Rams vs Cardinals Prediction Market Odds, November 15, 2026
| Spread | Total | ML | Main ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
▶Rams | +8.5 47%48% | O 38.5 56%54% | 18%78% | 18% Kalshi |
▶Cardinals | -8.5 53%52% | U 38.5 44%46% | 19%18% | 19% Kalshi |
| Spread | Total | Moneyline | Main ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
▶Los Angeles Rams | +8.5 | O 38.5 | 18% Kalshi | |
▶Arizona Cardinals | -8.5 | U 38.5 | 19% Kalshi |
No player props available for this game.
Los Angeles is roughly an 80% road favorite at Arizona as of November 10, with Kalshi and Polymarket a point apart, and the total has dropped about four points since Monday afternoon as Gardner Minshew II went to doubtful on ESPN's injury report. The Rams (5-4, three straight wins) visit the Cardinals (3-6, 0-3 at home) at State Farm Stadium on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET on CBS, a rematch of Arizona's 18-16 Week 6 win in Los Angeles.
The Rams are a heavy road favorite, at roughly 80% to win at State Farm Stadium as of November 10, and the market has moved toward them since Monday. Los Angeles (5-4) visits Arizona (3-6) on Sunday, November 15 at 4:05 PM ET on CBS, with about $149K traded across the board so far. The Rams have won three straight; the Cardinals scored 3 points in a 17-3 loss at Seattle last week. Arizona won the Week 6 meeting 18-16 in Los Angeles.
Rams vs Cardinals Moneyline Read
As of the morning of November 10, the Rams trade 80% on Kalshi and 79% on Polymarket, and the Cardinals trade 22% on both. That one-point gap on the favorite is too small to call a cross-platform edge; Polymarket is the marginally cheaper place to buy Los Angeles. Kalshi carries most of the moneyline volume, about $78K against roughly $5K on Polymarket, and the two venues moved together through the capture window, so the price is a single consensus rather than one venue lagging the other.
The moneyline has firmed. Across 74 Kalshi captures from 11:20 AM ET Monday, November 9 through 10:45 AM ET Tuesday, the Rams rose from 77% to 80%, with the step-up arriving Monday evening and holding at 79% to 80% overnight. Polymarket moved the same way, from 77% to 79%. Arizona's Kalshi price slipped from 24% to 22%.
The records support a steep price. Los Angeles has scored 214 points and allowed 181 in nine games, a +33 differential, and has allowed 43 points total across its three-game streak (35-21 at Las Vegas, 24-9 over the Chargers, 20-13 at Washington). Arizona has scored 178 and allowed 255, a -77 differential and 28.3 points allowed per game. The Cardinals are 0-3 at State Farm Stadium, and all three of their wins came on the road. The Rams are 3-1 away from home.
Rams vs Cardinals Spread and Total
The spread ladder centers near ten points. Rams -9.5 trades 50% on Kalshi and 52% on Polymarket, which puts the market's median margin near 9.5 to 10 points, and the venues sit within two points of each other on every main rung from -1.5 to -10.5. Rams -6.5 averages about 64% and -3.5 about 70%. The ladder shifted toward Los Angeles during the capture window: Kalshi's Rams -7.5 climbed from 49% to 57% and -6.5 from 55% to 64%, and Polymarket's -5.5 rose from 57% to 65%.
The total is where the board moved most. Kalshi's over 44.5 opened the window at 48% and trades 34%, and Polymarket's over 44.5 fell from 49% to 34%. Kalshi's over 41.5 dropped from 60% to 45%, and Polymarket's over 40.5 from 62% to 45%. The bulk of the Kalshi move came between about 4:40 PM and 6 PM ET on Monday, November 9, the same window in which ESPN's injury feed logged Minshew as doubtful with an elbow injury. The over 38.5 now trades 56% on Kalshi and 55% on Polymarket, so the median total has moved from about 44 to about 40.
Kalshi's team totals frame the margin. Arizona's over 14.5 trades 53% and its over 17.5 trades 38%, a Cardinals median near 15 to 16 points, while the Rams' over 24.5 trades 53%, a Rams median near 25. That gap of about 9.5 matches the main spread.
Rams vs Cardinals Key Matchups
Arizona's quarterback situation drives the board. ESPN's injury report as of November 10 lists Gardner Minshew II as doubtful with an elbow injury, and ESPN's roster shows only one other quarterback, Carson Beck, with zero years of NFL experience. Minshew has handled the bulk of the passing over the last two games, going 17 of 23 for 188 yards in the Week 8 win at Dallas and 21 of 30 for 166 yards at Seattle in Week 9, per ESPN box scores. Trey McBride leads the Cardinals with 73 catches for 598 yards and 5 touchdowns, but wide receiver Michael Wilson is listed out, and the backfield is thin with James Conner and Jeremiyah Love on injured reserve and Bam Knight questionable with a concussion. Center Hjalte Froholdt (concussion), guard Jon Gaines II (ankle) and tackle Jayden Williams (knee) are questionable.
The Rams carry their own receiver problem. Puka Nacua, the team's leader with 70 catches for 715 yards and 14 catches for 150 yards at Washington, is listed doubtful with a knee MCL injury as of November 10, and Davante Adams and tight end Terrance Ferguson are on injured reserve. Matthew Stafford has thrown for 2,374 yards with 16 touchdowns and 9 interceptions, and Kyren Williams leads the ground game with 593 yards and 6 touchdowns. Cornerback Trent McDuffie (back) is questionable. Byron Young leads the pass rush with 4.5 sacks.
The standings stake matters for Los Angeles. San Francisco leads the NFC West at 7-1, and the Rams and Seahawks are tied at 5-4, with Seattle playing at Las Vegas in the same 4:05 PM ET window (Seahawks vs Raiders).
When the Rams vs Cardinals Market Resolves
The game kicks off at 4:05 PM ET on Sunday, November 15, 2026 at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona. The moneyline settles to the winner once the game is final, and spread and total contracts settle on the official final score, overtime included. Both Kalshi and Polymarket settle after the result is official, usually within hours of the final whistle.
Key Rams vs Cardinals Catalysts
- Arizona quarterback: Minshew is doubtful with an elbow injury as of November 10, and Carson Beck is the only other quarterback on the roster.
- Rams receivers: Nacua is doubtful with a knee MCL injury and Adams is on injured reserve, which tests a passing game built around them.
- Total repricing: the median total fell from about 44 to about 40 on Monday evening, November 9, and any change in Arizona's quarterback status is the input most likely to move it back.
- Spread at -9.5: the Rams -9.5 trades 50% on Kalshi and 52% on Polymarket after the ladder shifted toward Los Angeles.
- Arizona at home: the Cardinals are 0-3 at State Farm Stadium and scored 3 points at Seattle in Week 9.
Related Rams vs Cardinals Markets
The NFC West division market prices how far the Rams can close on San Francisco's 7-1 start, and the Rams playoff market adds the postseason read. The Rams win total and Cardinals win total ladders move on every result. The Rams' previous game, Rams vs Commanders in Week 9, is the third win of the streak. More boards are on the Los Angeles Rams, Arizona Cardinals and NFL hubs.
Resolution Criteria
The moneyline resolves to the team that wins the Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals game on Sunday, November 15, 2026 at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, scheduled for 4:05 PM ET. Spread contracts settle on the official final margin and total contracts on the official combined final score, with overtime counting toward both. Kalshi and Polymarket each settle once the result is official under their own posted rules; if the game is postponed or canceled, each venue's contract terms govern whether it resolves on a rescheduled date or is voided.
Key Factors
- Arizona quarterback: Gardner Minshew II doubtful (elbow) as of November 10, Carson Beck the only other quarterback on the roster
- Rams receivers: Puka Nacua doubtful (knee) and Davante Adams on injured reserve
- Median total fell from about 44 to about 40 on the evening of November 9
- Rams -9.5 trades near a coin flip after the spread ladder moved toward Los Angeles
- Arizona is 0-3 at home with a -77 point differential
- NFC West stakes: Rams tied with Seattle at 5-4, 2.5 games behind San Francisco
What are the current Rams vs Cardinals odds?
As of the morning of November 10, 2026, the Rams trade 80% to win on Kalshi and 79% on Polymarket, and the Cardinals trade 22% on both. Rams -9.5 is priced near 51% and the total is centered near 40 points.
Who is favored in Rams vs Cardinals?
Los Angeles is the road favorite at roughly an 80% implied probability, up from 77% on November 9. The market's spread ladder centers near Rams -9.5 and its total ladder near 40 points.
When is Rams vs Cardinals and where can I trade it?
The game kicks off at 4:05 PM ET on Sunday, November 15, 2026 at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona, on CBS. Moneyline, spread, total and team-total contracts trade on Kalshi and Polymarket.
When does the Rams vs Cardinals market resolve?
Contracts settle once the game is final on November 15, 2026. The moneyline pays the winner, and spread and total contracts settle on the official final score, including overtime.
What should I watch before Rams vs Cardinals kicks off?
Arizona's quarterback decision is the main input, with Gardner Minshew II doubtful as of November 10 and Carson Beck the only other quarterback on the roster. On the Rams side, watch Puka Nacua's status after he was listed doubtful with a knee injury.