49ers vs Cowboys Prediction Market Odds, November 15, 2026
| Spread | Total | ML | Main ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
â–¶49ers | -49 49%51% | O 49.5 70% | 65%63% | 65% Kalshi |
â–¶Cowboys | +49 51%49% | U 49.5 30% | 32%29% | 32% Kalshi |
| Spread | Total | Moneyline | Main ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
â–¶San Francisco 49ers | -49 | O 49.5 | 65% Kalshi | |
â–¶Dallas Cowboys | +49 | U 49.5 | 32% Kalshi |
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The 7-1 49ers are road favorites near 67% against the 4-5 Cowboys as of November 10, and the price has held inside a one-point band for the last full day of trading. San Francisco leads the NFC West by two games with a plus-79 point differential, while Dallas is plus-10 and 1-3 at AT&T Stadium. The board carries roughly $377K in cumulative volume and the live board above has current prices. Kickoff is 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, November 15, 2026 in Arlington.
A 7-1 team visits a team that has not been able to hold home field. San Francisco has a plus-79 point differential and leads the NFC West by two games over Seattle and the Rams, both 5-4. Dallas is 4-5, second in the NFC East behind the 5-2-1 Giants, and 1-3 at AT&T Stadium. 49ers vs Cowboys odds put San Francisco near 67% on both venues, and the market has barely moved off that number in a week.
49ers vs Cowboys Odds: What the Board Says
As of 11:00 AM ET on November 10, San Francisco trades at 67% on both Kalshi and Polymarket, and Dallas trades at 34% on both. There is no cross-platform gap on the moneyline. Most of the board's roughly $377K in cumulative volume sits on Kalshi's 49ers leg, which has traded about $202K.
The repricing happened a week ago. On the board's daily record, San Francisco sat at 53% from October 27 through November 1 on no recorded volume, reached 56% on November 2 and opened November 3 at 68% as trading picked up. It has closed between 66% and 69% every day since, with a one-day high of 77% on November 8, the day the 49ers beat Las Vegas 38-17. Inside the latest capture window, from 11:22 AM ET on November 9 to 11:04 AM ET on November 10, the 49ers held between 67% and 68% across 65 Kalshi captures and eased from 68% to 67% across 25 Polymarket captures. Dallas moved from 33% to 34% on both venues.
The moneyline and the spread tell the same story. With San Francisco -4.5 near 50% and -3.5 at 52%, the market's median outcome is a 49ers win by about four points, consistent with a 67% favorite.
49ers vs Cowboys Spread and Total
San Francisco -4.5 trades at 49% on both venues, the rung closest to even money. That line has been stable: across 60 Kalshi captures it ranged from 49% to 51%, and Polymarket's 19 captures ranged from 47% to 49%. San Francisco -2.5 trades at 62.5% and -3.5 at 52%, so the market prices a 49ers win by exactly three at roughly 10.5%, the heaviest single margin on the ladder. Seven is the next key number: -6.5 trades at 43.5% and -7.5 at 36.5%.
The near rungs carry the only consistent cross-platform gaps on the board. San Francisco -1.5 trades at 66% on Kalshi and 63% on Polymarket, and -2.5 at 64% and 61%, so Polymarket is three points cheaper for a buyer of the short 49ers spread. Dallas -1.5 is 32% on Kalshi and 28% on Polymarket.
The total sits near 56.5 points. Over 56.5 trades at 50% on Kalshi and 48% on Polymarket, over 54.5 at 54.5%, and over 58.5 at 43% and 40%. That number is above both teams' season averages: 49ers games have averaged 48.9 combined points (235 scored, 156 allowed) and Cowboys games 53.6 (246 scored, 236 allowed). Team totals put the 49ers near 30.5 points (over 30.5 at 52% on Kalshi and 50% on Polymarket) and the Cowboys near 26.5 (over 26.5 at 50% and 48%). Both sit above what the opposing defense has allowed: the 49ers against a Dallas defense giving up 26.2 points per game, and the Cowboys against a San Francisco defense giving up 19.5. The over 56.5 eased from 51% to 50% on Kalshi and from 49% to 48% on Polymarket in the latest window.
Polymarket prices San Francisco to win the first half at 62% and the first quarter at 59%, a few points below its full-game number.
49ers vs Cowboys: Rosters and Injuries
Brock Purdy has 1,980 passing yards with 17 touchdowns and five interceptions on 163 of 236 attempts, per ESPN. Christian McCaffrey has 457 rushing yards and nine touchdowns on 102 carries, and George Kittle leads the receivers with 38 catches for 483 yards and five scores. The receiver room is the question: as of November 10, ESPN lists Deebo Samuel Sr. (hamstring) and Mike Evans (Achilles) as questionable, along with cornerbacks Deommodore Lenoir (foot) and Renardo Green (back). Defensive tackle C.J. West went on injured reserve with a knee injury. San Francisco is 2-1 on the road, with its only loss of the season coming 29-20 at Atlanta in Week 7, and it is coming off a 38-17 win over Las Vegas after its bye.
Dak Prescott has 2,381 passing yards with 16 touchdowns and five interceptions for Dallas. Javonte Williams has 629 rushing yards and nine touchdowns, and CeeDee Lamb has 70 catches for 904 yards and seven scores. As of November 10, ESPN lists George Pickens (hamstring) as questionable, along with KaVontae Turpin (ribs), cornerback Joey Porter Jr. (ankle), linebacker DeMarvion Overshown (hamstring) and tight end Luke Schoonmaker (groin). The Cowboys won 27-23 at Indianapolis in Week 9 and are 3-2 on the road, but they are 1-3 at home, with the losses to Baltimore, Tampa Bay and Arizona coming by a combined 14 points.
When the 49ers vs Cowboys Market Resolves
Kickoff is 4:25 PM ET (3:25 PM local) on Sunday, November 15, 2026 at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas, on Fox, per ESPN's Week 10 scoreboard. The moneyline settles on the winner of the game including overtime, and spread and total contracts settle on the official final score. Both venues settle once the NFL declares the game final.
Key 49ers vs Cowboys Catalysts
- Road favorite: San Francisco near 67% has closed between 66% and 69% every day since November 3, with no gap between Kalshi and Polymarket.
- Receiver health: Deebo Samuel Sr. and Mike Evans are questionable for San Francisco as of November 10.
- The field goal: 49ers -2.5 trades at 62.5% and -3.5 at 52%, so a three-point 49ers win is the heaviest single margin.
- High total: 56.5 sits above both teams' season averages of 48.9 and 53.6 combined points.
- Dallas at home: the Cowboys are 1-3 at AT&T Stadium, with three home losses by a combined 14 points.
Related 49ers vs Cowboys Markets
For San Francisco, the result feeds the NFC West race, the 49ers win total, the 49ers playoff market and the NFC Championship board, and last week's game was Raiders vs 49ers. For Dallas, it moves the NFC East market, the Cowboys win total and the Cowboys playoff market, and the Week 9 board was Cowboys vs Colts. The full Week 10 slate is on the NFL hub.
Resolution Criteria
The moneyline resolves to the team that wins the game at AT&T Stadium on November 15, 2026, paying $1 per share on the winner and $0 on the loser, with overtime included in the result. Spread contracts settle against the final margin, so San Francisco -4.5 requires a 49ers win by at least five points, and total contracts settle against combined points scored by both teams including overtime. Team total contracts settle against the official final box score. Kalshi lists the game under the KXNFLGAME-26NOV15SFDAL series and Polymarket lists the matching two-way market, and both venues settle once the NFL declares the game final. A regular-season tie after overtime and any postponement are handled under each venue's published rules rather than voided automatically.
Key Factors
- San Francisco near 67% has closed between 66% and 69% every day since November 3, identical on Kalshi and Polymarket
- Deebo Samuel Sr. and Mike Evans are questionable for the 49ers as of November 10
- 49ers -2.5 trades at 62.5% and -3.5 at 52%, making a three-point win the heaviest single margin
- The 56.5 total sits above both teams' season averages of 48.9 and 53.6 combined points
- Dallas is 1-3 at AT&T Stadium, with three home losses by a combined 14 points
- Polymarket is three points cheaper than Kalshi on 49ers -1.5 and -2.5
What are the current 49ers vs Cowboys odds?
As of 11:00 AM ET on November 10, 2026, San Francisco is the favorite at 67% on both Kalshi and Polymarket, and Dallas trades at 34% on both. The live board above carries the current prices.
Where does the 49ers vs Cowboys market trade?
Both Kalshi and Polymarket list the game. Kalshi carries it under the KXNFLGAME-26NOV15SFDAL series with spread, total and team total markets, and Polymarket lists the matching moneyline plus half and quarter markets. The board aggregates roughly $377K in cumulative volume.
Who is favored in 49ers vs Cowboys?
San Francisco, at 67% on both Kalshi and Polymarket. The 7-1 49ers have held between 66% and 69% on the daily record since November 3, and the spread ladder centers on a win by about four points.
What is the spread and total for 49ers vs Cowboys?
San Francisco -4.5 trades at 49% on both venues and -3.5 trades at 52%. The total sits near 56.5 points, with over 56.5 at 50% on Kalshi and 48% on Polymarket.
When does the 49ers vs Cowboys market resolve?
Kickoff is 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, November 15, 2026 at AT&T Stadium in Arlington on Fox. The market resolves once the NFL declares the game final, with overtime included in moneyline, spread and total settlement.