Jazz vs Mavericks Prediction Market Odds, November 6, 2026
| Spread | Total | ML | Main ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
▶Jazz | +6.5 49%50% | O 227.5 47%46% | 25%25% | 25% Polymarket |
▶Mavericks | -6.5 51%50% | U 227.5 53%54% | 69%68% | 69% Kalshi |
| Spread | Total | Moneyline | Main ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
▶Utah Jazz | +6.5 | O 227.5 | 25% Polymarket | |
▶Dallas Mavericks | -6.5 | U 227.5 | 69% Kalshi |
Dallas is a clear home favorite in Jazz vs Mavericks: as of November 6 the Mavericks trade at 71c on Kalshi and about 70.5c on Polymarket, with -6.5 as the coin-flip spread. Utah (1-7) has lost six straight, while Dallas (4-4) has dropped two in a row and lists Kyrie Irving as day-to-day with an illness. Tip-off is 8:00 PM ET on November 6, 2026, at American Airlines Center.
Jazz vs Mavericks sends a 1-7 Utah team on a six-game losing streak into American Airlines Center against a 4-4 Dallas side that has dropped its last two, and the prediction market prices the Mavericks as roughly 7-point home favorites. The board carries about $100K in cumulative volume as of November 6, spread across the moneyline, a full spread and total ladder, and player props.
Jazz vs Mavericks Odds and Market Context
As of the afternoon of November 6 the moneyline reads Dallas 71c on Kalshi and about 70.5c on Polymarket, with Utah at 30c on Kalshi and 29.5c on Polymarket. Our board does not carry the Polymarket moneyline, so that quote comes from Polymarket's own market, which lists tip-off at 8:00 PM ET. The two venues sit within a cent of each other, so there is no cross-platform edge on the winner.
The derivative ladders line up with that price. Mavericks -6.5 is the coin-flip rung at 51c on both venues, which matches the DraftKings line of Dallas -6.5 on ESPN. On the total, the 225.5 over trades at 51c on both venues, one point above DraftKings' 224.5. ESPN's matchup predictor gives Dallas a 66% win probability, about 5 points below the market's 71c, so the market leans harder on the Mavericks than ESPN's model does.
Movement has been small. In the captures we hold, which run from about 7:00 PM ET Thursday to 2:00 PM ET Friday, Kalshi held Dallas between 71c and 73c, and its daily history shows the Mavericks closing at 70c on November 4 and 72c on November 5. The one clear move is on the total: the 227.5 over slid from 53c to 47c on Kalshi over the same window, so the market has shaded the total down about a point. The Mavericks -6.5 rung eased from 53c to 51c on Kalshi and from 54c to 52c on Polymarket.
Jazz vs Mavericks Form and Injuries
Utah is 1-7 (1-4 at home, 0-3 on the road) per ESPN and has lost six straight since its only win, 120-119 over New Orleans on October 23. The latest was a 120-113 overtime loss at New Orleans on Wednesday, after a 119-97 loss at San Antonio on Monday. Dallas is 4-4 (2-2 at home, 2-2 on the road). The Mavericks won three straight, including a 120-96 home win over Oklahoma City, before losing 115-100 at home to Sacramento on Monday and 112-111 at San Antonio on Wednesday. Both teams had Thursday off.
Availability is the main variable for Dallas. ESPN lists Kyrie Irving as day-to-day with an illness, updated November 6, and Max Christie as day-to-day with a hip injury. Santi Aldama (knee), Sergio de Larrea (knee) and Tarik Biberovic (heel) are listed out. For Utah, ESPN lists Jaren Jackson Jr. (knee), Jusuf Nurkic (foot) and Trey Alexander (knee) out as of November 6, with Jackson's projected return in mid-December.
Cooper Flagg leads Dallas at 24.3 points, 6.3 rebounds and 6.3 assists per game, and P.J. Washington adds 7.9 rebounds. Keyonte George leads Utah at 22.0 points and 5.9 assists, and Ace Bailey at 7.2 rebounds. On the prop board, Flagg's 24.5-point over trades at 59c on Kalshi and 56c on Polymarket, close to his season average. Irving's 14.5-point over is 84c on Kalshi but 75c on Polymarket, a 9c gap that tracks the uncertainty around his illness tag.
When the Jazz vs Mavericks Market Resolves
The moneyline settles on the official winner of the Utah Jazz at Dallas Mavericks game scheduled for 8:00 PM ET on Friday, November 6, 2026, at American Airlines Center, with overtime included. Spread and total contracts settle on the final score once the game goes final.
Key Jazz vs Mavericks Catalysts
- Irving's status: ESPN lists Kyrie Irving as day-to-day with an illness as of November 6, and his points props are split 9c between venues.
- Jazz slide: Utah has lost six straight and is 0-3 on the road.
- Mavericks skid: Dallas has lost two straight, including a one-point loss at San Antonio.
- Total drift: the 227.5 over fell from 53c to 47c on Kalshi in the captures we hold.
- Model gap: ESPN's predictor has Dallas at 66%, below the market's 71c.
Related Jazz vs Mavericks Markets
Results like this feed both clubs' season-long markets. Follow the Mavericks playoff odds, the Jazz playoff odds and the Western Conference champion market. Dallas's previous board was Mavericks vs Spurs, and Utah's was Jazz vs Pelicans. The Dallas Mavericks hub, the Utah Jazz hub and the NBA hub collect every live market for the teams and the rest of Friday's slate.
Resolution Criteria
The moneyline resolves to the team that wins the Utah Jazz at Dallas Mavericks game scheduled for 8:00 PM ET on November 6, 2026, at American Airlines Center in Dallas, including overtime, and pays $1 per winning share on Kalshi and Polymarket. Spread contracts settle on the final margin and total contracts on the combined final score. Contracts settle on the official final result once the game goes final; if the game is postponed or canceled, each venue settles under its own posted contract rules.
Key Factors
- Kyrie Irving listed as day-to-day with an illness, per ESPN as of November 6
- Utah (1-7) has lost six straight and is 0-3 on the road
- Dallas has lost two straight, including 112-111 at San Antonio on Wednesday
- The 227.5 total over slid from 53c to 47c on Kalshi between Thursday night and Friday afternoon
- ESPN's predictor gives Dallas 66%, about 5 points below the market's 71c
What are the Jazz vs Mavericks odds?
As of November 6, 2026, Dallas is 71c on Kalshi and about 70.5c on Polymarket, roughly a 71% implied chance of a Mavericks win. Utah is 30c on Kalshi and 29.5c on Polymarket.
What time does Jazz vs Mavericks tip off?
Tip-off is 8:00 PM ET on Friday, November 6, 2026, at American Airlines Center in Dallas, per the ESPN scoreboard and Polymarket's game listing.
What are the Jazz vs Mavericks spread and total?
As of November 6 the Mavericks -6.5 contract is the coin-flip line at 51c on Kalshi and Polymarket, and the 225.5 over is 51c on both. DraftKings lists Dallas -6.5 with a 224.5 total, per ESPN.
Where can I trade the Jazz vs Mavericks game?
The moneyline, spread, total and player props trade on Kalshi, and Polymarket lists its own moneyline plus spread, total and prop markets for the November 6 game.
What should I watch before Jazz vs Mavericks settles?
Watch Kyrie Irving's status, listed as day-to-day with an illness by ESPN as of November 6. The market settles when the game goes final on November 6, 2026.