The 2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year board has changed shape since the spring. All 26 named rookies now carry an NFL team and a depth-chart slot, and roughly $1.3M in cumulative volume has stacked up behind them. Fernando Mendoza went No. 1 overall to Las Vegas, Jeremiyah Love went No. 3 to Arizona and Carnell Tate went No. 4 to Tennessee, yet the deepest single pool of money on the board sits on a back who went 32nd. The live board above carries the current order. The award is announced at NFL Honors in February 2027.
Every name on the 2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year board is an NFL player now. The draft settled the landing spots this market spent the winter guessing at, camp settled most of the depth charts, and Week 1 opens September 13, 2026. What is left is an opportunity question. OROY is a counting-stat award decided by a full season of production, and the last ten winners break down as five quarterbacks, three wide receivers and two running backs. Every one of them played from September. That is why the board reprices on depth-chart news rather than on highlight reels, and why two of the biggest contracts here belong to players whose path opened because somebody else got hurt.
Mendoza was the No. 1 overall pick and is the second quarterback on the Raiders' depth chart. Kirk Cousins is listed ahead of him, and as of August 21 head coach Klint Kubiak had still not named a Week 1 starter. That one decision is worth more to this contract than anything Mendoza did at Indiana, where he completed 72.0% of his passes for 3,535 yards with 41 touchdowns against 6 interceptions in 2025. The job comes with Brock Bowers and Ashton Jeanty attached, which is a real supporting cast for a rookie passer, and Las Vegas is one of the few teams on this board where a rookie could inherit a finished offense rather than build one. A rookie quarterback who opens on the bench has close to no OROY case, because the voters are counting starts. The Raiders win total market is trading the same unresolved question from the team side.
Mendoza is also one of only five names Polymarket lists. Kalshi carries nearly all of the money on this board, with a contract for every rookie plus a tie option, so the deep book and the shallow book are pricing different-sized fields.
Love went No. 3 overall, the highest a running back has been taken in years, and Arizona lists him as the starter ahead of Tyler Allgeier and James Conner, who is himself questionable with a foot injury. His 2025 Notre Dame line was 199 carries for 1,372 yards at 6.9 a carry with 18 rushing touchdowns, plus 27 catches for 280 yards. The complication is health and quarterback play: Love is questionable with an ankle and is expected to sit the rest of the preseason, and the Cardinals' quarterback room is Jacoby Brissett and Gardner Minshew II after Kyler Murray moved on to Minnesota. A backfield that gets the ball because the passing game stalls still produces the carries an OROY case needs.
Price is the more interesting position on the board. He was the last pick of the first round, No. 32 to Seattle, and he is the single largest pool of money here at roughly $302K, more than double what sits on the price leader. The reason is Zach Charbonnet, who is out with a torn ACL and was the back listed in front of him. Price ran 113 times for 674 yards and 11 touchdowns at Notre Dame in 2025, sharing that backfield with Love, and added 450 yards and two scores on 12 kick returns. He steps into a Sam Darnold offense with Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Cooper Kupp and Rashid Shaheed drawing coverage. The Seahawks win total market is the cleanest read on how much scoring that offense is expected to generate.
Tate is the receiver with the cleanest setup. He went No. 4 to Tennessee and is listed as the WR1 ahead of Wan'Dale Robinson and Calvin Ridley, catching from Cam Ward in Ward's second season. Tate caught 51 passes for 875 yards at 17.2 a catch with 9 touchdowns at Ohio State in 2025, and a rookie who is the No. 1 target on his own team is exactly the profile that produced Ja'Marr Chase, Garrett Wilson and Tetairoa McMillan.
Jordyn Tyson is the cautionary version of the same idea. He went No. 8 overall to New Orleans, the same slot McMillan occupied a year before winning the award, and he has been doubtful with a hamstring since August 19. A soft-tissue injury in late August costs a receiver the September reps that build a counting-stat case, and the board has repriced him accordingly. De'Zhaun Stribling, the first pick of the second round at No. 33 to San Francisco, has the opposite problem: he is healthy enough but sits fourth on a depth chart behind Mike Evans, Deebo Samuel Sr. and Christian Kirk, and he is questionable with a shoulder.
The rest of the receiver tier is a bet on target share arriving. Makai Lemon went No. 20 to Philadelphia after a 79-catch, 1,156-yard, 11-touchdown season at USC, into a Jalen Hurts offense that already feeds DeVonta Smith and Dallas Goedert. KC Concepcion went No. 24 to Cleveland with 61 catches, 919 yards and two return touchdowns at Texas A&M, into a quarterback room that has not settled. Further down, Mike Washington Jr., a fourth-round Raiders back, took most of the carries after Jeanty left an August practice with an ankle problem, which is how the long tail on this board moves.
The 2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year is announced by the Associated Press at NFL Honors in early February 2027, the night before Super Bowl LXI. A panel of 50 AP media voters casts ballots after the regular season ends, so the outcome is fixed before the playoffs and postseason play does not count. The winning rookie's contract pays out and every other contender resolves to zero. The board carries a listed settlement date of March 30, 2027 as a buffer, and it also lists a tie contract that covers the case where the AP names co-winners.
The same draft class competes on the other side of the ball in the 2026 Defensive Rookie of the Year market, and the veterans these rookies are chasing trade on the 2026 NFL MVP market. Coaching decisions that determine rookie roles show up on the 2026 Coach of the Year market, while team outcomes that shape every rookie's snap count run through the Super Bowl LXI champion market. Every NFL futures board, division race and win total sits on the NFL prediction markets hub.
Resolves to the player named 2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year by the Associated Press, announced at the NFL Honors ceremony in early February 2027, the night before Super Bowl LXI. A panel of 50 AP media members votes at the end of the regular season, so playoff performance does not count toward the award. The winning rookie's contract pays $1 per share and every other contender contract resolves to $0. The board also lists a tie contract that resolves if the AP names co-winners. The listed settlement date carries to March 30, 2027 as a buffer, but the outcome is fixed at the AP announcement.
The live board above ranks all 26 named rookies plus a tie contract. The top of the field is Jeremiyah Love in Arizona, Fernando Mendoza in Las Vegas, and a cluster of Jadarian Price, De'Zhaun Stribling and Carnell Tate, with roughly $1.3M of cumulative volume across the board.
The Associated Press announces the award at NFL Honors in early February 2027, the night before Super Bowl LXI. Voting closes at the end of the regular season, and the market carries a settlement buffer to March 30, 2027.
Kalshi carries the deep book, with a contract for every one of the 26 rookies plus a tie option, and nearly all of the roughly $1.3M in cumulative volume. Polymarket lists a much shorter field of five names, including Jeremiyah Love and Fernando Mendoza.
As of August 24, 2026, Jeremiyah Love leads at 16c after going No. 3 overall to Arizona, with Fernando Mendoza next at 13.5c. The largest single pool of money is not on either of them: Seattle's Jadarian Price holds roughly $302K of volume.
Watch the Raiders name a Week 1 quarterback, watch whether Jeremiyah Love's ankle costs him September carries, and watch Jordyn Tyson's hamstring. The last ten winners include five quarterbacks, three receivers and two running backs, and all of them were playing by Week 1.