Live 2028 presidential odds across the Democratic and Republican nominee races, the general-election winner, VP markets, and candidate fields, tracked across prediction markets.
The 2028 US presidential election aggregates 91 active prediction market contracts as of June 23, 2026, the deepest cluster in US elections and one of the highest-volume political topics on the board. Coverage spans the Democratic and Republican nominee races, the general-election winner, party-control futures, both VP nominee markets, the open candidate fields, and adjacent contracts on the convention host city and the first primary state. Every contract resolves against official outcomes, the nominee markets at each party's national convention and the winner market once the November 7, 2028 general election is certified. The Democratic and Republican nominee contracts carry the most volume by a wide margin, with the live top-markets and movers widgets above showing where each candidate prices today.
The 2028 presidential board is organized around four high-volume contract types. The Democratic nominee market is the single deepest contract in the entire US elections category, followed by the Republican nominee market and the head-to-head general-election winner contract; together these three carry the overwhelming majority of the topic's volume. Beneath them sit the party-control contract (which party wins the White House), the two VP nominee markets, and the open candidate-field contracts that let traders take a position on whether a named figure runs at all. Each market is multi-candidate: the nominee contracts list dozens of potential names per party, and the field narrows as the cycle advances. For current favorites and exact cents on each contract, the live top-markets widget above is the source of truth. Browse the 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee odds and the 2028 Republican Presidential Nominee odds for the full candidate lists.
The 2028 cycle is wide open on both sides. The Democratic field has no incumbent and the early board reads a crowded contest among governors, senators, and national figures, with names like Gavin Newsom, Josh Shapiro, Gretchen Whitmer, Pete Buttigieg, and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez populating the nominee and VP markets. The Republican field structurally orients around the current vice president and the broader MAGA-aligned bench, with J.D. Vance and Marco Rubio among the figures listed across the nominee and VP contracts. Because no votes have been cast, the markets are pricing name recognition, donor signals, and early polling rather than results, which is exactly the kind of state where implied probabilities reprice sharply on a single endorsement or fundraising report. Track individual contenders on the Gavin Newsom hub and the J.D. Vance hub, and reference the live board for where the market reads each one today.
The 2028 nominee and winner contracts tend to diverge across platforms for structural reasons. The contracts are deep and liquid, so the headline favorites usually price within a tight band, but the long tail of low-probability candidates often shows wider gaps because one platform may list a candidate the other does not, or word the qualifying criteria differently (declared candidacy versus appearing on a primary ballot). General-election winner contracts can also differ on whether they resolve by party or by named candidate, which changes how the same real-world outcome maps to a contract. For traders, the durable edge lives in those resolution-wording mismatches and in the thinner book on niche candidates, not in the heavily-traded favorites. The live board above shows current spread sizes; specific platform prices appear there rather than baked into this analysis.
Volume on the 2028 board is catalyst-driven and will accelerate on a fixed calendar. The near-term movers are declared candidacies, quarterly FEC fundraising disclosures, and early-state polling, each of which reprices the nominee fields. The cycle's structural milestones follow: the first scheduled Democratic primary state and the convention host-city contracts resolve as those decisions are locked in, the primary calendar runs through the first half of 2028, both party conventions in the summer of 2028 settle the nominee markets, and the November 7, 2028 general election certifies the winner contract. Because the field spans dozens of named candidates across two parties plus the VP and party-control layers, news that moves one contender often moves several markets at once. The live movers widget above surfaces the current biggest moves and exact pricing.
Prediction Genius aggregates 91 active 2028 presidential contracts as of June 23, 2026, spanning the Democratic and Republican nominee races, the general-election winner, party-control futures, both VP nominee markets, the open candidate fields, and adjacent markets on the first primary state and convention host city.
The Democratic nominee contract carries the most volume of any contract in US elections, followed by the Republican nominee contract and the head-to-head general-election winner market. The VP nominee and candidate-field contracts trade lighter. The live top-markets widget shows current favorites and cents.
Nominee contracts resolve at each party's 2028 national convention, settling YES for the candidate formally nominated. The general-election winner and party-control contracts resolve once the November 7, 2028 election is certified. Candidate-field markets resolve on whether the named figure formally enters the race.
As of June 23, 2026, the 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee contract is the largest on the board at roughly $1.3B in cumulative volume, ahead of the 2028 Republican Presidential Nominee market near $700M and the general-election winner contract near $685M. See the live board above for current candidate prices.
Headline favorites usually price within a tight band because the nominee and winner contracts are deep on multiple platforms, while long-shot candidates show wider gaps from differing candidate lists and resolution wording. Watch the FEC fundraising disclosures and early-state polling for the next repricing catalysts.