Cardinals vs Seahawks Prediction Market Odds, November 8, 2026
| Spread | Total | ML | Main ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
â–¶Cardinals | +11.5 51% | O 50.5 30%29% | 13%12% | 13% Kalshi |
â–¶Seahawks | -11.5 49% | U 50.5 70%71% | 84%83% | 84% Kalshi |
| Spread | Total | Moneyline | Main ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
â–¶Arizona Cardinals | +11.5 | O 50.5 | 13% Kalshi | |
â–¶Seattle Seahawks | -11.5 | U 50.5 | 84% Kalshi |
No player props available for this game.
Seattle is an 84c favorite over Arizona on both Kalshi and Polymarket as of November 3, a price that held in an 84c to 85c band straight through the Seahawks' 34-17 Monday night loss to Chicago. The Seahawks (4-4, +26 point differential) host the Cardinals (3-5, -63) at Lumen Field on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET, with the market pricing Seattle as roughly a 10.5-point favorite and the total near 44.
Seattle is an 84c home favorite over Arizona on both Kalshi and Polymarket as of November 3, and that price did not crack during the Seahawks' 34-17 Monday night loss to Chicago. The Seahawks (4-4) host the Cardinals (3-5) at Lumen Field on Sunday, November 8 at 4:25 PM ET on Fox, six days after that home defeat. Seattle won the Week 2 meeting 31-7 at State Farm Stadium on September 20.
Cardinals vs Seahawks Moneyline Read
As of the morning of November 3, Seattle trades 84c on Kalshi and 84c on Polymarket, and Arizona trades 16c on Kalshi and 17c on Polymarket. That is a 1c gap on the underdog side, too small to call a cross-platform edge, so the two venues are pricing this game the same way. Polymarket is the cheaper place to sell Seattle by a cent; Kalshi is the cheaper place to buy Arizona by a cent.
ESPN's matchup predictor gives Seattle an 81.9% win probability, about 2 points under the 84c market price, and DraftKings lists the Seahawks at -625 on ESPN's odds feed. Three independent reads all land in the low-to-mid 80s, so the market is not out on a limb here.
The movement story is a slow drift, not a reaction. Kalshi's daily closes had Seattle at 87c every day from October 28 through November 1. It closed Monday at 85c and trades 84c now. Across 65 Kalshi captures from 11 AM ET Monday through Tuesday morning, the Seahawks never left an 84c to 85c band, including the hours during and after the Chicago loss. Arizona's Kalshi price sat between 15c and 18c over the same window.
The records explain why the price is so steep for a .500 team. Seattle has scored 185 points and allowed 159 in eight games, a +26 differential, while Arizona has scored 175 and allowed 238, a -63 differential. Arizona has allowed 29.8 points per game. The Cardinals are 0-3 at home and 3-2 on the road, and all three of their wins came away from Glendale: 18-16 at the Rams on October 18 and 33-30 in overtime at Dallas on November 1 among them. Seattle is 3-2 at Lumen Field and has lost three of its last five (32-29 to San Francisco, 17-14 in overtime at Denver, 34-17 to Chicago) around wins over the Chargers and Chiefs.
Cardinals vs Seahawks Spread and Total
The spread ladder centers on the sportsbook number. Seattle -10.5 trades 52c on Kalshi and 51c on Polymarket, which puts the market's median margin right at 10.5 to 11 points. Seattle -9.5 is 56c on both venues and -13.5 is 45c on both, so the market gives the Seahawks better than even odds of covering anything up to about 11. Kalshi also lists a -11.5 rung at 49c. DraftKings has Seattle -10.5 per ESPN.
The total sits in the mid 40s. The over 42.5 trades 56c on both venues and the over 44.5 trades 48c, which places the median total near 44. DraftKings lists 43.5. Seattle's games have averaged exactly 43.0 combined points; Arizona's have averaged 51.6, driven by the defense. The market is leaning toward Seattle's profile, not Arizona's.
Team totals are where the venues disagree. Arizona's over 16.5 points is 51c on Kalshi and 48c on Polymarket, a 3c gap, so the Cardinals over is cheaper on Polymarket. Seattle's over 24.5 trades 65c on Kalshi and its over 28.5 trades 46c, which implies a Seahawks median of roughly 27 to 28 points against a Cardinals median near 16 to 17. That is a margin of about 11, consistent with the main spread.
Cardinals vs Seahawks Key Matchups
Seattle's passing game runs through Jaxon Smith-Njigba, who has 64 catches for 985 yards and 9 touchdowns per ESPN. Sam Darnold has thrown for 1,478 yards with 10 touchdowns and 9 interceptions, and he went 17 of 34 for 188 yards against Chicago on Monday. The interception count is the line between a comfortable cover and a one-score game.
Arizona's quarterback deployment is the number to watch. Jacoby Brissett is the season passing leader at 1,719 yards, 10 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, but in Sunday's win at Dallas he went 10 of 23 for 119 yards with an interception and four sacks, and Gardner Minshew finished 17 of 23 for 188 yards and 3 touchdowns, per the ESPN box score. Tyler Allgeier ran for 147 yards on 11 carries in that game, and Trey McBride leads the Cardinals with 66 catches.
Injuries on ESPN's report as of November 3: Seattle left tackle Charles Cross (ankle sprain), wide receiver Rashid Shaheed (knee) and defensive tackle Leonard Williams (shoulder) are questionable. Arizona wide receiver Kendrick Bourne is out with a right lower-leg fracture, and running backs Jeremiyah Love (ankle) and Bam Knight (concussion) plus defensive tackle Walter Nolen III (ankle) are questionable. Seattle plays on six days of rest after Monday night; Arizona has seven.
When the Cardinals vs Seahawks Market Resolves
The game kicks off at 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, November 8, 2026 at Lumen Field in Seattle. The moneyline settles to the winner once the game is final, and spread and total contracts settle on the official final score, overtime included. Both Kalshi and Polymarket settle after the result is official, usually within hours of the final whistle.
Key Cardinals vs Seahawks Catalysts
- Arizona quarterback: Brissett started the season as the passer, but Minshew threw 3 touchdowns in relief at Dallas.
- Charles Cross status: Seattle's left tackle is questionable with an ankle sprain on a six-day turnaround.
- The 84c ceiling: Seattle held 84c to 85c through a 17-point home loss, so a move off that band needs news, not a result.
- Arizona team total: the over 16.5 is 3c cheaper on Polymarket (48c) than Kalshi (51c).
- Darnold's turnovers: 9 interceptions in eight games is the main path to a Cardinals cover of +10.5.
Related Cardinals vs Seahawks Markets
The NFC West division market frames what this game means for Seattle, which sits behind 6-1 San Francisco. The Seahawks playoff market and the Cardinals playoff market both reprice on Sunday's result, as do the Seahawks season win total and the Cardinals season win total. For team context, see the Seattle Seahawks hub, the Arizona Cardinals hub, and the full NFL board.
Resolution Criteria
The moneyline resolves to the team that wins the Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks game played Sunday, November 8, 2026 at Lumen Field, scheduled for 4:25 PM ET. Spread, total and team-total contracts settle on the official final score, including any overtime. Kalshi and Polymarket each settle their contracts once the result is official; tie handling follows each venue's own contract rules, and Polymarket lists a separate Tie market. If the game is postponed or canceled, each venue's postponement rules apply.
Key Factors
- Arizona quarterback deployment after Minshew threw 3 touchdowns in relief of Brissett at Dallas
- Seattle left tackle Charles Cross questionable with an ankle sprain on six days of rest
- Seattle held 84c to 85c on Kalshi through its 34-17 Monday night loss to Chicago
- Arizona team total over 16.5 is 3c cheaper on Polymarket (48c) than Kalshi (51c)
- Sam Darnold's 9 interceptions as the main path to an Arizona cover of +10.5
What are the current Cardinals vs Seahawks odds?
As of November 3, 2026, Seattle trades 84c on both Kalshi and Polymarket, and Arizona trades 16c on Kalshi and 17c on Polymarket. That implies about an 84% chance of a Seahawks win.
What time is Cardinals vs Seahawks and where is it played?
The game kicks off at 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, November 8, 2026 at Lumen Field in Seattle, with the broadcast on Fox per ESPN's schedule. It is an NFL Week 9 game.
What is the Cardinals vs Seahawks spread and total?
Seattle -10.5 trades 52c on Kalshi and 51c on Polymarket as of November 3, so the market's median margin is about 10.5 to 11 points. The over 42.5 trades 56c and the over 44.5 trades 48c, putting the total near 44.
Where can I trade the Cardinals vs Seahawks game?
The game trades on Kalshi and Polymarket, with moneyline, spread, total and team-total contracts on both. The board carried about $114K in combined volume as of November 3.
How did the Cardinals vs Seahawks line react to Seattle's Monday night loss?
It did not move. Seattle stayed between 84c and 85c on Kalshi across 65 captures from Monday morning through Tuesday, including its 34-17 home loss to Chicago, after closing at 87c daily from October 28 to November 1.