| Spread | Total | ML | Best ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
â–¶Liberty | -6.5 53%52% | O 175.5 51%50% | 72%72% | 72% Kalshi |
â–¶Tempo | +6.5 47%48% | U 175.5 49%50% | 30%28% | 30% Kalshi |
| Spread | Total | Moneyline | Best ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
â–¶New York Liberty | -6.5 | O 175.5 | 72% Kalshi | |
â–¶Toronto Tempo | +6.5 | U 175.5 | 30% Kalshi |
No player props available for this game.
The New York Liberty are the 72c moneyline favorite over the Toronto Tempo for Sunday, July 12, 2026, priced identically at 72c on Kalshi and Polymarket. New York carries a 13-10 record into the game against Toronto's 9-13 mark in the expansion Tempo's first WNBA season, and the market spread sits near 7 points. The board holds roughly $5.6K in cumulative volume across both platforms, and the live board above tracks the current cross-platform prices.
The New York Liberty enter Sunday's road game in Montreal as the 72c moneyline favorite over the Toronto Tempo, a price both Kalshi and Polymarket agree on to the cent. New York sits at 13-10 and 6-5 on the road, while Toronto is 9-13 and 5-7 at home in the Tempo's first WNBA season. The market's read is a mid-single-digit Liberty win, with the spread pinned near 7 points and the total near 176.
The Liberty moneyline is 72c on both Kalshi and Polymarket, an implied win probability of roughly 72% with no cross-platform gap to exploit on the favorite. The Tempo side carries the only split worth noting, 30c on Kalshi against 28c on Polymarket, so a Toronto backer gets the marginally better number on Polymarket at 28c. Volume is modest at roughly $5.6K cumulative across the two books, concentrated on the Kalshi moneyline at about $3.1K on the Liberty contract. The line has held at 72c through the session, opening at 72c on both platforms and settling back to 72c after brief moves to 73c and 74c on Kalshi, so there is no steam to fade here.
The spread sits at Liberty by roughly 7. Kalshi prices a New York win by over 6.5 points at 52c, essentially a coin flip, while Polymarket's Liberty -7.5 line trades at 48c. Shorten the number and the confidence climbs fast: a Liberty win by over 3.5 is 63c on Kalshi, and by over 1.5 is 70c. The total is pinned near 176 points, with Kalshi's over 175.5 at 50c and Polymarket's 176.5 line at 47c, both books leaning slightly under their respective numbers. Breanna Stewart (20.5 PPG) and Jonquel Jones (9.1 RPG) anchor the Liberty, while Toronto leans on Marina Mabrey (21.2 PPG) and Julie Allemand (5.4 APG) for the expansion roster's scoring and playmaking. The Liberty season wins market reflects the same above-.500 trajectory the 72c price implies here.
The market resolves on the final score of the game on Sunday, July 12, 2026, played at Bell Centre in Montreal. The moneyline pays the team that wins the game; the spread settles on the final margin and the total on the combined points scored, against each platform's posted lines. If the game is postponed past its scheduled date or canceled, the contracts void or roll forward per each platform's rules. Kalshi and Polymarket both settle once the WNBA posts the official box score.
For the season-long picture, the Liberty season wins market and the Tempo season wins market track how each roster is trending, while the WNBA championship market prices New York's title odds. Toronto's postseason path runs through the Tempo make-the-playoffs market. Browse the full sports board for every game and futures market.
This market resolves on the outcome of the New York Liberty at Toronto Tempo game scheduled for Sunday, July 12, 2026 at Bell Centre in Montreal. The moneyline resolves to the team that wins the game, paying $1 per share on the winning side and $0 on the other. The spread settles on the final margin of victory and the total on the combined points scored, against each platform's posted lines. Kalshi and Polymarket both finalize once the WNBA publishes the official box score. If the game is postponed past the resolution window or canceled, the contracts void or roll forward per each platform's specific rules.
The New York Liberty are the 72c moneyline favorite over the Toronto Tempo as of July 12, 2026, priced at 72c on both Kalshi and Polymarket. Toronto trades at 30c on Kalshi and 28c on Polymarket, an implied win probability near 29%.
The market resolves after the game on Sunday, July 12, 2026 at Bell Centre in Montreal, once the WNBA posts the official final score. The moneyline pays out to the team that wins the game.
The New York Liberty vs Toronto Tempo game trades on Kalshi and Polymarket, with a moneyline, spread, and total available. Cumulative volume is roughly $5.6K across both platforms.
The New York Liberty are favored at 72c, an implied win probability of about 72%. New York is 13-10 and 6-5 on the road, against Toronto's 9-13 record and 5-7 home mark in the Tempo's first WNBA season.
Watch the spread near Liberty -7 (Kalshi over 6.5 at 52c, Polymarket -7.5 at 48c) and the total near 176 (Kalshi 175.5 over at 50c, Polymarket 176.5 at 47c). Breanna Stewart's status is the key swing on the Liberty price.