Chargers vs Ravens Prediction Market Odds, November 16, 2026
| Spread | Total | ML | Main ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
▶Chargers | +5.5 50%51% | O 38.5 52%50% | 29%28% | 29% Kalshi |
▶Ravens | -5.5 50%49% | U 38.5 48%50% | 65%65% | 65% Kalshi |
| Spread | Total | Moneyline | Main ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
▶Los Angeles Chargers | +5.5 | O 38.5 | 29% Kalshi | |
▶Baltimore Ravens | -5.5 | U 38.5 | 65% Kalshi |
No player props available for this game.
The Baltimore Ravens are a clear home favorite over the winless Los Angeles Chargers on Monday Night Football, even with Lamar Jackson on injured reserve and four straight losses behind them. As of 11:00 AM ET on November 10, Baltimore trades at 68.5% (69% Kalshi, 68% Polymarket), up from 55% on November 7, and the spread centers on Ravens -5.5. The 0-8 Chargers held between 32% and 33% on both venues through the last 24 hours of captures. Kickoff is 8:15 PM ET on November 16, 2026, at M&T Bank Stadium on ESPN; the live board above has current prices.
Monday Night Football in Baltimore pairs two teams in free fall. The Chargers are 0-8 and 0-4 on the road, and the Ravens are 4-5 after four straight losses in which they scored 10, 13, 10 and 10 points. Chargers vs Ravens odds still make Baltimore a clear home favorite, and almost all of that confidence arrived in the two days after the Chargers' November 8 loss to Houston.
Chargers vs Ravens Odds: What the Board Says
As of 11:00 AM ET on November 10, the Ravens trade at 69% on Kalshi and 68% on Polymarket (68.5% average) and the Chargers at 32% on both. The one-point gap on Baltimore is too small to call an edge, though Polymarket is the cheaper place to buy the Ravens by that point. Kalshi carries almost all of the liquidity, with about $36K on the Ravens contract and $40K on the Chargers contract against roughly $4K on the Polymarket market, inside a board total of roughly $83K. Kalshi volume is split close to evenly between the two sides, so the 69% is not resting on one-sided flow.
The spread centers on Ravens -5.5, which trades at 50% on Kalshi and 49% on Polymarket. Ravens -4.5 sits at 52%, -6.5 at 45% and -7.5 at 38%, so the seven is the steepest step on the ladder. A Chargers win by two or more is priced at about 28.5%.
Quarterbacks and Injuries for Chargers vs Ravens
Baltimore's quarterback room has been rebuilt on the fly. Lamar Jackson is on injured reserve with a thumb injury, and ESPN's listing lists a return date of December 13. Tyler Huntley and Skylar Thompson are also on IR, and Joe Fagnano took the bulk of the snaps in the losses at Buffalo (10 of 21 for 91 yards) and against Jacksonville (10 of 18 for 60 yards). The Ravens traded a 2027 fourth-round pick and a 2028 seventh-round pick for Jacoby Brissett and a 2027 fifth on November 6, according to ESPN and NFL Network sources, and as of November 10 ESPN reports that Brissett has been named the starter. Jackson told teammates he plans to return this season, per NFL Network sources reported by ESPN on November 8. Derrick Henry has 175 carries for 689 yards and eight touchdowns, and Zay Flowers leads the receivers at 43 catches for 614 yards. Safety Kyle Hamilton (hip), corner Nate Wiggins (illness), safety Jaylinn Hawkins (knee) and linebacker Adisa Isaac (hamstring) are questionable as of November 10, and kicker Tyler Loop is on injured reserve.
The Chargers' issue is protection as much as the quarterback. Justin Herbert is listed questionable after leaving the 44-22 loss to Houston on November 8 in the second half with an injury to the middle finger of his left hand; he was sacked eight times and threw his NFL-leading 11th interception. Coach Jim Harbaugh said on November 9 that X-rays came back negative for a fracture. Herbert is 144 of 235 for 1,591 yards, six touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and DJ Uiagalelei is the backup on the depth chart, with Trey Lance on IR. The offensive line is short tackles Rashawn Slater and Trey Pipkins III, guard Trevor Penning and center Tyler Biadasz (all on injured reserve), with tackle Isaiah World out and guard Kayode Awosika questionable. Ladd McConkey (back) is questionable with 17 catches for 286 yards, Omarion Hampton leads the backs at 102 carries for 369 yards and three touchdowns, and safety Derwin James Jr. is on IR. The NFL trade deadline falls at 4:00 PM ET on November 10, so both depth charts here are the pre-deadline versions.
How the Chargers vs Ravens Line Moved
The repricing came in two sessions. Both venues closed the Ravens at 55% on November 7. On November 8, the day the Chargers lost by 22 and Herbert left with the finger injury, Baltimore closed at 62% on Polymarket and 59% on Kalshi, and on November 9 both venues closed at 69%. That is a 14-point move in two days. The Brissett trade itself did not lift Baltimore: Polymarket closed the Ravens at 55% on November 6 and again on November 7.
The negative X-ray news has not reversed it. Across the board's capture window from 11:22 AM ET on November 9 to 11:00 AM ET on November 10, the Ravens moved from 70% to 69% on Kalshi and from 69% to 68% on Polymarket, and the Chargers held between 32% and 33% on both. Ravens -5.5 stayed between 49% and 51% over the same window.
Chargers vs Ravens Total and Team Totals
Kalshi carries the full-game total ladder near the number, while Polymarket lists only the low rungs (over 24.5 at 87%). Kalshi has over 37.5 at 55%, over 39.5 at 49% and over 41.5 at 43%, which puts the fair total near 39 points, consistent with Baltimore scoring 13 or fewer in each of its last four games. The team totals imply roughly 22 to 17: Ravens over 21.5 trades at 54% on Kalshi and Chargers over 16.5 at 51% on both venues. Polymarket prices the Chargers to win the first half at 36% and the first quarter at 41%, both above their 32% full-game price, and Ravens -2.5 in the first quarter at 45%. The board lists no player props as of November 10.
When the Chargers vs Ravens Market Resolves
The market resolves on Monday, November 16, 2026, after the 8:15 PM ET kickoff on ESPN at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, once the NFL declares the game final. The moneyline pays $1 per share on the winner, with overtime counted, and a tie settles under each venue's published rules.
Key Chargers vs Ravens Catalysts
- Herbert's finger: the Chargers starter is questionable as of November 10 after negative X-rays, with DJ Uiagalelei as the backup.
- Brissett's first start: Baltimore scored 10 points in each of the two games Fagnano quarterbacked, and Brissett replaces him with Jackson on IR until at least December 13 per ESPN's listing.
- The Chargers line: Slater, Pipkins, Penning and Biadasz are on IR and Herbert was sacked eight times on November 8.
- The seven: Ravens -6.5 at 45% and -7.5 at 38% make the touchdown the steepest step on the spread ladder.
- Cross-venue alignment: Kalshi and Polymarket sit within a point on the moneyline (69% and 68%) and on Ravens -5.5 (50% and 49%), so neither venue offers a better entry.
Related Chargers vs Ravens Markets
Baltimore's season runs through the AFC North division market, the Ravens playoff market and the Ravens season win total. The Chargers' side is on the AFC West division market, the Chargers playoff market and the Chargers season win total. The Week 9 loss that moved this line is on the Texans at Chargers board, and the rest of the slate is on the NFL hub.
Resolution Criteria
The moneyline resolves to the team that wins the Chargers at Ravens game at M&T Bank Stadium on Monday, November 16, 2026, paying $1 per share on the winner and $0 on the loser, with overtime included. Spread contracts settle on the final margin, so Ravens -5.5 requires a Baltimore win by six or more points, and total contracts settle on combined points scored by both teams including overtime. Team total contracts settle on each team's official final score. Kalshi lists the game under KXNFLGAME-26NOV16LACBAL and Polymarket lists the matching two-way market; both settle once the NFL declares the game final. A tie, or a postponement or cancellation, settles under each venue's published rules rather than voiding automatically.
Key Factors
- Justin Herbert questionable with a left middle finger injury as of November 10, after X-rays came back negative
- Jacoby Brissett named Baltimore starter with Lamar Jackson on injured reserve and a December 13 return date listed on ESPN
- Ravens climbed from 55% to 69% on both venues between the November 7 and November 9 closes
- Ravens -5.5 near 49.5% with -6.5 at 45% and -7.5 at 38% on the spread ladder
- Chargers offensive line missing Rashawn Slater, Trey Pipkins III, Trevor Penning and Tyler Biadasz to injured reserve
- Kalshi and Polymarket within a point on both the moneyline (69% vs 68%) and Ravens -5.5 (50% vs 49%)
What are the current Chargers vs Ravens odds?
As of 11:00 AM ET on November 10, 2026, the Baltimore Ravens trade at 69% on Kalshi and 68% on Polymarket and the Los Angeles Chargers at 32% on both. The live board above carries the current prices.
Why are the Ravens favored over the Chargers?
The Chargers are 0-8 and Justin Herbert is questionable with a finger injury suffered in the 44-22 loss to Houston on November 8. Baltimore is 4-5 with Lamar Jackson on injured reserve, and Jacoby Brissett has been named the starter after a November 6 trade.
Where does the Chargers vs Ravens market trade?
Kalshi lists the game under KXNFLGAME-26NOV16LACBAL with spread, total and team total ladders, and Polymarket lists the moneyline plus spread, total, half and quarter markets. The board carries roughly $83K in cumulative volume, most of it on Kalshi.
What is the spread and total for Chargers vs Ravens?
As of November 10, Ravens -5.5 trades at 50% on Kalshi and 49% on Polymarket, the coin-flip number on the spread ladder. Kalshi has over 37.5 points at 55% and over 39.5 at 49%, which puts the fair total near 39 points.
When does the Chargers vs Ravens market resolve?
The market resolves on Monday, November 16, 2026, after the 8:15 PM ET kickoff on ESPN at M&T Bank Stadium, once the NFL declares the game final. Overtime counts toward every moneyline, spread and total contract.
What should I watch before Chargers vs Ravens kicks off?
Watch Justin Herbert's practice status after his November 8 finger injury, Kyle Hamilton's hip, and how Jacoby Brissett is handled in his first Baltimore week. The Ravens moved 14 points in the two sessions around Herbert's injury, so any change on the Chargers quarterback can reprice the board quickly.