The 2028 Democratic VP nominee market prices who the party formally nominates for vice president in the 2028 cycle. Kalshi and Polymarket list a 45-name field across roughly $3.3M in lifetime volume, and no candidate trades as a clear favorite. Because the presidential nominee picks the running mate, this board moves with the presidential nomination market. Current prices are on the live board above.
The 2028 Democratic VP nominee market is a board without a favorite. Kalshi and Polymarket list 45 names between them across roughly $3.3M in lifetime volume, and the leading tier is a dozen candidates who each trade at single digits to around ten percent. That flatness is the defining feature of a running-mate market two years out: the person who makes the choice has not been chosen yet.
A vice-presidential nomination is a decision made by one person, the presidential nominee, usually in the months before the convention. Until that nominee is known, every running-mate price is a blend of two questions: who could be picked, and who will be doing the picking. Markets on that kind of question tend to spread probability thinly across a long list rather than concentrating it, and this board follows the pattern.
The leading names include Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Elissa Slotkin, Pete Buttigieg, James Talarico, Andy Beshear, Wes Moore, Jon Ossoff, Gretchen Whitmer and Mark Kelly. Behind them sit Josh Shapiro, Raphael Warnock, Gavin Newsom, Kamala Harris and a long tail of names trading at a cent or two. The live board above carries the current ranking.
Several names on this board are also contenders on the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee odds, including Ocasio-Cortez, Buttigieg, Newsom, Shapiro, Beshear, Moore, Whitmer and Harris. The two outcomes are mutually exclusive for any single person: whoever wins the presidential nomination cannot also be the vice-presidential nominee. A candidate gaining ground on the presidential board therefore removes probability from their own price here, and changes the likely running-mate field at the same time.
That linkage makes the presidential board the main driver of this one. Movement among the presidential front-runners is the most direct input into which running mates become plausible, through regional balance, ideological balance and the nominee's own relationships.
Kalshi carries most of the money. Its leading legs hold six-figure lifetime volumes, while the matching Polymarket legs mostly sit in the low thousands. On the names both venues list, the prices typically agree within a few points, so the cross-platform comparison is meaningful, but the Kalshi side is the deeper book.
Some Polymarket legs quote wide, with gaps of several cents between bid and ask on a single name. A wide book on a thinly traded leg can make a price look more different across venues than it really is, so a cross-venue gap is worth checking against the bid and ask before reading it as disagreement.
The market resolves to the first individual formally nominated by the Democratic Party for vice president in the 2028 presidential cycle who accepts the nomination. The Kalshi contract lists November 7, 2028 as its resolution date and the Polymarket legs list November 8, 2028. In practice the outcome is decided when the presidential nominee names a running mate and the convention formally nominates them, well before those dates.
The presidential side of the ticket trades on the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee odds, with the opposing field on the 2028 Republican presidential nominee odds and the head-to-head pairings on the 2028 presidential matchup odds. For nearer-term federal politics, the Clarity Act 2026 odds track a bill moving through the current Congress. More coverage on the politics hub.
Resolves to the first individual formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. Each name is a separate contract that pays YES for the nominee and NO for every other name. The Kalshi contract lists a resolution date of November 7, 2028 and the Polymarket legs list November 8, 2028. A running-mate announcement alone does not settle the contract; the formal nomination and acceptance does. If the nominee is later replaced on the ticket, the first individual formally nominated and accepting governs.
The live board above prices a 45-name field across Kalshi and Polymarket, with roughly $3.3M in lifetime volume. No candidate trades as a clear favorite; the leading tier is about a dozen names.
On the first individual formally nominated for vice president by the Democratic Party in the 2028 cycle who accepts. Kalshi lists November 7, 2028 and Polymarket lists November 8, 2028.
Both Kalshi and Polymarket list the field. Kalshi carries most of the volume, and the two venues typically agree within a few points on names they both list.
As of October 13, 2026, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trades at 9c on Kalshi and 10c on Polymarket, and Elissa Slotkin at 10c on Kalshi and 7c on Polymarket. No name is above 10c on either venue.
The 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. The nominee picks the running mate, and anyone who wins the top slot drops out of this race, so the presidential board moves this one first.