Spurs vs Kings Prediction Market Odds, November 6, 2026
| Spread | Total | ML | Main ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
▶Spurs | -15.5 58%57% | O 229.5 55% | 91%90% | 90% Polymarket |
▶Kings | +15.5 42%43% | U 229.5 45% | 8%6% | 6% Polymarket |
| Spread | Total | Moneyline | Main ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
▶San Antonio Spurs | -15.5 | O 229.5 | 90% Polymarket | |
▶Sacramento Kings | +15.5 | U 229.5 | 6% Polymarket |
San Antonio is one of the heaviest favorites on the November 6 NBA slate, priced at 91% on Kalshi and 89.5% on Polymarket to win at Sacramento, with the spread centered near Spurs by 16.5. The Spurs (6-2) have won six straight and already beat the Kings 130-103 on October 27, while the Kings (1-7) are without Keegan Murray, Maxime Raynaud and Ben Simmons per ESPN. Tip-off is 10:00 PM ET on Friday, November 6, 2026, at Golden 1 Center, on a board with roughly $95K in cumulative volume. The live board above carries current prices.
Spurs vs Kings is priced as a mismatch, and the season numbers back it. San Antonio is 6-2 with a six-game win streak and a plus-8.3 scoring margin, while Sacramento is 1-7 with a minus-14.0 margin and three rotation players out. Kalshi has the Spurs at 91% and Polymarket at 89.5% as of November 6, and ESPN's Matchup Predictor lands in the same place at 90.4%. Tip-off is 10:00 PM ET on Friday, November 6, 2026, at Golden 1 Center in Sacramento.
Spurs vs Kings Market Context
The Spurs are 6-2, 4-2 at home and 2-0 on the road, per ESPN. The streak runs through a 130-103 home win over these Kings on October 27, a 117-111 overtime win at Utah, and home wins over Minnesota 121-111, Utah 119-97 and Dallas 112-111 on November 4. Victor Wembanyama leads San Antonio at 29.0 points, 12.4 rebounds and 4.5 blocks per game, and De'Aaron Fox leads in assists at 6.1. The Spurs score 116.9 points per game and allow 108.6. ESPN lists Tobias Harris (left calf strain) and Jayden Quaintance (right knee surgery) out.
The Kings are 1-7, 0-3 at home and 1-4 on the road. Their only win is 115-100 at Dallas on November 2. The other four games in their last five were losses by 27, 12, 31 and 13 points, the last a 116-103 home loss to the Lakers on November 4, so both teams come in on one day of rest. Darius Acuff Jr. leads Sacramento at 25.6 points and 7.0 assists per game, and Domantas Sabonis averages 14.9 rebounds with 15.1 points. The Kings score 109.3 points per game and allow 123.3. ESPN lists Keegan Murray (ankle), Maxime Raynaud (right knee dislocation) and Ben Simmons (right Achilles surgery) out. San Antonio leads the season series 1-0, with two more meetings set for November 23 and April 6, 2027.
What the Spurs vs Kings Market Says
The moneyline has San Antonio at 91% and Sacramento at 10% on Kalshi, and San Antonio at 89.5% on Polymarket (89c bid, 90c ask) as of November 6. The 1.5-point gap means Polymarket is the slightly cheaper venue for a Spurs backer and Kalshi the cheaper one for a Kings flyer, but it is too thin to call a cross-platform trade.
The spread is where the board takes a real position. Spurs -16.5 trades at 51% on both Kalshi and Polymarket, Spurs -15.5 at 56%, and Spurs -17.5 at 47% to 48%, so the market's fair line is San Antonio by about 16.5 to 17 points, in line with DraftKings' Spurs -16.5 on ESPN's feed. That is consistent with the season margins: the gap between San Antonio's plus-8.3 and Sacramento's minus-14.0 is 22.3 points per game before home court. On the total, Kalshi prices over 230.5 at 52% and Polymarket at 51%, while Polymarket's over 229.5 sits at 54%, which centers the game near 231 points against DraftKings' 230.5.
On movement, Genius captures start at 7:43 PM ET on November 5 with Kalshi's Spurs moneyline at 89%. It has stayed between 89% and 91% since and reads 91% at 2:08 PM ET Friday. The total has done the moving: Polymarket's over 229.5, the board's most traded total at about $84K, rose from 48% at 7:33 PM ET Thursday to 53% by 1:42 PM ET Friday, a lean toward a higher-scoring game.
When the Spurs vs Kings Market Resolves
The moneyline resolves to the team that wins the game at Golden 1 Center on Friday, November 6, 2026, with tip-off at 10:00 PM ET. Overtime counts. Spread and total contracts settle on the official final score, and both platforms settle once the game goes final, typically late Friday night or early Saturday ET.
Key Spurs vs Kings Catalysts
The 16.5-point spread: Spurs -16.5 is a coin flip on both venues, so the margin, not the winner, is the live question.
Sacramento's absences: Murray, Raynaud and Simmons are listed out per ESPN, on a team allowing 123.3 points per game.
Wembanyama's line: 29.0 points, 12.4 rebounds and 4.5 blocks per game for a team on a six-game win streak.
The rematch: San Antonio won the first meeting 130-103 on October 27.
The total: Polymarket's over 229.5 climbed from 48% to 53% in Genius captures, centering the game near 231.
Related Spurs vs Kings Markets
The result feeds the Spurs make-the-playoffs market and the Kings make-the-playoffs market. Sacramento's 1-7 start connects to the West play-in market, and San Antonio's 6-2 start to the Western Conference champion market. The Spurs' previous game is on the Mavericks vs Spurs board, and the Kings' is on the Lakers vs Kings board. The NBA hub lists the rest of the November 6 slate.
Resolution Criteria
Resolves to the team that wins the San Antonio Spurs at Sacramento Kings game at Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, California, on Friday, November 6, 2026, with tip-off scheduled for 10:00 PM ET. Overtime counts toward the result. The winning team's moneyline contract pays $1 per share and the losing team's resolves to $0, using the league's official final score as the source of truth. Spread and total contracts settle on that same final score. If the game is postponed, contracts settle on the rescheduled completion under each platform's rules; if it is canceled, each platform applies its own void and refund rules.
Key Factors
- Spurs -16.5 trades at 51% on both Kalshi and Polymarket, matching DraftKings' line
- San Antonio is 6-2 on a six-game win streak with a plus-8.3 scoring margin
- Sacramento is 1-7, allows 123.3 points per game, and is without Keegan Murray, Maxime Raynaud and Ben Simmons per ESPN
- Victor Wembanyama averages 29.0 points, 12.4 rebounds and 4.5 blocks
- San Antonio won the first meeting 130-103 on October 27
- Polymarket's over 229.5 rose from 48% to 53%, centering the total near 231
What are the current Spurs vs Kings odds?
As of November 6, 2026, San Antonio is favored at 91% on Kalshi and 89.5% on Polymarket, with Sacramento at 10% on Kalshi. The live board above carries current prices, which move up to tip-off.
What are the Spurs vs Kings spread and total?
As of November 6, Spurs -16.5 trades at 51% on both Kalshi and Polymarket, putting the fair line near San Antonio by 16.5 to 17 points. Over 230.5 sits at 52% on Kalshi and 51% on Polymarket.
Where can I trade the Spurs vs Kings game?
The game trades on Kalshi and Polymarket, with roughly $95K in cumulative board volume. Kalshi lists the moneyline under KXNBAGAME-26NOV06SASSAC, and Polymarket lists it on its Spurs vs. Kings event.
How have the Spurs vs Kings odds moved?
The moneyline has held: Kalshi has kept San Antonio between 89% and 91% since Genius captures began at 7:43 PM ET on November 5. Polymarket's over 229.5 moved more, rising from 48% to 53% by 1:42 PM ET on November 6.
When does the Spurs vs Kings market resolve?
It resolves when the game goes final on Friday, November 6, 2026, after a 10:00 PM ET tip-off at Golden 1 Center in Sacramento. Overtime counts, and both platforms typically settle within hours.