layoff: Turman has not fought since December 2, 2023, and his July 2026 return was cancelled on fight day.
- Losing streak: Turman has dropped three straight and is 3-6 in the UFC.
- Grappling clash: Ko's judo and sambo base meets Turman's eight career submission wins.
- Decision pattern: All three of Ko's UFC fights went to the scorecards despite six career knockouts.
- Money split: About $21K of Kalshi's volume is on Turman, the underdog, as of November 6.
Related Wellington Turman vs Seokhyeon Ko Markets
Turman's 2022 loss to Andre Petroski connects this fight to the Kondratavicius vs Petroski board on the same prelims, and the card's other welterweight bout trades on the Jonny Parsons vs Jose Henrique Souza board. The division's title picture trades on the UFC Welterweight Champion 2026 market, and every fight on the card is collected on the UFC today page. Every live fight and game board sits on the sports hub.
Resolution Criteria
The market resolves to the fighter the UFC officially declares the winner of the Wellington Turman vs Seokhyeon Ko welterweight bout at UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs Walker on Saturday, November 7, 2026, at Meta APEX in Las Vegas. On Kalshi, a draw or no contest pays both sides $0.50 per contract, post-expiration changes to the result do not affect settlement, a fight that begins within 48 hours of its scheduled start settles on the official result, and a cancellation or longer delay resolves both contracts to a fair price. On Polymarket, a draw, technical draw, no contest, unscored bout, cancellation, or postponement beyond November 21, 2026 resolves the market 50-50.
Key Factors
- Turman's first fight since December 2, 2023, after a cancelled July 2026 return
- Turman's three-fight losing streak and 3-6 UFC record
- Ko's judo and sambo base against Turman's eight career submission wins
- All three of Ko's UFC fights went to decision despite six career knockouts
- About $21K of Kalshi volume on Turman, the underdog, as of November 6
What are the current Wellington Turman vs Seokhyeon Ko odds?
As of November 6, 2026, Seokhyeon Ko is 86% on Kalshi and 85% on Polymarket, with Wellington Turman at 16% on both venues.
When does Wellington Turman vs Seokhyeon Ko start?
The bout is on the preliminary card of UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs Walker on Saturday, November 7, 2026 at Meta APEX in Las Vegas. The prelims begin at 5:00 PM ET on Paramount+, and ufc.com lists the fight second of eight prelim bouts.
Where can I trade Wellington Turman vs Seokhyeon Ko?
The moneyline trades on both Kalshi and Polymarket, with about $43K traded across the two venues as of November 6.
Why is Wellington Turman the underdog?
Turman (18-8) has not fought since December 2, 2023 and lost his last three UFC fights. Ko (13-3) has fought three times in the UFC since then and went 2-1.
How does the Wellington Turman vs Seokhyeon Ko market resolve?
It resolves to the fighter the UFC officially declares the winner on November 7, 2026. A draw or no contest pays $0.50 per side on Kalshi and resolves 50-50 on Polymarket.
What should I watch in Wellington Turman vs Seokhyeon Ko?
Watch whether Turman can drag the fight to the mat, since eight of his 18 wins are submissions. Ko has gone the distance in all three UFC fights, so a long fight favors his volume.