The 2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year market trades across roughly $222K in cumulative volume on Kalshi, with a wide-open field of more than 20 named rookies and an early board centered on Fernando Mendoza, Jeremiyah Love, Carnell Tate, Jordyn Tyson, and Jadarian Price. This far ahead of the season the names are draft-class prospects, not proven pros, so the live board above is the only honest read on the order; the award resolves when the Associated Press announces the winner in early 2027.
The 2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year market is a season-long futures position priced months before a single rookie has taken an NFL snap. OROY goes to the best first-year offensive player, and historically that means a quarterback or a high-volume skill-position player who lands a starting role early; the award tracks opportunity as much as talent. The board reflects that uncertainty: a field of more than 20 named rookies splits the probability, with the early money on Fernando Mendoza, Jeremiyah Love, Carnell Tate, Jordyn Tyson, and Jadarian Price. The live board above ranks every contender by current price; this page covers what the market is, what structurally moves it, and exactly how it resolves.
Fernando Mendoza sits at the front of the field. The OROY award has a strong quarterback lean when a rookie passer wins a Week 1 starting job, and the market is pricing Mendoza as the rookie most likely to hold that kind of franchise-anchoring role. Quarterbacks carry the highest ceiling in this award because volume and team importance compound, but they also carry the most landing-spot risk, since a rookie who sits or splits time has almost no path. Jeremiyah Love is the closest chase-tier name, a high-profile back whose case rests on early-down workload; running backs win OROY when they get a feature role out of the gate, and Love's price reflects a market betting on exactly that.
Carnell Tate and Jordyn Tyson anchor the wide-receiver tier. Receivers are the most volatile OROY profile because the award rewards target share, and target share depends entirely on depth-chart position and quarterback play, both unknown this early. Tate and Tyson draw real volume on the strength of their college production, but their prices will swing hardest once landing spots and projected roles come into focus. Jadarian Price rounds out the top names with a backfield profile similar to Love's, where the swing factor is whether he wins lead-back snaps or splits a committee.
Below the top five the field flattens into a long tail of one- and two-percent rookies (Makai Lemon, KC Concepcion, Carson Beck, Kenyon Sadiq, and a deep list ) where a single training-camp depth-chart move can multiply or erase a price overnight. Because these are incoming rookies rather than established players, the entire board is more sensitive to news than a typical award market, and the live board above is the only current read on who is rising and who is dormant.
The 2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year market resolves to the player named Offensive Rookie of the Year by the Associated Press, announced at NFL Honors in early February 2027 ahead of Super Bowl LXI. The award is decided by a panel of 50 media voters, and the winning rookie's contract pays out while every other contender resolves to zero. The market's listed settlement date carries to March 2027 as a buffer, but the outcome is fixed the moment the AP announcement is made.
The 2026 OROY race runs alongside the 2026 Defensive Rookie of the Year market, where the same draft class competes on the other side of the ball, and the 2026 NFL MVP market, which rewards the established stars these rookies are chasing. For team-level outcomes that shape every rookie's opportunity, the Super Bowl 2026 market tracks championship odds, and the broader sports markets hub spans every league. Page maintained by Genius Staff, refreshed on a review cycle as the field and the prices move.
Resolves to the player named the 2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year by the Associated Press, announced at the NFL Honors ceremony in early February 2027 ahead of Super Bowl LXI. The award is determined by a panel of 50 media members who vote at the end of the regular season. The winning rookie's contract pays $1 per share; all other contender contracts resolve to $0. The listed market settlement date carries to March 30, 2027 as a buffer, but the outcome is fixed at the AP announcement. If co-winners are named, the market resolves per the platform's tie rules.
The live board above ranks current prices on every contender on Kalshi. The early field is led by Fernando Mendoza, with Jeremiyah Love, Carnell Tate, Jordyn Tyson, and Jadarian Price forming the chase tier across more than 20 named rookies. Because these are incoming rookies, the order moves quickly on offseason news.
The award is announced by the Associated Press at NFL Honors in early February 2027, ahead of Super Bowl LXI. The market carries a settlement buffer to March 30, 2027, but the outcome is fixed at the AP announcement.
This market trades on Kalshi, which lists a contract for each rookie contender plus a tie/co-winners option. The board above ranks all of them by current price so you can compare the full field in one place.
Fernando Mendoza sits at the front of the early board, with Jeremiyah Love and Carnell Tate the next-closest names. The field is wide open this far before the season, so check the live board above for the current ranking.
Watch landing spots and depth charts above all, since OROY rewards opportunity and a rookie's role drives the entire case. Then track which quarterbacks win starting jobs, which backs avoid committees, and which receivers earn target share once training camp sets the roles.