Vikings vs Packers Prediction Market Odds, November 15, 2026
| Spread | Total | ML | Main ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
â–¶Vikings | +3.5 45%44% | O 40.5 50%51% | 32%30% | 32% Kalshi |
â–¶Packers | -3.5 55%56% | U 40.5 50%49% | 65%65% | 65% Kalshi |
| Spread | Total | Moneyline | Main ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
â–¶Minnesota Vikings | +3.5 | O 40.5 | 32% Kalshi | |
â–¶Green Bay Packers | -3.5 | U 40.5 | 65% Kalshi |
No player props available for this game.
The Green Bay Packers are a 67% favorite over the Minnesota Vikings as of November 10, priced identically on Kalshi and Polymarket, and the move to get there happened overnight. Green Bay sat at 61-62% on Monday afternoon and climbed to 67% as Minnesota's 23-6 Monday night loss to Buffalo went final, with Kyler Murray questionable (hamstring). The 6-3 Packers host the 6-2 Vikings at Lambeau Field at 1:00 PM ET Sunday, November 15, on Fox.
This is the NFC North rematch of a Week 1 game Minnesota won 39-22, and the price now runs the other way. As of November 10 the Packers are 67% to win and the Vikings 33.5%, a five-to-six point jump for Green Bay since Monday afternoon. The division is stacked: Chicago leads at 7-2, Detroit and Minnesota are 6-2, and Green Bay is 6-3, so the loser of this game falls behind three teams.
Vikings vs Packers Odds and Market Read
The two venues agree. Kalshi and Polymarket both list Green Bay at 67%, and Minnesota is 33% on Kalshi and 34% on Polymarket. There is no cross-platform value spot on the moneyline.
The spread ladder centers near Packers -5.5. Green Bay -4.5 trades at 52.5% (52% Kalshi, 53% Polymarket), -5.5 is exactly 50% on both venues, and -3.5 is 55%. Kalshi and Polymarket sit within one point of each other on every two-venue rung from -1.5 through -6.5. The total centers near 41: over 40.5 is 52.5% and over 41.5 is 48% on Kalshi, and over 42.5 is 48% across both venues. Kalshi's team totals split it roughly 23 for Green Bay (over 22.5 at 56%) and 17.5 for Minnesota (over 17.5 at 50%).
The ladder is consistent with the moneyline: Packers -5.5 at an even 50% is a coin flip on the margin, with the 67% outright price sitting on top of it.
Vikings vs Packers Line Movement
The board captured the whole move. On the afternoon of November 9, Green Bay was 62% on Kalshi and 61% on Polymarket, with Minnesota at 40% and 39%. Green Bay stayed between 61% and 64% through the Monday night game. Between roughly 11:00 PM ET Monday and 12:45 AM ET Tuesday, as Minnesota's loss to Buffalo finished, Kalshi moved Green Bay from 64% to 67% and Polymarket from 63% to 67%. By midday November 10, Minnesota was 33% on Kalshi and 34% on Polymarket. The Packers -3.5 spread moved with it, from 48% to 55% on Kalshi and from 49% to 55% on Polymarket. Across the full capture window, the over 40.5 eased from 57% to 55% on Kalshi. In the daily history, Polymarket had Green Bay between 57% and 60% from November 4 through November 8, so the overnight jump took the price well above that range.
Minnesota Vikings: Form and Quarterback Status
Minnesota is 6-2 (3-1 at home, 3-1 on the road) but has lost two straight, 19-15 at Detroit and 23-6 to Buffalo on Monday night. The offense is the issue. The Vikings have scored 146 points in eight games, the fewest of the four NFC North teams, against a defense that has allowed only 116. Murray is listed as questionable with a hamstring strain as of November 10 and did not play Monday; Carson Wentz started and went 8 of 25 for 81 yards with two interceptions, and Max Brosmer finished 6 of 7 for 58 yards. Murray has 1,022 passing yards, five touchdowns and three interceptions this season, per ESPN.
Wide receiver Jauan Jennings (calf) and defensive end Tyrion Ingram-Dawkins (ankle) are also questionable, and running back Demond Claiborne is on injured reserve. Justin Jefferson leads the team with 393 receiving yards, Aaron Jones Sr. has 474 rushing yards, and Andrew Van Ginkel has 7.5 sacks.
Green Bay Packers: Form and Personnel
Green Bay is 6-3 (3-1 at home, 3-2 on the road) and has won four of its last five: 31-7 over Chicago, 23-13 over Dallas, a 20-17 loss at Detroit, 27-19 over Carolina and 45-27 at New England. Jordan Love went 23 of 29 for 372 yards and three touchdowns in Foxborough and has 2,618 yards, 19 touchdowns and six interceptions on the season. Christian Watson leads the receivers with 879 yards and seven touchdowns.
The November 10 injury report lists linebacker Zaire Franklin as doubtful with a shin fracture, and tight end Josh Whyle (concussion), guard Sean Rhyan (ankle), tackle Travis Glover (knee) and running back MarShawn Lloyd (knee) as questionable. The NFC North division market prices the four-team race this game reshapes.
When the Vikings vs Packers Market Resolves
The moneyline settles on the winner of the game kicking off at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 15, 2026 at Lambeau Field. Spread and total contracts settle on the official final score, overtime included.
Key Vikings vs Packers Factors
- Murray's hamstring: he is questionable as of November 10, and Minnesota's backup quarterbacks combined for 139 passing yards on Monday night.
- The overnight move: Green Bay went from 61-62% to 67% on both venues as the Buffalo loss went final.
- A low total: the market centers near 41, and Kalshi's Minnesota team total sits near 17.5, in line with an offense at 146 points in eight games.
- Packers linebacker depth: Zaire Franklin is doubtful with a shin fracture.
- Division stakes: Chicago is 7-2 and Detroit and Minnesota are 6-2, so the loser drops behind three NFC North rivals.
Related Vikings vs Packers Markets
Follow both teams on the Minnesota Vikings hub and the Green Bay Packers hub. Detroit plays the same Sunday on the Patriots vs Lions board, and the full Week 10 card lives on the NFL markets page.
Resolution Criteria
The moneyline resolves to the team that wins the Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers game scheduled for 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 15, 2026 at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, including any overtime. Spread contracts settle on the final margin and total contracts on the combined final score, both including overtime. Each winning contract pays $1 per share and the losing side pays $0. Kalshi and Polymarket settle after the game goes final; if the game is postponed or canceled, each platform applies its own rules for rescheduled or voided events.
Key Factors
- Kyler Murray questionable with a hamstring strain as of November 10; Carson Wentz went 8 of 25 for 81 yards in his Monday night start
- Green Bay moved from 61-62% to 67% overnight on both venues after Minnesota's 23-6 loss to Buffalo
- Market total near 41 with Minnesota's Kalshi team total near 17.5; the Vikings have scored 146 points in eight games
- Zaire Franklin doubtful with a shin fracture as of November 10
- NFC North logjam: Chicago 7-2, Detroit and Minnesota 6-2, Green Bay 6-3
- Minnesota won the Week 1 meeting 39-22
What are the Vikings vs Packers odds?
As of November 10, 2026, the Green Bay Packers are 67% to win on both Kalshi and Polymarket, and the Minnesota Vikings are 33% on Kalshi and 34% on Polymarket. The average implied probability is 67% Green Bay and 33.5% Minnesota.
Why did the Packers odds move?
Green Bay was 61-62% on the afternoon of November 9 and reached 67% between 11:00 PM ET Monday and 12:45 AM ET Tuesday, as Minnesota lost 23-6 to Buffalo with Kyler Murray out. Murray is questionable with a hamstring strain as of November 10.
What is the Vikings vs Packers spread and total?
As of November 10, Packers -5.5 trades at 50% and -4.5 at 52.5%, putting the fair spread near Green Bay -5.5. The total centers near 41, with over 40.5 at 52.5%, and Kalshi and Polymarket sit within one point of each other on every main spread rung.
Where can I trade the Vikings vs Packers game?
The moneyline, spread ladder and main totals trade on both Kalshi and Polymarket. Team totals trade on Kalshi.
When does the Vikings vs Packers market resolve?
The game kicks off at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 15, 2026 at Lambeau Field on Fox. Moneyline, spread and total contracts settle on the official final score once the game goes final.
What should I watch before Vikings vs Packers kicks off?
Watch Kyler Murray's practice status through the week; he is questionable with a hamstring strain as of November 10. A confirmed start would push back against the 67% Green Bay price, and an absence would leave Carson Wentz, who threw for 81 yards on Monday night.