Flames vs Kraken Prediction Market Odds, November 4, 2026
| Spread | Total | ML | Main ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
â–¶Flames | +1.5 66%66% | O 5.5 59%54% | 46%46% | 46% Kalshi |
â–¶Kraken | -1.5 34%34% | U 5.5 41%46% | 55%55% | 55% Kalshi |
Seattle is a modest home favorite over Calgary, priced at 56c on Kalshi and 55c on Polymarket, with the Flames at 45c and 46c. The Kraken are 8-5-1 and 4-2-0 at home; the Flames are 7-8-0 but 7-3-0 in their last 10, and they won the most recent meeting 6-2 on October 30. The overnight drift has gone Calgary's way by about two cents on both venues.
Calgary at Seattle is the fourth meeting of the season between Pacific Division clubs separated by three points, and the market prices it close to a coin flip with a home lean. Seattle is 8-5-1 (17 points, third in the Pacific), Calgary is 7-8-0 (14 points, sixth), and puck drop is 10:00 PM ET (7:00 PM local) on Wednesday, November 4, 2026, at Climate Pledge Arena, per the NHL and ESPN schedules.
Flames vs Kraken Moneyline and Market Read
As of 10:45 AM ET on November 4, Seattle trades at 56c on Kalshi and 55c on Polymarket, a 55.5% average implied win probability. Calgary is 45c on Kalshi and 46c on Polymarket. The one-cent gap on each leg is too small to be a cross-platform edge, though Polymarket is the cheaper venue to buy Seattle and Kalshi is the cheaper venue to buy Calgary.
The season series explains why the price is not wider. Seattle won the first two meetings 6-1, once in Calgary on October 1 and once at home on October 4. Calgary answered with a 6-2 home win on October 30, which is also Seattle's most recent game. The Kraken have had five days off since then, while Calgary beat San Jose 2-1 on November 2 and arrives on the third stop of a road trip that started in Colorado.
The records split on venue. Seattle is 4-2-0 at home and has a 52-52 goal differential through 14 games. Calgary is 5-3-0 at home but only 2-5-0 on the road, and its 38 goals for against 53 allowed is the weakest differential of the two. The Flames' 7-3-0 run over their last 10 is what keeps them in the mid-40s.
Frederick Gaudreau leads Seattle with 7 goals and Chandler Stephenson leads the Kraken with 12 points, per ESPN team leaders. Joel Farabee leads Calgary in both goals (5) and points (15), and Matt Coronato has a team-high 11 assists.
Flames vs Kraken Goaltending and Injuries
ESPN listed Philipp Grubauer as Seattle's expected starter and Dustin Wolf as Calgary's as of November 4. Grubauer is 5-2-1 with a 3.24 goals-against average and an .886 save percentage, per the NHL's club stats. Wolf is 3-4-0 with a 3.94 GAA and an .862 save percentage.
The Calgary goaltending picture changed on October 30: Devin Cooley, who is 4-3-0 with a .914 save percentage and a 2.69 GAA, is on injured reserve with a lower-body injury per ESPN's injury report. That leaves the net with the weaker of Calgary's two regular starters by save percentage. Calgary also has Jonathan Huberdeau (hip surgery) and Samuel Honzek on injured reserve, Connor Zary out after knee surgery, and Brennan Othmann day-to-day with an upper-body injury.
Seattle has Jared McCann, Ryan Lindgren, Jake O'Brien and Jacob Melanson on injured reserve, and Curtis Douglas is day-to-day with an upper-body injury as of November 3.
Flames vs Kraken Puck Line and Total
Seattle -1.5 trades at 34c on both venues, so the market gives the Kraken about a one-in-three chance of a two-goal win. Calgary -1.5 is 25c on Kalshi and 24c on Polymarket. Seattle -2.5 is 23c on Kalshi and 24c on Polymarket.
The total centers on 6.5. Over 6.5 is 45c on both venues, Over 5.5 is 58c on both, and Over 7.5 is 27c on Kalshi and 26c on Polymarket, so the market's median outcome sits at six goals. Three meetings this season finished with seven, seven and eight total goals, all above that median, and neither listed starter is above .890.
On Kalshi's goal props, Bobby McMann and Jordan Eberle are each 30c to score for Seattle, and Farabee and Coronato are each 27c for Calgary.
Flames vs Kraken Line Movement
The board's snapshot history runs from about 8:00 PM ET on November 3 through 10:45 AM ET on November 4. Seattle slipped from 58c to 56c on Kalshi and from 56c to 55c on Polymarket. Calgary rose from 44c to 46c on Polymarket and from 44c to 45c on Kalshi. Over 6.5 eased from 48c to 45c on Kalshi and from 47c to 45c on Polymarket, and Seattle -1.5 moved from 35c to 34c on Kalshi. Every move in the window went toward Calgary and the under.
When the Flames vs Kraken Market Resolves
The moneyline settles on the winner of the game, overtime and shootout included, once it goes final on Wednesday night. The puck line and total settle on the official final score; on Kalshi, regulation and overtime goals count normally and a shootout is recorded as one goal for the winning team.
Key Flames vs Kraken Catalysts
- Calgary in net: Wolf (.862, 3.94 GAA) is ESPN's expected starter as of November 4, with Cooley (.914) on injured reserve.
- Road split: Calgary is 2-5-0 away from home and 7-8-0 overall.
- Season series: Seattle won twice by 6-1; Calgary won the October 30 rematch 6-2.
- Rest: Seattle has not played since October 30, and Calgary played in San Jose on November 2.
- Total: Over 6.5 at 45c on both venues after easing from 48c on Kalshi overnight.
Related Flames vs Kraken Markets
Both clubs trade on the 2026-27 Stanley Cup board. For team context, see the Calgary Flames hub, the Seattle Kraken hub, and the full NHL markets page.
Resolution Criteria
The moneyline resolves to the team that wins the Calgary Flames at Seattle Kraken game scheduled for 10:00 PM ET on November 4, 2026, at Climate Pledge Arena, with overtime and shootout results counting. The puck line and total settle on the official final score; Kalshi counts regulation and overtime goals normally and records a shootout as one goal for the winning team. Each winning contract pays $1 per share. On Kalshi, a game postponed but started within 48 hours of its original start time still resolves on the official result; a game cancelled or not started within 48 hours resolves to a fair price. Polymarket settles under its own posted market rules.
Key Factors
- ESPN expected starters as of November 4: Wolf (.862) for Calgary, Grubauer (.886) for Seattle
- Devin Cooley (.914) on injured reserve for Calgary since October 30
- Calgary is 2-5-0 on the road; Seattle is 4-2-0 at home
- Seattle won the first two meetings 6-1; Calgary won the third 6-2
- Calgary drifted from 44c to 46c on Polymarket overnight
What are the Flames vs Kraken odds?
As of 10:45 AM ET on November 4, 2026, Seattle is 56c on Kalshi and 55c on Polymarket, and Calgary is 45c on Kalshi and 46c on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Flames vs Kraken?
Seattle is the home favorite at about a 55.5% implied probability. The Kraken are 8-5-1 and 4-2-0 at home; Calgary is 7-8-0 and 2-5-0 on the road.
What time does Flames vs Kraken start?
Puck drop is 10:00 PM ET (7:00 PM Pacific) on Wednesday, November 4, 2026, at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, per the NHL and ESPN schedules.
Where can I trade the Flames vs Kraken game?
The moneyline, puck line, total, and player goal props trade on Kalshi, and the moneyline, puck line, and total also trade on Polymarket.
What is the Flames vs Kraken total?
Over 6.5 goals trades at 45c on both Kalshi and Polymarket and Over 5.5 is 58c, as of the morning of November 4, 2026.