Live odds on national elections outside the United States across Canadian, Brazilian, French, and British contests tracked across prediction markets.
International elections prediction markets aggregate national-vote contracts from outside the United States, spanning 8 active markets across five country-level subtopics as of June 5, 2026. Coverage runs from Canadian federal outcomes and Brazil's 2026 general election to French presidential and legislative questions and United Kingdom party-control contracts. These markets ask who wins a national office, which party forms a government, or whether a leader survives a confidence vote, and they resolve against certified official results once each country's electoral authority declares the outcome. Because non-US races settle on their own national calendars rather than a single date, the active set rotates as each country's cycle opens and closes. The live top-markets and movers widgets above show where each contract prices today.
The international-elections board breaks down into five country-level subtopics, each carrying national-vote contracts rather than a single aggregate futures market. Brazil's 2026 general election and France's 2026 cycle each anchor a pair of contracts covering presidential or party-control outcomes, while Canada contributes federal-vote questions and the United Kingdom adds party-control markets tied to its parliamentary system. The structural question across all of them is the same: a binary contract on which candidate wins a national office or which party forms the next government, settled on the official result. Volume here is thinner than the US-elections board, with 8 active markets as of June 5, 2026, so the depth concentrates in whichever country's cycle is currently live. Reference the live top-markets widget above for current pricing on each contract.
Unlike a single fixed election day, international-elections markets resolve on each country's own schedule, which is what keeps the active set rotating. Brazil holds its next general election in October 2026, making the Brazil 2026 contracts the forward catalyst with a fixed first-round and potential runoff structure. France's 2026 markets track legislative and presidential-adjacent questions on the French calendar, while Canadian federal and United Kingdom contracts settle whenever those governments call or complete a vote. Each market carries its own resolution trigger tied to the national electoral authority's certified count. As one country's cycle closes and certifies, its contracts settle and new races open, so the calendar rather than a market price determines what trades. Check the live board above for which country contracts are currently open.
Volume in non-US election markets concentrates around scheduled national votes and the polling, debate, and coalition news that reprices them. The Brazil 2026 general election is the largest near-term driver on this board, with French and Canadian contests adding catalyst-sensitive volume as their cycles activate. Structurally, these markets move on official polling releases, candidate entries and withdrawals, and confidence-vote or coalition developments in parliamentary systems like the United Kingdom and Canada. Because each country reports results through a different electoral authority, resolution timing and the depth of trading vary by race. The combined active set is modest at 8 markets as of June 5, 2026, so a single high-profile cycle such as Brazil's can carry most of the board's volume at once. The live movers widget above shows which international contracts repriced most recently.
Coverage spans national elections outside the United States across five country subtopics: Canada, Brazil's 2026 general election, France and its 2026 cycle, and the United Kingdom. The set holds 8 active markets as of June 5, 2026, covering presidential, legislative, and party-control outcomes.
Volume concentrates in whichever national cycle is currently live, with Brazil's 2026 general election and France's 2026 contracts anchoring the board. Canadian federal and United Kingdom party-control markets add depth. See the live top-markets widget above for current pricing across each country.
Each contract settles against certified official results once the relevant country's electoral authority declares the outcome. A market resolves on which candidate wins a national office or which party forms the government, on that country's own schedule rather than a single shared election date.
As of June 5, 2026, the Brazil 2026 general election subtopic anchors the board with two active contracts on the country's October 2026 vote. Check the live top-markets widget above for the current lead contract, exact prices, and volume across platforms.
Pricing can diverge where one platform lists a national race the other does not, or where resolution wording differs on coalition and party-control questions. The board surfaces the cross-platform read on each contract; the live widgets above show current spread sizes on every market.