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Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — Live Odds | Prediction Genius
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Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the first round of...
Politics
7 Candidates
Futures
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Current Leader
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
83%
Flávio Bolsonaro at 13%
(+70pt lead)
$257K volume
7 candidates
Kalshi, Polymarket
86d until resolution
Chart
Leaderboard
Analysis
Timeline
%
US
DEC
¢
Price History
Top candidates over time
Leaderboard
7 candidates · 2 platforms
#
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket
Best
1
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
83%
—
83%
▸
2
Flávio Bolsonaro
13%
—
13%
▸
3
Renan Santos
2%
3%
3%
▸
4
Ronaldo Caiado
2%
—
2%
▸
5
Tarcisio de Freitas
—
1%
1%
▸
Show All 7 Candidates
Analysis
Analysis content will be generated by the pipeline.
Timeline
Market Created
Jul 10
We Are Here
Jul 10
Resolution
Oct 4
⚠
Informational content only. Not financial or betting advice. Prediction markets involve risk of loss.
Market Overview
Total Volume
$257K
Candidates
7
Platforms
Kalshi, Polymarket
Days Left
86
Leader
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Leader Spread
70pt
Resolution
October 4, 2026
Resolves In
85
DAYS
15
HRS
05
MIN
October 4, 2026
Top Movers
7D
Brazil presidential election: first round winner?: Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
87% → 83%
↓ -4%
Brazil presidential election: first round winner?: Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
6% → 2%
↓ -4%
Brazil presidential election: first round winner?: Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
10% → 13%
↑ +3%
Brazil presidential election: first round winner?: Will Ronaldo Caiado win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2% → 2%
· 0%
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