Raiders vs Chargers Prediction Market Odds, September 20, 2026
| Spread | Total | ML | Best ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
â–¶Raiders | +6.5 48%49% | O 43.5 50%51% | 28%28% | 28% Kalshi |
â–¶Chargers | -6.5 52%51% | U 43.5 50%49% | 73%73% | 73% Kalshi |
| Spread | Total | Moneyline | Best ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
â–¶Las Vegas Raiders | +6.5 | O 43.5 | 28% Kalshi | |
â–¶Los Angeles Chargers | -6.5 | U 43.5 | 73% Kalshi |
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The Los Angeles Chargers are a 73% moneyline favorite over the Las Vegas Raiders on both Kalshi and Polymarket as of September 16, even though the Raiders (1-0) won their opener by 14 and the Chargers (0-1) lost theirs by 12. The two books agree to the point on the winner, the spread ladder crosses even money between Chargers -6.5 and -7.5, and the full-game total sits at 43.5. Kickoff is 4:05 PM ET on Sunday, September 20, at SoFi Stadium on CBS.
The market is not pricing this AFC West game off Week 1. The Las Vegas Raiders (1-0) beat the Miami Dolphins 27-13 at Allegiant Stadium, and the Los Angeles Chargers (0-1) lost 26-14 to the Arizona Cardinals at SoFi Stadium. That is a 14-point win against a 12-point loss, and the board still makes Los Angeles close to a three-in-four favorite at home. The game carries roughly $490,000 in cumulative volume across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Raiders vs Chargers Moneyline
As of September 16, the Chargers trade at 73% on both Kalshi and Polymarket, and the Raiders trade at 28% on both. There is no cross-platform gap to exploit on the winner: the two books match on each side, and the one-point overround (73 plus 28) is the only daylight. A 73% favorite implies the market sees the Chargers winning this game roughly three times in four, which is a strong vote that the Week 1 loss to Arizona was noise and the Raiders' win over Miami was not a signal.
The board has no captured snapshot history for this game yet, so there is no opening-to-current move to report. Treat the prices above as a single reading taken on September 16, four days before kickoff.
Spread and Total
The full-game spread ladder, where both books quote, crosses 50% between two rungs. Chargers -5.5 trades at 54% on both books, Chargers -6.5 at 52% on Kalshi and 51% on Polymarket, and Chargers -7.5 drops to 43% on both. That places the market's median margin just under a touchdown for Los Angeles, which fits a 73% moneyline. On the other side, Raiders -1.5 (an outright Raiders win by 2 or more) trades at 24% on Kalshi and 25% on Polymarket.
The full-game total centers on 43.5, where the over trades at 50% on Kalshi and 51% on Polymarket. Over 41.5 is 57% and 56%, and over 47.5 falls to 38% and 37%. The team totals line up with that: Chargers over 26.5 points trades at 48% on Kalshi and 46% on Polymarket, and Kalshi prices the Raiders over 17.5 points at 52% and over 21.5 at 37%. Put together, the market's central scoreline is in the neighborhood of Chargers 26, Raiders 18, a seven- or eight-point game with about 44 total points.
First Half Markets
Kalshi prices over 21.5 first-half points at 50%, and Polymarket's first-half total of 22.5 trades at 47% for the over, so the books expect roughly half the game's scoring before halftime. Kalshi has the Chargers winning the first half by more than 3.5 points at 52% and by more than 7.5 at 35%, a slightly smaller first-half edge than the full-game ladder implies, which is the normal shape for a favorite.
What the Market Is Weighing
The Chargers are at home at SoFi Stadium, where they just lost to Arizona, and the board is betting that result does not repeat. The Raiders arrive off a 14-point home win, and the market is giving them about a 28% chance to make it two straight. For more on how each team's season is priced, see the Las Vegas Raiders hub, the Los Angeles Chargers hub, and the AFC West division market.
When the Raiders vs Chargers Market Resolves
The moneyline settles on the team that wins the game played on Sunday, September 20, 2026, at SoFi Stadium. Spread, total, and team-total contracts settle on the official final score once the game goes final, and first-half contracts settle on the halftime score. Each contract is settled on Kalshi and Polymarket under that platform's own rules after the result is official.
For the rest of the week's schedule, see today's NFL games and the NFL hub.
Resolution Criteria
The moneyline resolves to the team that wins the Las Vegas Raiders at Los Angeles Chargers game scheduled for Sunday, September 20, 2026, at 4:05 PM ET at SoFi Stadium. Spread, full-game total, and team-total contracts settle on the official final score; first-half contracts settle on the halftime score. Kalshi and Polymarket each settle their contracts under their own published rules once the result is official.
Key Factors
- Week 1 split: the Raiders beat the Dolphins 27-13 while the Chargers lost 26-14 to the Cardinals, yet Los Angeles is still a 73% favorite on both books.
- No cross-platform edge on the winner: Kalshi and Polymarket both price the Chargers at 73% and the Raiders at 28% as of September 16.
- The spread ladder crosses even money between Chargers -6.5 (52% Kalshi, 51% Polymarket) and Chargers -7.5 (43% on both).
- The full-game total centers on 43.5, with the over at 50% on Kalshi and 51% on Polymarket.
- Team totals point to a Chargers 26, Raiders 18 type of game: Chargers over 26.5 at 48% on Kalshi, Raiders over 17.5 at 52% on Kalshi.
- Home field at SoFi Stadium, where the Chargers dropped their opener, is the venue the market is trusting to flip the Week 1 form.
What are the Raiders vs Chargers odds?
As of September 16, 2026, the Los Angeles Chargers are 73% to win on both Kalshi and Polymarket, and the Las Vegas Raiders are 28% on both. Check the live board on this page for the current prices.
Who is favored in Raiders vs Chargers?
The Chargers are favored. A 73% price implies the market sees Los Angeles winning roughly three times in four, and the spread ladder crosses even money between Chargers -6.5 and -7.5.
What is the total for Raiders vs Chargers?
The full-game total centers on 43.5 points, where the over traded at 50% on Kalshi and 51% on Polymarket as of September 16, 2026.
When and where is Raiders vs Chargers?
The game kicks off at 4:05 PM ET on Sunday, September 20, 2026, at SoFi Stadium, and it airs on CBS. It is an NFL Week 2 game.
Where can I trade Raiders vs Chargers?
The moneyline, spread, and total markets trade on both Kalshi and Polymarket. The game carries roughly $490,000 in cumulative volume across the two platforms.
When does the Raiders vs Chargers market resolve?
The moneyline settles on the winner once the September 20, 2026 game goes final. Spread and total contracts settle on the official final score under each platform's rules.