| Spread | Total | ML | Best ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
â–¶Sparks | +6.5 44% | O 179.5 52%51% | 25%26% | 26% Polymarket |
â–¶Dream | -6.5 56% | U 179.5 48%49% | 76%75% | 76% Kalshi |
| Spread | Total | Moneyline | Best ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
â–¶Los Angeles Sparks | +6.5 | O 179.5 | 26% Polymarket | |
â–¶Atlanta Dream | -6.5 | U 179.5 | 76% Kalshi |
The Atlanta Dream are the 76c moneyline favorite (77c on Kalshi, 75c on Polymarket) over the Los Angeles Sparks for their July 13, 2026 meeting at Gateway Center in College Park, Georgia, roughly a 76% implied win probability. Atlanta sits 13-10 and 7-4 at home; the Sparks are 10-11 overall but 5-4 on the road, one of two games on a thin mid-July Sunday slate. The board prices Atlanta as about a 7.5-point favorite with the total near 180.5. The live board above carries the current Kalshi and Polymarket prices across the moneyline, spread, total, and player props.
The Atlanta Dream open as the 76c moneyline favorite (77c on Kalshi, 75c on Polymarket) over the Los Angeles Sparks in a July 13, 2026 matchup at Gateway Center in College Park, Georgia. Atlanta brings a 13-10 record and a 7-4 mark at home into the game, while the Sparks arrive 10-11 overall but a respectable 5-4 on the road. The market reads this as a mid-single-digit home favorite: Atlanta is priced around a 7.5-point spread with the total set near 180.5, and the moneyline has held at 77c on Kalshi across the latest snapshots.
At 76c on average, Atlanta's moneyline implies roughly a 76% win probability, with the Sparks at 25c (24c Kalshi, 26c Polymarket) for about a 25% chance. The two books agree closely, splitting the Dream by just 2c (77c Kalshi versus 75c Polymarket). That tight spread still leaves a small cross-platform value note: an Atlanta backer gets the better number on Polymarket at 75c, while a Sparks backer gets the cheaper ticket on Kalshi at 24c rather than 26c on Polymarket.
Kalshi is the deeper book on this game, carrying the bulk of the roughly $30K in tracked two-platform volume, with the moneyline alone showing thousands of contracts on each side against Polymarket's low-hundreds. The price stability matters as much as the level here: Atlanta has stayed pinned at 77c on Kalshi through the tracked snapshots with no drift, so the market has not moved off its read that home court plus the better record separates these teams.
The spread frames Atlanta as roughly a 7.5-point favorite. Polymarket's Atlanta Dream -7.5 line trades at 52c, close to a coin flip on the Dream covering, and the ESPN sportsbook line agrees at ATL -7.5. The total sits near 180.5: the Over 176.5 line prices around 60c (60c Kalshi, 59c Polymarket), the Over 179.5 line around 53c (54c Kalshi, 52c Polymarket), and the Over 182.5 line drops to 46c, placing the market's midpoint total right around 180 to 181 points.
The star matchup drives both the total and the props. Atlanta scores by committee behind Allisha Gray (18.7 points per game) and Rhyne Howard (18.5 points per game), with Angel Reese anchoring the glass at 11.7 rebounds per game and Jordin Canada distributing at 7.3 assists per game. The Sparks lean on Nneka Ogwumike, who leads Los Angeles in both scoring (16.9 points) and rebounding (8.8). On Polymarket's prop board, Gray's points Over 20.5 trades at 32c, Ogwumike's points Over 17.5 at 28c, and Canada's assists Over 7.5 at 34c against her 7.3 season average. The Phoenix Mercury at Minnesota Lynx game is the other contest on the same July 13 slate.
The market resolves to the team that wins the Los Angeles Sparks at Atlanta Dream game on July 13, 2026, scheduled for 7 p.m. ET at Gateway Center in College Park, Georgia. The moneyline pays $1 per share to backers of the winning team and $0 to the other side. Spread contracts settle on whether Atlanta wins by more than the listed margin such as 7.5 points, and total contracts settle on the combined final score against lines such as 179.5 and 180.5. Kalshi and Polymarket settle once the game is final; if the game is postponed past the scheduled date or canceled, each platform voids or reschedules the contract under its own rules.
Home court: Atlanta is 7-4 at Gateway Center and 13-10 overall, against a Sparks side that is 10-11 but 5-4 away from Los Angeles.
Scoring depth: Allisha Gray (18.7 points) and Rhyne Howard (18.5 points) give Atlanta two lead scorers, while Nneka Ogwumike (16.9 points, 8.8 rebounds) carries the Los Angeles load.
The cover: Polymarket's Atlanta -7.5 at 52c is a near coin flip on the Dream covering a mid-single-digit number.
Pace and total: the total near 180.5 (Over 179.5 at about 53c) hinges on shooting variance and whether Reese's 11.7 rebounds fuel Atlanta second chances.
Cross-platform value: Sparks backers get 24c on Kalshi versus 26c on Polymarket, and Atlanta backers get 75c on Polymarket versus 77c on Kalshi.
Compare this game against the season-long picture in the WNBA Finals champion market and the WNBA MVP race. Track each side's postseason path through the Atlanta Dream make-playoffs market and the Los Angeles Sparks make-playoffs market, or browse the full sports board for the rest of the day's cross-platform prices.
The market resolves to the team that wins the Los Angeles Sparks at Atlanta Dream game on July 13, 2026, scheduled for 7 p.m. ET at Gateway Center in College Park, Georgia. The moneyline pays $1 per share to backers of the winning team and $0 to the other side. Spread contracts settle on whether Atlanta wins by more than the listed margin (such as 7.5 points), and total contracts settle on the combined final score against lines such as 179.5 and 180.5. Kalshi and Polymarket settle the contracts once the game goes final on the scheduled date; if the game is postponed past that date or canceled, each platform voids or reschedules under its own rules.
As of July 13, 2026, the Atlanta Dream are the 76c moneyline favorite (77c on Kalshi, 75c on Polymarket) and the Los Angeles Sparks are 25c (24c Kalshi, 26c Polymarket).
Atlanta is favored at about a 76% implied probability, backed by a 13-10 record, a 7-4 home mark at Gateway Center, and roughly a 7.5-point spread.
Both Kalshi and Polymarket list the game. Kalshi carries the deeper book, holding most of the roughly $30K in tracked two-platform volume on the moneyline, spread, and total.
The market sets Atlanta near a 7.5-point favorite (Polymarket ATL -7.5 at 52c) with the total around 180.5, where the Over 179.5 line trades near 53c.
It settles once the game goes final on July 13, 2026, scheduled for 7 p.m. ET, paying the moneyline to the winning team and settling spread and total contracts on the final score.
Watch Allisha Gray (18.7 PPG) and Rhyne Howard (18.5 PPG) against Nneka Ogwumike (16.9 PPG, 8.8 RPG), whether Atlanta covers the -7.5 spread, and any drift off the steady 77c Kalshi moneyline.