Raiders vs 49ers Prediction Market Odds, November 8, 2026
| Spread | Total | ML | Main ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
â–¶Raiders | +49 48%47% | O 51.5 52% | 13%9% | 13% Kalshi |
â–¶49ers | -49 52%53% | U 51.5 48% | 81%88% | 81% Kalshi |
| Spread | Total | Moneyline | Main ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
â–¶Las Vegas Raiders | +49 | O 51.5 | 13% Kalshi | |
â–¶San Francisco 49ers | -49 | U 51.5 | 81% Kalshi |
No player props available for this game.
San Francisco is a double-digit favorite at home, where it is 4-0, against a 4-4 Las Vegas team that just won 38-33 at the Jets but has allowed 30 or more points in each of its last five games. As of November 3 the 49ers trade near 81% to 82% across Kalshi and Polymarket, in line with DraftKings at San Francisco -10. The board carries roughly $289K in volume, and the live board above has current prices. Kickoff is 4:25 PM ET on FOX at Levi's Stadium, and the market resolves when the game goes final on November 8, 2026.
San Francisco is a double-digit home favorite, and the price reflects a 6-1 team that is 4-0 at home hosting a 4-4 Raiders team. Raiders vs 49ers odds have the 49ers near 81% to 82% on Kalshi and Polymarket as of November 3, in line with DraftKings at San Francisco -10 (-550) and close to ESPN's matchup predictor at 83.6%. With all three sources inside three points, the open question on this board is the margin, not the winner.
Raiders vs 49ers Odds: What the Board Says
As of 10:42 AM ET on November 3, San Francisco trades at 81c on Kalshi and 82c on Polymarket, and Las Vegas at 20c on Kalshi and 19c on Polymarket. The one-cent split runs the same way on both legs, so Kalshi is the cheaper venue for the 49ers and Polymarket for the Raiders. The board carries roughly $289K of cumulative volume.
The spread is where the work is. 49ers -9.5 trades at 52c on Kalshi and 53c on Polymarket, and 49ers -10.5 at 48c on both, so the market has the median San Francisco margin right around the DraftKings number of 10. The tail is priced too: 49ers -13.5 at 41c and -16.5 near 33.5c. On the Raiders side, Las Vegas -2.5 trades at 13c on Kalshi and 9c on Polymarket.
Why San Francisco Is a Double-Digit Favorite
Brock Purdy is 146 of 211 for 1,748 yards with 15 touchdowns and four interceptions. Christian McCaffrey has 84 carries for 389 yards and eight touchdowns, and George Kittle has 34 catches for 425 yards and five touchdowns. The 49ers won their first four home games and their last five read 36-30 over Arizona, 24-14 over Denver, 32-29 at Seattle, 23-17 over Washington and a 29-20 loss at Atlanta before the Week 8 bye.
The receiver room is the weak spot. ESPN lists Brandon Aiyuk out for personal reasons as of November 2, and De'Zhaun Stribling (ankle) went to injured reserve the same day, joining Ricky Pearsall and Demarcus Robinson. ESPN's roster listing also carries questionable tags for McCaffrey, Mike Evans, Deebo Samuel Sr., Nick Bosa and corner Upton Stout, all entered on October 26, the day after the Atlanta game and before the Week 8 bye, so those designations are the ones to recheck once San Francisco's practice reports start.
What Las Vegas Brings
The Raiders can score. Kirk Cousins is 180 of 283 for 2,124 yards with 19 touchdowns and five interceptions, Brock Bowers has 41 catches for 547 yards and five touchdowns, and Ashton Jeanty has 108 carries for 337 yards. Las Vegas is 3-1 on the road and just won 38-33 at the Jets. The defense is the problem: it has allowed 30 or more points in each of its last five games, and in the four before the Jets win the Raiders lost 30-27 to Kansas City, 45-17 at New England, 33-30 to Buffalo and 35-21 to the Rams. Edge rusher Patrick Johnson went to injured reserve on November 1, and corner Darien Porter (groin) was listed questionable the same day.
How the Raiders vs 49ers Line Moved
Polymarket's daily series had San Francisco at 77c on October 19 and 73c through October 26. From October 27, when Kalshi's series in our data begins, both venues have traded in a tight band: Kalshi's daily closes have run between 80c and 85c and Polymarket's between 78c and 84c. The Raiders' win at the Jets lifted Las Vegas to a 22c close on Polymarket on November 1 before it eased to 19c on November 2. Since 10:55 AM ET on November 2, Kalshi's captures have held the 49ers between 80c and 81c, so the line is settled.
The Total and Team Totals
Over 50.5 points trades at 55c on Kalshi and 54c on Polymarket and over 52.5 at 47c and 46c, bracketing the DraftKings total of 51.5, where Kalshi's over 51.5 sits at 52c. Kalshi's team totals put San Francisco near 31 points (over 30.5 at 56c, over 31.5 at 48c) and Las Vegas near 20.5 (over 20.5 at 51c on Kalshi and 50c on Polymarket). Polymarket prices the Raiders to win the first quarter at 33c and the first half at 26c.
When the Raiders vs 49ers Market Resolves
The market resolves on Sunday, November 8, 2026, after the 4:25 PM ET kickoff on FOX at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, California, once the NFL declares the game final. The moneyline pays $1 per share on the winner, with overtime counted.
Key Raiders vs 49ers Catalysts
- 49ers receivers: Aiyuk is out for personal reasons and Stribling is on injured reserve, leaving Kittle and McCaffrey as the core of the passing game.
- Stale designations: McCaffrey, Evans, Samuel and Bosa carry questionable tags entered October 26 that this week's practice reports will confirm or clear.
- Margin pricing: 49ers -9.5 at 52.5c and -10.5 at 48c put the median margin at the DraftKings number of 10.
- Raiders defense: Las Vegas has allowed 30 or more points in each of its last five games.
- Cousins' efficiency: 19 touchdowns against five interceptions gives the Raiders a path to covering a double-digit number.
Related Raiders vs 49ers Markets
San Francisco's season runs through the NFC West division market and the 49ers season win total. Las Vegas is priced in the AFC West market and the Raiders playoff market. The rest of the week is on the NFL hub, and the 49ers team page carries San Francisco's full board.
Resolution Criteria
The moneyline resolves to the team that wins the Raiders at 49ers game at Levi's Stadium on November 8, 2026, paying $1 per share on the winner and $0 on the loser, with overtime included. Spread contracts settle on the final margin, so 49ers -9.5 requires a San Francisco win by 10 or more points, and total contracts settle on combined points scored by both teams including overtime. Team total contracts settle on each team's official final score. Kalshi lists the game under KXNFLGAME-26NOV08LVSF and Polymarket lists the matching two-way market; both settle once the NFL declares the game final. If the game is postponed or canceled, contracts follow each venue's published rules rather than voiding automatically.
Key Factors
- Brandon Aiyuk listed out for personal reasons and De'Zhaun Stribling on injured reserve as of November 2
- Questionable tags for Christian McCaffrey, Mike Evans, Deebo Samuel Sr. and Nick Bosa entered October 26, before the Week 8 bye
- 49ers -9.5 at 52.5c and -10.5 at 48c center the margin on the DraftKings number of 10
- Las Vegas has allowed 30 or more points in each of its last five games
- Kirk Cousins at 19 touchdowns and five interceptions, with Brock Bowers at 547 receiving yards
- Total near 51.5, with the 49ers team total near 31 and the Raiders near 20.5
What are the current Raiders vs 49ers odds?
As of 10:42 AM ET on November 3, 2026, San Francisco trades at 81c on Kalshi and 82c on Polymarket, and Las Vegas at 20c on Kalshi and 19c on Polymarket. The live board above carries the current prices.
Who is favored in Raiders vs 49ers and by how much?
San Francisco is favored at roughly an 81% to 82% implied probability, close to ESPN's 83.6% projection. DraftKings has the 49ers -10 at -550, and the exchange spread board centers the margin between 9.5 and 10.5 points.
Where does the Raiders vs 49ers market trade?
Kalshi lists the game under KXNFLGAME-26NOV08LVSF with spread, total and team total markets, and Polymarket lists the matching moneyline plus spread, total and quarter markets. The board carries roughly $289K in cumulative volume.
What is the spread and total for Raiders vs 49ers?
49ers -9.5 trades at 52c on Kalshi and 53c on Polymarket, and 49ers -10.5 at 48c on both. Kalshi's over 51.5 trades at 52c, matching the DraftKings total of 51.5.
When does the Raiders vs 49ers market resolve?
The market resolves on November 8, 2026, after the 4:25 PM ET kickoff on FOX at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, once the NFL declares the game final. Overtime counts toward every contract.
What should I watch before Raiders vs 49ers kicks off?
Watch San Francisco's first practice reports of the week, which will confirm or clear the questionable tags on McCaffrey, Evans, Samuel and Bosa. With Aiyuk out and Stribling on injured reserve, receiver depth is the main 49ers question.