| Spread | Total | ML | Main ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
â–¶(-0.5) | -6.5 53%53% | O 46.5 52% | 71% | 71% Polymarket |
â–¶Arizona | +6.5 47%47% | U 46.5 48% | 69%71% | 69% Kalshi |
| Spread | Total | Moneyline | Main ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
â–¶TCU (-0.5) | -6.5 | O 46.5 | 71% Polymarket | |
â–¶Arizona | +6.5 | U 46.5 | 69% Kalshi |
No player props available for this game.
Arizona (6-2, 3-2 Big 12) is the home favorite against TCU (4-4, 2-3) in Tucson tonight, priced in the low 70s on both Kalshi and Polymarket with the venues within 1c. The spread ladder centers on the Wildcats by about a touchdown and the total sits in the mid 40s, after a week in which both the margin and the favorite price came in. Kickoff is 10:15 PM ET at Casino Del Sol Stadium, and the live board above carries current prices.
Arizona (6-2, 3-2 Big 12) is a home favorite in the low 70s tonight against TCU (4-4, 2-3), and the board has spent the week trimming that price after the Wildcats' 34-26 loss at Texas Tech. Kickoff is 10:15 PM ET at Casino Del Sol Stadium in Tucson on ESPN, per ESPN's scoreboard. Arizona carries a No. 22 ranking on that scoreboard, and the game has drawn roughly $294K in cumulative volume across Kalshi and Polymarket.
As of the afternoon of November 6, Arizona trades at 72c on Kalshi and 71c on Polymarket, a 71.5c average that implies about a 71.5% win probability. TCU is 30c on Kalshi and 29c on Polymarket. The venues are within 1c, so the moneyline carries no cross-platform edge. The volume split is lopsided: Kalshi holds about $50K across the two moneyline sides, while Polymarket's moneyline market shows about $170 in lifetime volume, so Kalshi is the price that reflects real money. ESPN's matchup predictor has Arizona at 73.8%, within about 2 points of the market.
Arizona's season is built on its passing game and its home record. The Wildcats are 4-0 at home and average 34.9 points per game while allowing 18.9. Noah Fifita has completed 200 of 270 passes for 2,481 yards with 19 touchdowns and 4 interceptions, and Isaiah Mizell leads the receivers with 675 yards and 6 touchdowns on 34 catches. Arizona throws for 324.1 yards per game. Its last five games read W 34-24 at Washington State, W 34-7 over Cincinnati, W 52-31 at West Virginia, W 39-3 over Iowa State, and the L 34-26 at Texas Tech.
TCU is the inverse profile. The Horned Frogs score 23.3 points per game but allow only 14.1, the stronger defensive number in this matchup by almost 5 points. Jaden Craig has thrown for 2,207 yards with 11 touchdowns and 6 interceptions, and Kari Ashley leads TCU with 560 receiving yards. TCU's last five went L 21-13 at UCF, L 17-10 against BYU, W 17-6 at Baylor, L 24-20 against West Virginia, and W 22-16 over Kansas. None of those five games topped 44 combined points.
West Virginia is the common opponent, and it splits sharply toward Arizona. The Wildcats won 52-31 in Morgantown; TCU lost 24-20 to the Mountaineers at home. That gap is the core of the case for the favorite, while TCU's defense, which held Baylor to 6 and Kansas to 16, is the case for the underdog.
The spread ladder puts the market's number between 6.5 and 7 points. Arizona -6.5 trades at 52c on both venues and -7.5 is at 44.5c on average, so a touchdown margin is close to the median outcome. The total centers near 46.5: over 46.5 is 51c on Kalshi, over 45.5 is 53c on both venues, and over 47.5 is 48c. That number splits the difference between Arizona's scoring games and TCU's low-scoring ones.
The board has moved toward TCU and toward points all week. Arizona's Kalshi moneyline closed at 79c on October 29 and October 30, dropped to 75c on October 31 when the Texas Tech loss went final, and has drifted to 72c today. TCU went the other way, from a 25c Kalshi close on November 1 and 2 to 30c now, a 5c gain across the week. The Arizona -9.5 contract fell from 51c at the November 1 close to 42c, so the market has pulled in its expected margin.
The total is the other mover. Kalshi's over 43.5 rose from 53c at the November 1 close to 60c today, and Polymarket's over 43.5 went from 52c to 60c over the same stretch. The market now expects a closer, higher-scoring game than it did on November 1.
The moneyline settles on the winner of tonight's game at Casino Del Sol Stadium, scheduled for 10:15 PM ET on November 6, 2026. College football has no ties, so overtime decides a tied game. Spread and total contracts settle on the official final score once the game goes final, and Kalshi and Polymarket each settle after the result is posted.
Track both programs on the Arizona football hub and the TCU football hub. Arizona trades at 7c on Kalshi in the College Football Playoff qualifiers market, so tonight is a must-win for that price. The full title race is on the national championship board, and every game on the slate is on the college football hub.
The moneyline resolves to the team that wins the TCU at Arizona game at Casino Del Sol Stadium in Tucson, scheduled to kick off at 10:15 PM ET on November 6, 2026. College football games cannot end tied, so overtime decides the winner. Spread contracts settle on the official final margin and total contracts settle on the combined final score. Kalshi and Polymarket each settle after the game goes final, and if the game is postponed or canceled each venue applies its own published contract rules.
As of the afternoon of November 6, 2026, Arizona is 72c on Kalshi and 71c on Polymarket to win, and TCU is 30c on Kalshi and 29c on Polymarket.
Arizona is favored. The 71.5c cross-platform average implies about a 71.5% chance the 6-2 Wildcats win at home, down from a 79c Kalshi close on October 30.
Kickoff is 10:15 PM ET on Friday, November 6, 2026 at Casino Del Sol Stadium in Tucson, with the broadcast on ESPN per ESPN.
As of November 6, Arizona -6.5 trades at 52c and -7.5 at 44.5c, so the market spread is about a touchdown. Over 46.5 is 51c on Kalshi.
The moneyline, spread and total trade on Kalshi and Polymarket. Kalshi carries the bulk of the moneyline volume, about $50K against roughly $170 on Polymarket.
All contracts settle once the game goes final on the night of November 6, 2026, based on the official final score.