Timberwolves vs Pelicans Prediction Market Odds, November 6, 2026
| Spread | Total | ML | Main ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
▶Timberwolves | -3.5 52%51% | O 231.5 48%48% | 59%59% | 59% Kalshi |
▶Pelicans | +3.5 48%49% | U 231.5 52%52% | 39%38% | 39% Kalshi |
| Spread | Total | Moneyline | Main ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
▶Minnesota Timberwolves | -3.5 | O 231.5 | 59% Kalshi | |
▶New Orleans Pelicans | +3.5 | U 231.5 | 39% Kalshi |
Minnesota is a modest road favorite in Timberwolves vs Pelicans: as of November 6 the Wolves trade at 61c on Kalshi and about 60.5c on Polymarket, with -3.5 as the coin-flip spread. Minnesota (6-3) is without Anthony Edwards, and New Orleans (4-4) has won four straight, which is why the market sits well below ESPN's 70.8% projection. Tip-off is 8:00 PM ET on November 6, 2026, at Smoothie King Center.
Timberwolves vs Pelicans matches a 6-3 Minnesota team playing without Anthony Edwards against a 4-4 New Orleans side that has won four straight, and the prediction market makes the Wolves a modest road favorite of about 3.5 points at Smoothie King Center. The board carries about $75K in cumulative volume as of November 6 across the moneyline, spread and total ladders, and player props.
Timberwolves vs Pelicans Odds and Market Context
As of the afternoon of November 6 the moneyline reads Minnesota 61c on Kalshi and about 60.5c on Polymarket, with New Orleans at 40c on Kalshi and 39.5c on Polymarket. Our board does not carry the Polymarket moneyline, so that quote comes from Polymarket's own market, which lists tip-off at 8:00 PM ET. A half-cent gap is no cross-platform edge.
Timberwolves -3.5 is the coin-flip spread rung at 52c on Kalshi and 51c on Polymarket, matching the DraftKings line of Minnesota -3.5 on ESPN. The total centers near 230.5: the 229.5 over trades at 54c on Kalshi and 52c on Polymarket, and the 231.5 over at 48c on both, which brackets DraftKings' 230.5. ESPN's matchup predictor gives Minnesota a 70.8% win probability, about 10 points above the market's 61c, so the market is giving New Orleans much more credit than ESPN's model does.
The intraday tape has moved toward the Pelicans. In the captures we hold, which run from about 7:00 PM ET Thursday to 2:00 PM ET Friday, Kalshi trimmed Minnesota from 63c to 61c and lifted New Orleans from 38c to as high as 41c. The Timberwolves -3.5 rung slipped from 55c to 52c on Kalshi and from 55c to 51c on Polymarket. The total went the other way: the 229.5 over climbed from 50c to 54c on Kalshi and from 49c to 52c on Polymarket.
Timberwolves vs Pelicans Form and Injuries
Minnesota is 6-3 (3-1 at home, 3-2 on the road) per ESPN and has won two straight, 112-100 over Milwaukee on Monday and 117-107 at Houston on Wednesday. New Orleans is 4-4 (3-2 at home, 1-2 on the road) and has won four straight after an 0-4 start: 132-120 over Sacramento, 121-99 over Atlanta, 135-134 in overtime at Memphis on Monday and 120-113 in overtime over Utah on Wednesday. Both teams had Thursday off.
The injury report is heavier on the Minnesota side. ESPN lists Anthony Edwards out with a knee injury, with a projected return in late December, along with Donte DiVincenzo (Achilles) and Terrence Shannon Jr. (hip), as of November 6. New Orleans lists only Yves Missi (knee) out. Without Edwards, LaMelo Ball leads the Wolves at 17.2 points and 5.9 assists per game, Ayo Dosunmu adds 16.3 points, and Rudy Gobert leads at 11.9 rebounds. Zion Williamson leads New Orleans at 21.5 points and 2.5 steals, Dejounte Murray at 5.6 assists and Derik Queen at 7.9 rebounds.
The prop board frames the star matchup. Williamson's 19.5-point over trades at 47c on Kalshi and 46c on Polymarket, below his 21.5 average, while Ball's 19.5-point over is 60c on Kalshi and 56c on Polymarket. Dosunmu's 19.5-point over shows one of the wider venue splits on the board, 41c on Kalshi against 32c on Polymarket, so Polymarket is the cheaper place to back him.
When the Timberwolves vs Pelicans Market Resolves
The moneyline settles on the official winner of the Minnesota Timberwolves at New Orleans Pelicans game scheduled for 8:00 PM ET on Friday, November 6, 2026, at Smoothie King Center, with overtime included. Spread and total contracts settle on the final score once the game goes final.
Key Timberwolves vs Pelicans Catalysts
- Edwards out: ESPN lists Anthony Edwards out with a knee injury as of November 6, with a late-December projected return.
- Pelicans streak: New Orleans has won four straight, the last two in overtime.
- Tape toward New Orleans: Kalshi moved the Pelicans from 38c to 40c and the -3.5 rung from 55c to 52c in the captures we hold.
- Rising total: the 229.5 over climbed from 50c to 54c on Kalshi over the same window.
- Model gap: ESPN's predictor has Minnesota at 70.8%, well above the market's 61c.
Related Timberwolves vs Pelicans Markets
Results like this feed both clubs' season-long markets. Follow the Timberwolves playoff odds, the Pelicans playoff odds and the Western Conference champion market. Minnesota's previous board was Timberwolves vs Rockets, and New Orleans hosted Utah on the Jazz vs Pelicans board. The Minnesota Timberwolves hub, the New Orleans Pelicans hub and the NBA hub collect every live market for the teams and the rest of Friday's slate.
Resolution Criteria
The moneyline resolves to the team that wins the Minnesota Timberwolves at New Orleans Pelicans game scheduled for 8:00 PM ET on November 6, 2026, at Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, including overtime, and pays $1 per winning share on Kalshi and Polymarket. Spread contracts settle on the final margin and total contracts on the combined final score. Contracts settle on the official final result once the game goes final; if the game is postponed or canceled, each venue settles under its own posted contract rules.
Key Factors
- Anthony Edwards listed out with a knee injury, per ESPN as of November 6
- New Orleans has won four straight, including two overtime wins this week
- Kalshi moved the Pelicans from 38c to 40c between Thursday night and Friday afternoon
- The 229.5 total over climbed from 50c to 54c on Kalshi in the same window
- ESPN's predictor gives Minnesota 70.8%, about 10 points above the market's 61c
What are the Timberwolves vs Pelicans odds?
As of November 6, 2026, Minnesota is 61c on Kalshi and about 60.5c on Polymarket, roughly a 61% implied chance of a Wolves win. New Orleans is 40c on Kalshi and 39.5c on Polymarket.
What time does Timberwolves vs Pelicans tip off?
Tip-off is 8:00 PM ET on Friday, November 6, 2026, at Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, per the ESPN scoreboard and Polymarket's game listing.
What are the Timberwolves vs Pelicans spread and total?
As of November 6 the Timberwolves -3.5 contract is the coin-flip line at 52c on Kalshi and 51c on Polymarket, and the total centers near 230.5. DraftKings lists Minnesota -3.5 with a 230.5 total, per ESPN.
Is Anthony Edwards playing in Timberwolves vs Pelicans?
ESPN lists Anthony Edwards out with a knee injury as of November 6, 2026, with a projected return in late December. Donte DiVincenzo and Terrence Shannon Jr. are also listed out for Minnesota.
What should I watch before Timberwolves vs Pelicans settles?
Watch whether the intraday move toward New Orleans continues; Kalshi lifted the Pelicans from 38c to 40c on November 6. The market settles when the game goes final on November 6, 2026.