Cowboys vs Giants Prediction Market Odds, September 13, 2026
| Spread | Total | ML | Best ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
â–¶Cowboys | -2.5 56% | O 66.5 10%11% | 61% | 61% Kalshi |
â–¶Giants | +2.5 44% | U 66.5 90%89% | 41% | 41% Kalshi |
| Spread | Total | Moneyline | Best ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
â–¶Dallas Cowboys | -2.5 | O 66.5 | 61% Kalshi | |
â–¶New York Giants | +2.5 | U 66.5 | 41% Kalshi |
No player props available for this game.
Dallas is the 61c road favorite over New York on a Kalshi moneyline that has barely moved in a day of captures, with the Giants at 41c, roughly a 60% Dallas win probability once the 102c overround comes out. The board carries about $366K in cumulative volume across Kalshi and Polymarket, and its deepest single rung is Dallas -2.5 at 55c, the same number DraftKings posts. Kickoff is 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, September 13, 2026, at MetLife Stadium on NBC. Prices as of September 5.
Week 1 opens the NFC East with a road favorite, and the number is firm. Dallas trades at 61c on the Kalshi moneyline against 41c for the New York Giants as of September 5, 2026, a 102c pair that de-vigs to about a 60% Dallas win probability. The Cowboys went 7-9-1 in 2025 and the Giants 4-13, last in the division, but the two clubs split the 2025 series and the most recent meeting belonged to New York. This is Sunday Night Football on NBC, kickoff 8:20 PM ET at MetLife Stadium, and the board has already drawn about $366K in cumulative volume.
Cowboys vs Giants Market Context
The price is a bet on continuity. Dak Prescott played all 17 games in 2025 and threw for 4,552 yards on 404-of-600 passing with 30 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, third in the league in yardage behind Matthew Stafford (4,707) and Jared Goff (4,564). The skill group around him returns intact: George Pickens caught 93 passes for 1,429 yards and nine scores across 17 games, CeeDee Lamb put up 1,077 yards in 14, Javonte Williams ran for 1,201 yards and 11 touchdowns on 252 carries, and Jake Ferguson caught 82 balls for eight scores. All five are listed active on the Cowboys injury report as of September 3, 2026. That is a full offense arriving healthy in Week 1, and it is what the 61c is paying for.
New York is the harder read, which is why the 41c is not lower. Jaxson Dart appeared in 14 games as a rookie and completed 63.7% for 2,272 yards with 15 touchdowns against five interceptions, adding 487 rushing yards and nine rushing scores at a 91.7 passer rating. He is listed active as of September 4. The two players who would raise his floor barely played in 2025: Malik Nabers appeared in four games for 271 receiving yards, and Cam Skattebo in eight for 410 rushing yards and five touchdowns. Skattebo is active. Nabers is listed questionable with an ACL knee designation as of September 2, and that single line is the most important unresolved input on this board. Behind them the Giants list Najee Harris and Devin Singletary at running back, Isaiah Likely and a questionable Theo Johnson at tight end, and Darius Slayton, Darnell Mooney and Odell Beckham Jr. at receiver.
New York also enters under head coach John Harbaugh, whose 18 prior seasons as an NFL head coach all came in Baltimore, where Jesse Minter now runs the team. A first Week 1 with a new staff is a real source of variance, and the secondary carries its own: Paulson Adebo (hamstring), Dru Phillips (knee) and Greg Newsome II (knee) are all listed questionable, as is center John Michael Schmitz Jr. with a concussion. Dallas is comparatively clean, with linebacker Marist Liufau on injured reserve and right tackle Tyler Guyton questionable with an elbow.
What the Cowboys vs Giants Spread and Total Say
The spread ladder is where the conviction sits. Dallas -2.5 is the most-traded contract on the entire board at 55c and roughly $64K, and Dallas -1.5 is 57c on about $11K. Push out and the price falls off fast: Dallas -3.5 is 45c, -4.5 is 42c, -6.5 is 36c. The market is pricing a Dallas win that is narrow rather than comfortable, which is the honest read on a division road game. On the New York side, Giants -2.5 sits at 37c and Giants -6.5 at 23c on about $4.5K.
That lines up exactly with the sportsbook. ESPN's DraftKings feed for this game posts Dallas -2.5 with a 48.5 total, and the Kalshi over 48.5 rung is priced at 50c, a literal coin flip on the number the book chose. DraftKings opened Dallas at -130 on the moneyline and now shows -148, a modest drift toward the Cowboys that the prediction market has already absorbed.
Polymarket is on this board, but only on the total. The two books quote the same game-total rungs within a cent or two: over 46.5 is 57c Kalshi against 56c Polymarket, over 36.5 is 85c against 83c, over 60.5 is 22c against 20c, and over 66.5 is 10c against 11c on about $6.7K, the busiest total rung here. The widest gap is over 42.5 at 72c Kalshi versus 68c Polymarket, and that rung has traded almost nothing, so the gap is a liquidity artifact rather than a read. The moneyline itself is Kalshi-only, so there is no second opinion on the primary line.
Movement has been minimal. Across 24 Kalshi captures between the evening of September 4 and the afternoon of September 5, Dallas held 61c apart from three midday prints at 60c, New York held 41c on all 21 of its captures, and Dallas -2.5 held 55c with two 54c prints. That is a settled number eight days out, not a market still finding its level. Passing-yardage prop ladders are listed for both Prescott and Dart but carry no quotes yet.
When the Cowboys vs Giants Market Resolves
The moneyline resolves to the team that wins the game at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey on Sunday, September 13, 2026, kickoff 8:20 PM ET. The Dallas contract pays $1 per share if the Cowboys win and the New York Giants contract pays $1 per share if the Giants win, with the losing side settling at $0. Spread contracts settle on final margin of victory including overtime, and the game totals settle on combined points scored by both teams. Kalshi finalizes settlement once the game is official. A postponement settles on the completed game whenever it is played, and an outright cancellation voids per each platform's own game rules.
Key Cowboys vs Giants Catalysts
Malik Nabers' knee: New York's top receiver is listed questionable with an ACL designation as of September 2 after playing four games in 2025, the single largest swing factor on the 41c price.
Dallas skill-group health: Prescott, Pickens, Lamb, Javonte Williams and Ferguson are all listed active, which is the case behind a 61c road favorite.
The -2.5 rung: Dallas -2.5 at 55c carries about $64K, more than any other contract on the board, and it matches the DraftKings number exactly.
Jaxson Dart's second year: a 15-to-5 touchdown-to-interception rookie line with 487 rushing yards is the upside the Giants' number is built on.
Giants secondary availability: Adebo, Phillips and Newsome are all questionable, which is the quiet input to a 48.5 total that the market has priced at 50c.
Single-book moneyline: Polymarket quotes only the game totals here, so there is no cross-platform check on the primary line.
Related Cowboys vs Giants Markets
This game is the first data point in two season-long positions. The Dallas Cowboys hub and the New York Giants hub carry every active market on each club, and the 2026 NFC East division market is where a Week 1 division result gets repriced first. Season win totals trade separately for Dallas and New York, the Super Bowl LXI champion board prices the full field, and the NFL market hub lists every Week 1 game trading on Kalshi and Polymarket.
Resolution Criteria
Resolves to the team that wins the Cowboys vs Giants game at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey on Sunday, September 13, 2026, with kickoff scheduled for 8:20 PM ET on NBC. The moneyline settles to the game winner, with the Dallas Cowboys contract paying $1 per share if Dallas wins and the New York Giants contract paying $1 per share if New York wins; the losing side settles to $0. Spread contracts settle on final margin of victory including overtime, and full-game and half totals settle on combined points scored. Kalshi finalizes settlement once the game is official on the scheduled date. If the game is postponed, settlement follows the completed game whenever it is played; if it is canceled outright, the market voids per each platform's own game rules.
Key Factors
- Malik Nabers listed questionable with an ACL knee designation as of September 2 after four games played in 2025
- Dallas skill group all listed active: Prescott, Pickens, Lamb, Javonte Williams and Jake Ferguson
- Dallas -2.5 at 55c is the deepest contract on the board at roughly $64K and matches the DraftKings number
- Jaxson Dart's second year after a 2,272-yard, 15-to-5 rookie line with 487 rushing yards and nine scores
- Giants secondary questionable tags on Paulson Adebo, Dru Phillips and Greg Newsome II ahead of a 48.5 total
- Polymarket quotes only the game totals, leaving the moneyline as a single-book price
What are the current Cowboys vs Giants odds?
As of September 5, 2026, Kalshi prices the Dallas Cowboys at 61c and the New York Giants at 41c on the moneyline, which de-vigs to about a 60% Dallas win probability. The live board above carries the current price.
Who is favored in Cowboys vs Giants?
Dallas is favored despite playing on the road. The most-traded spread contract on the board is Dallas -2.5 at 55c on roughly $64K, the same number ESPN's DraftKings feed posts for the September 13 game.
Where can I trade the Cowboys vs Giants market?
The moneyline and the full spread ladder trade on Kalshi. Polymarket is on the board only for the game totals, where the two venues quote the same rungs within a cent or two, so there is no second price on the moneyline itself.
When does the Cowboys vs Giants market resolve?
It resolves on the Week 1 game at MetLife Stadium on Sunday, September 13, 2026, kickoff 8:20 PM ET on NBC. Kalshi settles once the game is official, with spread contracts paying on final margin including overtime.
What should I watch before Cowboys vs Giants resolves?
Malik Nabers' knee designation is the biggest single input on the New York side, along with the questionable tags on Paulson Adebo, Dru Phillips and Greg Newsome II. On the total, the market has the over 48.5 rung at 50c, so any injury news that changes expected pace moves that contract first.