| Spread | Total | ML | Main ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
▶Jaguars | -9.5 55%55% | O 46.5 49%51% | 19%81% | 19% Kalshi |
▶Titans | +9.5 45%45% | U 46.5 51%49% | 15%14% | 15% Kalshi |
| Spread | Total | Moneyline | Main ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
▶Jacksonville Jaguars | -9.5 | O 46.5 | 19% Kalshi | |
▶Tennessee Titans | +9.5 | U 46.5 | 15% Kalshi |
No player props available for this game.
Jacksonville is priced as a double-digit road favorite with no daylight between the venues. The 6-2 Jaguars trade at 84% on both Kalshi and Polymarket as of 11:00 AM ET on November 10, and Jacksonville -10.5 is a 50% coin flip on both, against a 1-7 Tennessee team that is 0-4 at home. The board carries roughly $235K in cumulative volume, the live board above has the current cross-platform prices, and kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 15, 2026 at Nissan Stadium.
The AFC South leader visits the division's last-place team, and the board prices it as a mismatch with no disagreement anywhere. Jacksonville is 6-2 and has outscored opponents 229-121. Tennessee is 1-7, has been outscored 199-144, and has not won at Nissan Stadium in four tries. Jaguars vs Titans odds put Jacksonville near 84%, roughly a 10.5-point favorite.
As of 11:00 AM ET on November 10, Jacksonville trades at 84% on both Kalshi and Polymarket and Tennessee at 17% on both. There is no cross-platform gap on either side of the moneyline, so neither venue offers a better number. An 84% moneyline next to a 50% price on -10.5 tells one story: the venues treat a Jaguars win as the expected result and the double-digit margin as the open question.
The capture window shows a small move toward Jacksonville. From 11:14 AM ET on November 9 to 10:45 AM ET on November 10, the Jaguars rose from 82% to 84% on Kalshi across 81 captures and from 82% to 84% on Polymarket across 27 captures, never trading outside that two-point band. Tennessee slipped from 18% to 17% on both venues. Polymarket's daily record shows the Jaguars leg closing between 82% and 84% every day since real volume arrived on November 3, and November 9 alone carried about $83K of volume on that leg while the price stayed between 81% and 84%.
The spread centers on 10.5. Jacksonville -10.5 trades at 50% on both venues, -9.5 at 54% on Kalshi and 55% on Polymarket, and -13.5 at 43%, so the market's fair margin sits right on 10.5. Inside the capture window, -9.5 firmed from 53% to 54% on Kalshi and from 52% to 55% on Polymarket, in step with the moneyline. Lower on the ladder, Jacksonville -7.5 trades at 59% and -6.5 at 65%, so a one-score Jaguars win is the most common way spread holders lose.
The total sits at 46.5. Over 46.5 trades at 49% on Kalshi and 51% on Polymarket, with over 44.5 at 55% and over 48.5 at 43%. On Kalshi the over 46.5 eased from 52% to 49% inside the window while Polymarket held 51%. The number is above both teams' scoring profiles: Jacksonville games have averaged 43.8 combined points and Tennessee games 42.9. Kalshi's team totals split the expected score at roughly 28.5 for Jacksonville (over 28.5 at 52%) and 17 for Tennessee (over 17.5 at 46%).
Polymarket's early-game markets point the same way. The Jaguars are 76% to win the first half and 68% to lead after the first quarter.
Jacksonville has won two straight by a combined 75-17, beating Indianapolis 42-7 on November 1 and Baltimore 33-10 on Thursday, November 5. The Thursday game gives the Jaguars ten days between kickoffs. Trevor Lawrence has 1,932 passing yards with 18 touchdowns and four interceptions. Bhayshul Tuten leads the rushing attack with 521 yards and four touchdowns, and Parker Washington leads the team in receiving with 493 yards and five scores on 29 catches. The Jaguars acquired defensive tackle Davon Godchaux from New Orleans on November 9, and ESPN's Jeremy Fowler reported they told teams they were keeping receiver Brian Thomas Jr. through the November 10 trade deadline.
Tennessee is also rested, coming off its Week 9 bye after a 43-36 overtime loss at Cincinnati on November 1. The Titans' only win is 26-20 at Indianapolis on October 18. Cam Ward has 1,483 passing yards with six touchdowns and five interceptions, Tony Pollard has 595 rushing yards and six touchdowns, and Carnell Tate leads the team in receiving with 413 yards on 34 catches.
On ESPN's injury report as of November 10, Tennessee lists Tate (shoulder), running back Tyjae Spears (knee), cornerback Jaylon Jones (knee) and punter Tommy Townsend (knee) as questionable, and linebacker James Williams Sr. is on injured reserve with a groin injury. Tate's status matters most, since he is the Titans' leading receiver. Jacksonville's absences are on injured reserve: offensive tackle Anton Harrison (torn ACL), defensive tackle DaVon Hamilton (knee) and safety Eric Murray (elbow).
Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 15, 2026 at Nissan Stadium in Nashville, broadcast on Fox, per ESPN's Week 10 scoreboard. The moneyline settles on the winner of the game including overtime, and spread and total contracts settle on the official final score. Both venues settle once the NFL declares the game final.
The result feeds the AFC South race, where Jacksonville leads, plus the Jaguars win total, the Jaguars playoff market and the Titans win total. Jacksonville's last outing is on the Jaguars vs Ravens board. Team pages for the Jaguars and Titans collect every market on both clubs, and the rest of Week 10 lives on the NFL hub.
The moneyline resolves to the team that wins the game at Nissan Stadium on November 15, 2026, paying $1 per share on the winner and $0 on the loser, with overtime included in the result. Spread contracts settle against the final margin, so Jacksonville -10.5 requires a Jaguars win by at least 11 points, and total contracts settle against combined points scored by both teams including overtime. Team total, first-half and first-quarter contracts settle against the official box score for that period. Kalshi lists the game under the KXNFLGAME-26NOV15JACTEN series and Polymarket lists the matching two-way market, and both venues settle once the NFL declares the game final. A regular-season tie after overtime and any postponement are handled under each venue's published rules rather than voided automatically.
As of 11:00 AM ET on November 10, 2026, Jacksonville is the favorite at 84% on both Kalshi and Polymarket, and Tennessee trades at 17% on both. The live board above carries the current prices.
Both Kalshi and Polymarket list the game. Kalshi carries it under the KXNFLGAME-26NOV15JACTEN series with spread, total and team total markets, and Polymarket lists the matching moneyline plus half and quarter markets. The board aggregates roughly $235K in cumulative volume.
Jacksonville is favored at an 84% implied probability on both venues, and Jacksonville -10.5 trades at 50%, making the Jaguars roughly a 10.5-point favorite. The Jaguars are 6-2 and lead the AFC South, and the Titans are 1-7.
Jacksonville -10.5 trades at 50% on both venues, putting the fair spread at 10.5. The total sits at 46.5, with the over at 49% on Kalshi and 51% on Polymarket as of November 10.
Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 15, 2026 at Nissan Stadium on Fox. The market resolves once the NFL declares the game final, with overtime included in moneyline, spread and total settlement.