The 2026 NFL Coach of the Year market trades across roughly $83K in volume on Kalshi, with a head-coach field topping 30 names but a live race centered on John Harbaugh, Jesse Minter, Kellen Moore, Robert Saleh, and DeMeco Ryans. The live board above ranks the current price on every coach; the award resolves when the winner is announced at the NFL Honors ceremony, with market settlement carrying to March 2027.
The 2026 NFL Coach of the Year race is a season-long position trade on which head coach gets the most votes, not a single game, and the board reflects that. Coach of the Year is the award the Associated Press hands to the head coach whose team most exceeds its preseason expectation, which is why it historically follows the biggest turnaround or over-performing club rather than the best roster on paper. A field of more than 30 named coaches splits the probability, but the conviction money concentrates at the top: John Harbaugh carries the chalk, with Jesse Minter and Kellen Moore forming the chase tier and Robert Saleh and DeMeco Ryans rounding out the names with real backing. The live board above ranks every contender by current price; this page covers who the field is, what structurally moves it, and exactly how it resolves.
John Harbaugh sits at the front of the field as the most heavily backed name, a profile built on a veteran coach whose team is expected to contend and could post the kind of win total that voters reward. Because Coach of the Year rewards exceeding expectation, an established favorite like Harbaugh needs his club to outperform an already-high baseline, which is the structural ceiling on the position. His standing reflects both the track record and a roster pointed at a deep January run.
Jesse Minter is the breakout name in the chase tier, a first-year or recently promoted head coach whose market price reflects the upside the award is built to reward. Coach of the Year skews toward new voices and turnaround stories, so a coach in Minter's position carries the widest price band on the board, climbing fast on early wins and fading just as quickly on a slow start. Kellen Moore is the other conviction trade in the chase tier, a coach whose offensive reputation and a roster with room to improve give him a clean over-performance narrative if the team beats its win projection.
Robert Saleh and DeMeco Ryans anchor the next layer of credible names. Saleh's case is the classic resurrection bet, a coach whose price moves on whether his unit jumps a tier from the prior season, while Ryans represents the young-coach-on-a-rising-team profile that voters have favored in recent cycles. Below them the field flattens into a long tail of one-percent names, where the live board above is the only honest read on who is moving on a hot start and who is dormant.
The 2026 NFL Coach of the Year market resolves to the head coach named AP Coach of the Year, voted on by a national panel of Associated Press media members and announced at the NFL Honors ceremony the week of Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. The winning coach's contract pays out while every other contender resolves to zero. The market's listed settlement date carries to March 30, 2027 as a buffer, but the outcome is fixed the moment the award is announced.
The 2026 NFL Coach of the Year race runs alongside the 2026 NFL MVP market and the 2026 Super Bowl champion market, where the same contention and over-performance stories drive the lines. For the rookie side of the awards slate, the 2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year market tracks the first-year players whose breakouts often lift their coach's case. Browse the full slate at the sports markets hub. Page maintained by Genius Staff, refreshed on a review cycle as the field and the prices move.
Resolves to the head coach named the 2026 Associated Press NFL Coach of the Year, voted on by a national panel of AP media members and announced at the NFL Honors ceremony during Super Bowl LXI week in February 2027. The winning coach's contract pays $1 per share; all other contender contracts resolve to $0. The listed market settlement date carries to March 30, 2027 as a buffer, but the outcome is fixed at the AP announcement. If co-winners are named, the market resolves per the platform's tie rules.
The live board above ranks the current price on every coach on Kalshi. The race is led by John Harbaugh, with Jesse Minter, Kellen Moore, Robert Saleh, and DeMeco Ryans forming the chase tier across a field of more than 30 named head coaches.
The award is announced by the Associated Press at the NFL Honors ceremony during Super Bowl LXI week in February 2027. The market carries a settlement buffer to March 30, 2027, but the outcome is fixed at the announcement.
The 2026 NFL Coach of the Year market trades on Kalshi, which lists a contract for each head-coach contender. The board above ranks every coach by current price so you can see the full field at a glance.
John Harbaugh sits at the front of the field as the most heavily backed name, with Jesse Minter and Kellen Moore the next-closest contenders. Check the live board above for the current ranking.
Watch win improvement versus preseason expectation above all, since the award follows the biggest over-performing or turnaround team. Then track team contention, division standings, and whether chase-tier coaches like Jesse Minter sustain a fast start into the back half of the season.