Priscila Cachoeira vs Nina Milosevic Prediction Market Odds, November 7, 2026
| Spread | Total | ML | Main ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
▶Cachoeira | — | O 1.5 49% | 18%18% | 18% Kalshi |
▶Milosevic | — | U 1.5 51% | 83%83% | 83% Polymarket |
| Spread | Total | Moneyline | Main ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
▶Priscila Cachoeira | — | O 1.5 | 18% Kalshi | |
▶Nina Milosevic | — | U 1.5 | 83% Polymarket |
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Nina Milosevic is the heaviest favorite of these four UFC Vegas 124 boards, priced at 82% on Kalshi against Priscila Cachoeira (18%) as of November 6. The women's bantamweight bout is on the main card of UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs Walker on Saturday, November 7 at Meta APEX in Las Vegas, with the main card starting at 8:00 PM ET. Milosevic (9-1) has won nine straight, including a first-round TKO in her UFC debut in August; Cachoeira (13-9) has lost three in a row. This board is Kalshi only.
Priscila Cachoeira vs Nina Milosevic matches a 14-fight UFC veteran on a three-fight skid against an unbeaten-since-her-debut Serbian prospect in her second Octagon appearance. Ufc.com lists the women's bantamweight bout second on the main card of UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs Walker, right after the Mitch Raposo vs Marcos Degli opener, with the main card starting at 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, November 7 at Meta APEX.
Priscila Cachoeira vs Nina Milosevic Odds and Fight Context
Kalshi priced Milosevic at 82% and Cachoeira at 18% as of November 6, better than 4-to-1. The live board above carries the current numbers. Milosevic held at 82% in every capture from 7:43 PM ET on November 5 through the morning of November 6, and Cachoeira drifted from 19% to 18%. At about $16K traded, this is the deepest of the four Kalshi fight boards we cover on this card, and roughly $12.7K of it sits on the Cachoeira side. Underdog money has been steady without moving the price.
Milosevic is 9-1 per ufc.com and ESPN. Her only loss was a split decision in her pro debut in November 2023, and she has won nine straight since, including a 5-0 run in 2025. She has four wins by knockout and two by rear-naked choke, with five first-round finishes. Her UFC debut on August 1, 2026 ended with a stoppage of Hailey Cowan by strikes at 3:41 of the first round. Ufc.com lists her as a two-time IMMAF world champion and the first female fighter from Serbia to sign with the UFC. She is 30.
Cachoeira is 13-9 per ufc.com and ESPN, with eight knockout wins. Her recent UFC run is the case against her: a first-round knockout loss to Joselyn Edwards on August 9, 2025, a unanimous decision loss to Klaudia Sygula on February 7, 2026, and a first-round armbar loss to Chelsea Chandler on June 6, 2026. Her last win was a first-round knockout of Josiane Nunes on March 15, 2025. She is 38, trains at Lioness Studio with Amanda Nunes, and has gone to a decision only four times in 14 UFC fights, per ufc.com. Her UFC striking profile shows 4.35 significant strikes landed per minute against 7.45 absorbed.
The read: the 82% price is a bet that the three-fight slide is real and that Milosevic's finishing rate carries over to a more experienced opponent. Cachoeira's path is the one she has always had, a forward-pressure brawl that ends early. Her last six UFC fights produced one win, a first-round knockout, and five losses, four of them finishes against her.
When the Priscila Cachoeira vs Nina Milosevic Market Resolves
The Kalshi market settles on the official result of the bout on November 7, 2026. Kalshi's contract text calls it the fight "originally scheduled for Nov 6, 2026", matching its ticker date, but ufc.com, ESPN and Wikipedia list the event for Saturday, November 7. A draw or no contest pays both sides at 50%. A bout that starts within 48 hours of its scheduled time settles on the official result; a cancellation or a longer delay resolves both contracts to a fair price set by Kalshi.
Key Priscila Cachoeira vs Nina Milosevic Catalysts
- Losing streak: Cachoeira has dropped three straight, two of them inside the first round.
- Finishing rate: Milosevic has five first-round finishes and stopped Hailey Cowan in 3:41 in her UFC debut.
- Grappling threat: Milosevic has two rear-naked choke wins, and Cachoeira's three most recent submission losses in the UFC came by armbar, anaconda choke and armbar.
- Experience gap: Cachoeira has 14 UFC fights; Milosevic has one.
- Underdog flow: About $12.7K of the roughly $16K traded is on Cachoeira, the largest underdog position of these four boards.
Related Priscila Cachoeira vs Nina Milosevic Markets
The card's headliner feeds the UFC Heavyweight Champion 2026 market, and the sport's top-of-the-rankings race trades on the UFC pound-for-pound year-end board and the next UFC pound-for-pound number one market. Every live fight and game board sits on the sports hub.
Resolution Criteria
The Kalshi market resolves to the fighter who wins the Priscila Cachoeira vs Nina Milosevic women's bantamweight bout at UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs Walker on Saturday, November 7, 2026, at Meta APEX in Las Vegas, based on the official result. Kalshi's contract refers to the fight as originally scheduled for November 6, 2026. A draw or no contest pays both sides $0.50 per contract. Post-expiration changes such as overturned results do not affect settlement. If the bout begins within 48 hours of its scheduled start it settles on the official result; if it is cancelled or not started within 48 hours, both contracts resolve to a fair price.
Key Factors
- Milosevic nine-fight win streak and first-round TKO in her August 2026 UFC debut
- Cachoeira three straight losses, two of them in round one
- Cachoeira absorbs 7.45 significant strikes per minute in the UFC
- Milosevic two rear-naked choke wins against Cachoeira's history of UFC submission losses
- About $12.7K of the roughly $16K Kalshi volume on the Cachoeira side
What are the Priscila Cachoeira vs Nina Milosevic odds?
As of November 6, 2026, Kalshi priced Nina Milosevic at 82% and Priscila Cachoeira at 18% to win. Milosevic held at 82% across every capture from the evening of November 5.
When is Cachoeira vs Milosevic?
The bout is on the main card of UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs Walker on Saturday, November 7, 2026, at Meta APEX in Las Vegas. Ufc.com lists it as the second main-card fight, and the main card starts at 8:00 PM ET.
Where can I trade Priscila Cachoeira vs Nina Milosevic?
This board carries Kalshi only. About $16K had traded on it as of November 6, the most of the four Kalshi fight boards covered here from this card.
What are the fighters' records?
Nina Milosevic is 9-1 with four knockouts and two submissions. Priscila Cachoeira is 13-9 with eight knockouts and has lost her last three UFC fights.
How does the Cachoeira vs Milosevic market settle?
It settles on the official result of the fight. A draw or no contest pays both sides at 50%, and a cancellation or a delay of more than 48 hours resolves both contracts to a fair price.