Seahawks vs Raiders Prediction Market Odds, November 15, 2026
| Spread | Total | ML | Main ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
▶Seahawks | -3.5 51%50% | O 40.5 60%59% | 62%61% | 62% Kalshi |
▶Raiders | +3.5 49%50% | U 40.5 40%41% | 36%36% | 36% Kalshi |
| Spread | Total | Moneyline | Main ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
▶Seattle Seahawks | -3.5 | O 40.5 | 62% Kalshi | |
▶Las Vegas Raiders | +3.5 | U 40.5 | 36% Kalshi |
No player props available for this game.
Seattle is roughly a 63% road favorite over Las Vegas as of November 10, with Kalshi and Polymarket within a point of each other on both sides, and the price has held in a 62% to 64% band even with Sam Darnold listed out on ESPN's injury report. The Seahawks (5-4, +40 point differential) visit the Raiders (4-5, -30) at Allegiant Stadium on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET on CBS, and the market prices Seattle as a field-goal-plus favorite with a total near 43.5.
Seattle is the road favorite at roughly 63% to win at Allegiant Stadium as of November 10, and the price did not budge on the quarterback news. The Seahawks (5-4) visit the Raiders (4-5) on Sunday, November 15 at 4:05 PM ET on CBS, with about $295K traded across the board's moneyline, spread and total contracts so far. Seattle comes in off a 17-3 home win over Arizona with Drew Lock at quarterback; Las Vegas comes in off a 38-17 loss at San Francisco.
Seahawks vs Raiders Moneyline Read
As of the morning of November 10, Seattle trades 63% on both Kalshi and Polymarket, and Las Vegas trades 37% on Kalshi and 38% on Polymarket. That is a one-point gap on the underdog, too small to call a cross-platform edge; Kalshi is the marginally cheaper place to buy the Raiders. Kalshi carries most of the moneyline volume, about $279K against roughly $7K on Polymarket, and the two venues sit within a point of each other, so the 63% is a firm two-venue consensus rather than one thin book echoing the other.
The movement story is stability. Across 80 Kalshi captures from 11 AM ET Monday, November 9 through 10:45 AM ET Tuesday, Seattle opened at 64% and sits at 63%, never leaving a 62% to 64% band. Polymarket's 23 captures over the same window ran 62% to 63%. The Raiders' Kalshi price stayed between 37% and 39%.
The records explain a mid-60s price for a 5-4 road team. Seattle has scored 202 points and allowed 162 in nine games, a +40 differential, while Las Vegas has scored 238 and allowed 268, a -30 differential at 29.8 points allowed per game. The Raiders are 1-3 at home, and their lone Allegiant win came in Week 1 against Miami. Seattle is only 1-2 on the road, but its defense held Kansas City and Arizona to 3 points each in two of its last three games. Las Vegas has lost five of its last six after a 3-0 start, including 35-21 at home to the Rams in Week 7.
Seahawks vs Raiders Spread and Total
The spread ladder centers on a key number. Seattle -3.5 trades 50% on both Kalshi and Polymarket, which makes 3.5 points the market's median margin, and the two venues sit within two points of each other on every Seattle rung from -1.5 to -7.5. Seattle -2.5 averages about 58% and -6.5 about 39%, so the market gives the Seahawks better than even odds of winning by a field goal and roughly two-in-five odds of winning by a touchdown. On Polymarket, Seattle -3.5 dipped as low as 44% during Monday's captures before recovering to 50%.
The total sits near 43.5. Kalshi's over 43.5 trades 49%, and Polymarket's over 42.5 trades 53% while its over 44.5 trades 45%, so both venues put the median near 43.5. The upper rungs drifted lower during the capture window: Kalshi's over 45.5 slipped from 48% to 43% and its over 52.5 from 31% to 24%, while Polymarket's over 48.5 fell from 47% to 37%. Seattle's games have averaged 40.4 combined points and Las Vegas's have averaged 56.2, so the market is leaning toward the Seahawks' profile.
The team totals agree with the spread. Seattle's over 23.5 trades 51% on Kalshi and 50% on Polymarket, and the Raiders' over 20.5 trades 47% and 46%, a Seahawks median near 23.5 against a Raiders median near 20. That is a margin of about 3.5, consistent with the main line. Polymarket also lists Seattle to win the first half at 61%.
Seahawks vs Raiders Key Matchups
Seattle's quarterback is the open question. ESPN's injury report as of November 10 lists Sam Darnold (1,478 yards, 10 touchdowns, 9 interceptions) as out and Drew Lock as questionable. Lock went 19 of 28 for 175 yards in the Week 9 win over Arizona, per the ESPN box score. Jalen Milroe is the other healthy quarterback on Seattle's ESPN roster. Whoever starts throws to Jaxon Smith-Njigba, who leads the team with 71 catches for 1,036 yards and 9 touchdowns.
Seattle's offensive line is the second concern. Left tackle Charles Cross and guard Quenton Nelson are both listed doubtful, and wide receiver Rashid Shaheed (knee), defensive tackle Leonard Williams (shoulder) and linebacker Uchenna Nwosu (ankle) are questionable as of November 10.
Las Vegas runs its offense through the air. Kirk Cousins has thrown for 2,340 yards with 20 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and Brock Bowers leads the team with 48 catches for 658 yards and 6 touchdowns, including 7 for 111 at San Francisco. The run game has not carried weight: Ashton Jeanty has 362 yards on 114 carries, 3.2 per attempt. Maxx Crosby leads the Raiders with 4 sacks. Center Trey Zuhn III (concussion) and defensive tackle Thomas Booker IV (ankle) are questionable.
The standings stake is real for Seattle. San Francisco leads the NFC West at 7-1, and the Seahawks and Rams are tied at 5-4, with Los Angeles playing at Arizona in the same 4:05 PM ET window (Rams vs Cardinals). Las Vegas sits three games behind Denver (7-2) in the AFC West.
When the Seahawks vs Raiders Market Resolves
The game kicks off at 4:05 PM ET on Sunday, November 15, 2026 at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas. The moneyline settles to the winner once the game is final, and spread and total contracts settle on the official final score, overtime included. Both Kalshi and Polymarket settle after the result is official, usually within hours of the final whistle.
Key Seahawks vs Raiders Catalysts
- Seattle quarterback: Darnold is listed out and Lock questionable as of November 10; a Milroe start is the scenario to test against the 63% price.
- Seattle offensive line: Cross and Nelson are both doubtful against a Raiders front led by Crosby's 4 sacks.
- Spread at the key number: Seattle -3.5 is a coin flip at 50% on both venues, so a half-point move in either direction changes the side of the bet.
- Las Vegas defense: the Raiders have allowed 29.8 points per game and 38 at San Francisco in Week 9.
- Total drift: the upper total rungs slid during Monday's captures, with the median holding near 43.5.
Related Seahawks vs Raiders Markets
The NFC West division market prices how much a Seattle road win matters against San Francisco's 7-1 start, and the AFC West division market tracks a Raiders team three games behind Denver. The Seahawks win total and Raiders win total ladders move on every result, and the Seahawks playoff market adds the postseason read. Seattle's previous game, Cardinals vs Seahawks in Week 9, is the Lock start this price is built on. More boards are on the Seattle Seahawks, Las Vegas Raiders and NFL hubs.
Resolution Criteria
The moneyline resolves to the team that wins the Seattle Seahawks at Las Vegas Raiders game on Sunday, November 15, 2026 at Allegiant Stadium, scheduled for 4:05 PM ET. Spread contracts settle on the official final margin and total contracts on the official combined final score, with overtime counting toward both. Kalshi and Polymarket each settle once the result is official under their own posted rules; if the game is postponed or canceled, each venue's contract terms govern whether it resolves on a rescheduled date or is voided.
Key Factors
- Seattle quarterback status: Sam Darnold out, Drew Lock questionable as of November 10
- Seattle offensive line: Charles Cross and Quenton Nelson listed doubtful
- Seattle -3.5 trades at 50% on both Kalshi and Polymarket, a true coin flip at the key number
- Las Vegas defense allowing 29.8 points per game, 38 at San Francisco in Week 9
- Total centered near 43.5 after the upper rungs drifted lower on November 9 and 10
- NFC West stakes: Seattle tied with the Rams at 5-4, 2.5 games behind San Francisco
What are the current Seahawks vs Raiders odds?
As of the morning of November 10, 2026, Seattle trades about 63% to win on both Kalshi and Polymarket, and Las Vegas trades 37% on Kalshi and 38% on Polymarket. Seattle -3.5 is priced at 50% and the total is centered near 43.5 points.
Who is favored in Seahawks vs Raiders?
Seattle is the road favorite at roughly a 63% implied probability on both Kalshi and Polymarket. The market's spread ladder centers on Seattle -3.5, and its total ladder centers near 43.5 points.
When is Seahawks vs Raiders and where can I trade it?
The game kicks off at 4:05 PM ET on Sunday, November 15, 2026 at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, on CBS. Moneyline, spread, total and team-total contracts trade on both Kalshi and Polymarket.
When does the Seahawks vs Raiders market resolve?
Contracts settle once the game is final on November 15, 2026. The moneyline pays the winner, and spread and total contracts settle on the official final score, including overtime.
What should I watch before Seahawks vs Raiders kicks off?
Seattle's quarterback decision is the main input, with Sam Darnold listed out and Drew Lock questionable as of November 10. The status of Seattle tackle Charles Cross and guard Quenton Nelson, both doubtful, is the second.