76ers vs Cavaliers Prediction Market Odds, November 6, 2026
| Spread | Total | ML | Main ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
▶76ers | -76 51%51% | O 230.5 53%53% | 56%54% | 56% Kalshi |
▶Cavaliers | +76 49%49% | U 230.5 47%47% | 41%41% | 41% Kalshi |
| Spread | Total | Moneyline | Main ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
▶Philadelphia 76ers | -76 | O 230.5 | 56% Kalshi | |
▶Cleveland Cavaliers | +76 | U 230.5 | 41% Kalshi |
Philadelphia is a modest road favorite in 76ers vs Cavaliers, at 59c on Kalshi and 58.5c on Polymarket as of Friday afternoon, November 6, with the spread market pricing the 76ers by about 2.5 points. The venues agree within 1c. Philadelphia (8-1) has won five straight and is 4-0 on the road, Cleveland (4-4) has lost two in a row, and the 76ers won the first meeting 114-106 on October 22. Tip-off is 7:30 PM ET at Rocket Arena.
76ers vs Cavaliers puts the best record in the Eastern Conference on the road against a .500 Cleveland team, and roughly $490K has traded across its contracts so far. Philadelphia (8-1) leads the Atlantic Division by 1.5 games over Boston, and Cleveland (4-4) sits 2 games behind Detroit in the Central, per ESPN standings. The game airs on Prime Video.
76ers vs Cavaliers Odds and Market Context
As of about 2:00 PM ET on November 6, the moneyline has Philadelphia at 59c on Kalshi and 58.5c on Polymarket (midpoint, per Polymarket's own market data), with Cleveland at 42c and 41.5c. With less than 1c between venues on either side, there is no better venue for the winner.
The spread market centers on Philadelphia by about 2.5 points. 76ers -2.5 trades at 51c on Kalshi and 50c on Polymarket, 76ers -1.5 at 55c and 53c, and Cavaliers -1.5 at 42c and 41c. The total sits higher than the sportsbook number: Over 230.5 is 51c on Kalshi and Over 231.5 is 48c on Polymarket, so the prediction markets center near 231, about 1.5 points above the 229.5 DraftKings total ESPN lists.
The moneyline has moved little. In the Kalshi captures we hold, Philadelphia opened at 57c around 7:45 PM ET Thursday, peaked at 60c around 3:00 AM ET Friday and has held at 59c since early Friday morning. Cleveland touched 45c late Thursday before easing to 42c. The total did the moving: Polymarket's Over 233.5 was 27c at about 7:05 PM ET Thursday, reached 40c within 40 minutes and has traded between 39c and 45c since, so most of the upward repricing came in the first hour of capture.
76ers vs Cavaliers Form, Injuries and Leaders
Philadelphia has won five straight, most recently 112-106 at Detroit on Wednesday, and is 4-0 on the road, per ESPN. Cleveland has lost two straight, both to Oklahoma City (117-112 at home and 124-116 on the road), and is 2-3 over its last five, but the Cavaliers are 3-1 at Rocket Arena. The first meeting went to Philadelphia 114-106 at Xfinity Mobile Arena on October 22, and this is the second of three regular-season games between the two.
Tyrese Maxey leads Philadelphia at 28.0 points and 5.4 assists per game, Joel Embiid averages 10.0 rebounds and LeBron James 7.4 assists, per ESPN. Donovan Mitchell leads Cleveland at 22.5 points, Evan Mobley averages 8.2 rebounds and James Harden 6.2 assists.
ESPN's injury report as of November 6 lists Jarrett Allen (knee), Tyrese Proctor (ankle sprain) and Peyton Watson (hamstring soreness) as day-to-day for Cleveland, with Jaylon Tyson (ankle sprain) out. For Philadelphia, Adem Bona (back sprain) is day-to-day, and Dominick Barlow (back fracture) and Ariel Hukporti (Achilles surgery) are out. Allen is the swing for the Cavaliers frontcourt against Embiid, and three day-to-day tags leave more uncertainty on the home side than the road side.
The player props frame the star matchup. Maxey over 24.5 points trades at 55c on Kalshi and 54c on Polymarket, Mitchell over 24.5 at 53c on both, and Embiid over 19.5 at 59c on Kalshi and 56c on Polymarket. Mobley over 14.5 points shows a 6c split, 68c on Kalshi against 62c on Polymarket, so the over is cheaper on Polymarket.
When the 76ers vs Cavaliers Market Resolves
The moneyline settles on the official winner of the Philadelphia 76ers at Cleveland Cavaliers game scheduled for 7:30 PM ET on Friday, November 6, 2026, at Rocket Arena, with overtime included. Spread and total contracts settle on the final score. Each winning share pays $1 on Kalshi and Polymarket once the game goes final.
Key 76ers vs Cavaliers Catalysts
- Jarrett Allen: listed day-to-day (knee) by ESPN as of November 6, with Proctor and Watson also day-to-day for Cleveland.
- Streaks: Philadelphia has won five straight and is 4-0 on the road; Cleveland has lost two straight to Oklahoma City.
- Home split: Cleveland is 3-1 at Rocket Arena, the main argument for the 42c underdog.
- Total above the book: the prediction markets center near 231, about 1.5 points over the 229.5 DraftKings total.
- Head-to-head: Philadelphia won the first meeting 114-106 on October 22.
Related 76ers vs Cavaliers Markets
Each team's last game has its own page: the 76ers vs Pistons game at Little Caesars Arena and the Cavaliers vs Thunder game at Paycom Center. For the season-long view, track the 76ers to make the playoffs market, the Cavaliers to make the playoffs market and the Eastern Conference champion odds, along with the NBA MVP market. The Philadelphia 76ers hub and Cleveland Cavaliers hub collect every live market for each team, and the NBA hub lists the rest of Friday's slate.
Resolution Criteria
The moneyline resolves to the team that wins the Philadelphia 76ers at Cleveland Cavaliers game scheduled for 7:30 PM ET on Friday, November 6, 2026, at Rocket Arena in Cleveland, including overtime. Spread contracts settle on the final margin and total contracts on the combined final score. Kalshi and Polymarket settle once the game is official; each winning share pays $1 and losing shares pay $0. If the game is postponed or canceled, each platform's own rules for rescheduled or voided games apply.
Key Factors
- Jarrett Allen (knee), Tyrese Proctor (ankle) and Peyton Watson (hamstring) day-to-day for Cleveland per ESPN as of November 6
- Philadelphia (8-1) has won five straight and is 4-0 on the road
- Cleveland is 3-1 at Rocket Arena but has lost two straight to Oklahoma City
- Prediction-market total centers near 231, about 1.5 points above the 229.5 DraftKings number
- Philadelphia won the first meeting 114-106 on October 22
What are the 76ers vs Cavaliers odds on November 6, 2026?
As of about 2:00 PM ET on November 6, Philadelphia is 59c on Kalshi and 58.5c on Polymarket to win, and Cleveland is 42c and 41.5c. The 76ers have traded between 57c and 60c on Kalshi since Thursday evening.
Who is favored in 76ers vs Cavaliers?
Philadelphia is favored at roughly a 59% implied probability on both venues. The spread market prices the 76ers by about 2.5 points, with 76ers -2.5 at 51c on Kalshi.
What is the 76ers vs Cavaliers total?
The game total centers near 231 points. Over 230.5 trades at 51c on Kalshi as of November 6, about 1.5 points above the 229.5 DraftKings total ESPN lists.
Where can I trade the 76ers vs Cavaliers game?
The moneyline, spread, total and player props trade on Kalshi and Polymarket. Roughly $490K has traded across this game's contracts on the two venues so far.
When does the 76ers vs Cavaliers market resolve?
It resolves when the game goes final. Tip-off is 7:30 PM ET on Friday, November 6, 2026, at Rocket Arena on Prime Video, and overtime counts toward the moneyline, spread and total.