Sharks vs Wild Prediction Market Odds, November 6, 2026
| Spread | Total | ML | Main ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
â–¶Sharks | +1.5 49%49% | O 6.5 50%50% | 30%28% | 28% Polymarket |
â–¶Wild | -1.5 51%51% | U 6.5 50%50% | 71%72% | 71% Kalshi |
| Spread | Total | Moneyline | Main ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
â–¶San Jose Sharks | +1.5 | O 6.5 | 28% Polymarket | |
â–¶Minnesota Wild | -1.5 | U 6.5 | 71% Kalshi |
Minnesota is the biggest favorite on the Friday NHL slate in Sharks vs Wild: as of the afternoon of November 6, the Wild are 71c on Kalshi and 72c on Polymarket, with San Jose at 30c and 28c. Minnesota (11-3-3) leads the Central Division and is 4-0-1 at home, while San Jose (7-9-1) has lost three straight. Puck drop is 8:00 PM ET at Grand Casino Arena in St. Paul.
Minnesota carries about a 71% implied win probability into its first meeting of the season with San Jose, and the price has barely moved in eleven days. The Wild sit first in the Central with a plus-18 goal differential, the Sharks are minus-17, and the market prices the gap accordingly.
Sharks vs Wild Market Context
As of the afternoon of November 6, Minnesota is 71c on Kalshi and 72c on Polymarket, and San Jose is 30c on Kalshi and 28c on Polymarket. The two-cent gap is small, but it means a Sharks backer gets the cheaper ticket on Polymarket and a Wild backer gets it on Kalshi. Kalshi carries almost all of the moneyline volume, about $13.9K against roughly $270 on Polymarket.
The price has been set for a while. Polymarket had Minnesota between 63c and 66c from October 10 through October 25, jumped to 70c on October 26, and has held between 70c and 72c every day since. Kalshi, which listed the game on October 31, has stayed between 70c and 73c since November 1. The captures since Thursday afternoon show Kalshi flat at 70c to 71c and Polymarket moving from 70c to 72c. The sportsbook price is a touch richer: ESPN's scoreboard lists Minnesota at -270 at DraftKings, about 73% before the vig.
Minnesota (11-3-3, 25 points) leads the Central and the Western Conference standings. The Wild have scored 56 and allowed 38 in 17 games, are 4-0-1 at Grand Casino Arena and 7-3-2 on the road, and are 7-1-2 in their last 10 after road wins at Washington (5-1) and Philadelphia (4-2). Kirill Kaprizov has 15 goals and 26 points in 17 games, Quinn Hughes has 22 points (17 assists), and Matt Boldy has seven goals. Jesper Wallstedt has started 15 of 17 games and is 10-2-3 with a 2.06 GAA and .920 save percentage, per NHL.com season stats. ESPN credits Minnesota with the league's best team goals-against average at 2.24.
San Jose (7-9-1, 15 points) is sixth in the Pacific and has lost three in a row by a combined 14-4, including a 7-2 loss at Los Angeles in the Sharks vs Kings game on November 4. ESPN ranks the Sharks 29th in scoring at 2.53 goals per game and 26th in goals allowed at 3.53. Macklin Celebrini leads San Jose with 17 points in 15 games, and Will Smith has six goals. Yaroslav Askarov is 4-7-0 with a 3.29 GAA and .887 save percentage, and Alex Nedeljkovic is 3-2-1 at 3.09 and .899. Neither team had a confirmed starter listed by ESPN or the NHL as of Friday afternoon. Both teams play again Saturday, San Jose at Dallas and Minnesota at home against Tampa Bay.
Sharks vs Wild Puck Line and Total
Minnesota -1.5 is 50c on Kalshi and 49c on Polymarket, so the market rates a two-goal Wild win as a coin flip and leaves about 21% of the 71c on a one-goal or overtime result. Minnesota -2.5 is 36c and San Jose -1.5 is 14c. On the total, Over 6.5 is 49c on Kalshi (Polymarket does not currently quote that rung on this board) and Over 5.5 is 62c on both venues.
Minnesota's injured reserve is crowded, per ESPN's report as of November 6: Filip Gustavsson (hip), Jared Spurgeon (lower body), Brock Faber, Nick Foligno and Marcus Foligno are all listed. ESPN separately reported Faber's first practice since his September skull injury. San Jose has Alexander Wennberg and Igor Chernyshov (both upper body) on injured reserve, along with Quentin Musty and Kyle Keyser.
Kalshi lists anytime-goal props. Kaprizov to score is 52c, the only player above even money on the board, with Boldy at 44c, Joel Eriksson Ek at 35c, Celebrini at 33c and Smith at 26c. Kaprizov to score twice is 18c. Polymarket does not list goal-scorer props on this board.
When the Sharks vs Wild Market Resolves
The moneyline settles on the winner of the game played Friday, November 6, 2026, at Grand Casino Arena in St. Paul, including overtime and shootout. The puck line and total settle on the final score once the game goes final.
Key Sharks vs Wild Catalysts
- Goaltending gap: Wallstedt (.920) against an Askarov and Nedeljkovic pair below .900.
- Kaprizov: 15 goals in 17 games and the only anytime-goal price above 50c.
- Wild depth: Gustavsson, Spurgeon, Faber and both Folignos are on injured reserve per ESPN.
- Sharks form: three straight losses by a combined 14-4 entering St. Paul.
- Venue gap: San Jose is cheaper on Polymarket (28c) and Minnesota on Kalshi (71c).
Related Sharks vs Wild Markets
Follow both clubs on the Minnesota Wild hub and the San Jose Sharks hub. The Stanley Cup 2026-27 odds carry the season-long prices, and the full slate lives on the NHL odds page.
Resolution Criteria
The Sharks vs Wild moneyline resolves to the team that wins the NHL regular-season game played on Friday, November 6, 2026, at Grand Casino Arena in St. Paul, with overtime and shootout results counting. Each winning contract pays $1 per share and the losing side pays $0. Puck line contracts (Minnesota -1.5, San Jose -1.5 and the wider rungs) and total-goals contracts settle on the official final score. Kalshi and Polymarket settle after the game goes final; if it is postponed or not completed, each venue applies its own rules for rescheduled or voided games.
Key Factors
- Minnesota held between 70c and 73c across both venues since October 26
- Jesper Wallstedt 10-2-3 with a .920 save percentage in 15 starts
- Kirill Kaprizov (15 goals) priced at 52c to score on Kalshi
- San Jose has lost three straight by a combined 14-4
- Minnesota injured reserve: Gustavsson, Spurgeon, Faber, Nick and Marcus Foligno per ESPN
- Minnesota -1.5 at 49c to 50c, a coin flip on a two-goal Wild win
What are the Sharks vs Wild odds?
As of the afternoon of November 6, 2026, Minnesota is 71c on Kalshi and 72c on Polymarket and San Jose is 28c to 30c, about a 71% implied chance of a Wild win.
What time does Sharks vs Wild start?
Puck drop is 8:00 PM ET (7:00 PM local) on Friday, November 6, 2026, at Grand Casino Arena in St. Paul, per the NHL schedule and ESPN.
Where can I trade the Sharks vs Wild game?
The moneyline, puck line and total goals trade on Kalshi and Polymarket, and Kalshi also lists anytime-goal props such as Kirill Kaprizov at 52c as of November 6.
What are the puck line and total for Sharks vs Wild?
Minnesota -1.5 is 49c to 50c and San Jose -1.5 is 14c. Over 6.5 goals is 49c on Kalshi and Over 5.5 is 62c on both venues as of November 6.
Have the Sharks and Wild played this season?
No. November 6 is the first of three meetings in 2026-27; the other two are in San Jose on November 23, 2026, and April 8, 2027.
What should I watch before Sharks vs Wild settles?
Watch the goalie confirmations, since both teams play again on November 7 and Minnesota has Filip Gustavsson on injured reserve. The market settles when the game goes final on November 6, 2026.